Fluminense vs Palmeiras preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho Sat, 15 Aug - 7:30 PM
Serie A
KICKOFF : Sat, 15 Aug - 7:30 PM
Round 23 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Serie A regular season action in 2026 brings Fluminense against Palmeiras at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. The home side currently occupies fourth position in the domestic table. Visitors sit atop the standings after consistent results throughout the campaign. Power ratings place the away team ahead by a margin of 9.3 points. Palmeiras registers the higher overall score at 76.44 while Fluminense records 67.18. Form indicators show a clear gap with the visitors ahead on 29.61 against 13.11 for the hosts. Both clubs enter without recent outing details listed. League positions reflect domestic competition only and underscore the challenge facing the home eleven.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Fluminense occupies fourth place domestically while Palmeiras leads the table.
  • Form: Away side leads with a form score of 29.61 against home 13.11.
  • Squad: Palmeiras registers as stronger with power score 76.44 over 67.18.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable ahead of this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics show no specific data for either side.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data carries low confidence and relies on proxy values.
  • xVariable: Power advantage of 9.3 points favors the visiting team.
  • Market: Baseline split: Fluminense 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Palmeiras 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fluminense L. Zubeldía
L. Zubeldía
VS
Palmeiras A. Moreira Ferreira
A. Moreira Ferreira
1.47
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.16
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Botafogo Rank: 69 D
Bahia Rank: 63 D
Grêmio Rank: 63 D
Bragantino Rank: 64 D
Cruzeiro Rank: 69 D
Mirassol Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Internacional Rank: 64 D
Vitória Rank: 62 W
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 64 L
Coritiba Rank: 59 W
Chapecoense Rank: 53 W
Flamengo Rank: 76 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.18
76.44
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Power Score
67.18
76.44
League Position
4
1
Global Rank
343
129

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Fluminense Opponent-weighted form score
Palmeiras Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fluminense Palmeiras

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fluminense FLU Home
5 matches
Palmeiras PAL Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
2
Goals
4
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
4
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-08T01:08:24+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 15, 2026, 07:30 PM
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 23 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Capacity
78838
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

98
Vitor Eudes de Souza Costa
Vitor Eudes de Souza Costa Goalkeeper
2
Samuel Xavier Brito
21
Igor Rabello da Costa
29
Julián Camilo Millán Díaz
Julián Camilo Millán Díaz Defender
22
Juan Pablo Freytes
44
Jemmes Bruno Ribeiro da Silva
Jemmes Bruno Ribeiro da Silva Defender
40
Davi Duarte Schuindt
Davi Duarte Schuindt Defender
Miguel David Terans Pérez
Miguel David Terans Pérez Midfielder
32
Luciano Federico Acosta
16
Gustavo Nonato Santana
8
Matheus Martinelli
Matheus Martinelli Midfielder
14
Germán Ezequiel Cano
19
Rodrigo Castillo
Rodrigo Castillo Attacker
9
John Kennedy Batista de Souza
John Kennedy Batista de Souza Attacker
15
Matheus dos Reis Francisco
Matheus dos Reis Francisco Attacker

Squad

21
Kaique Pereira Azarias
26
Murilo Cerqueira Paim
3
Bruno de Lara Fuchs
Bruno de Lara Fuchs Defender
4
Agustín Giay
Agustín Giay Defender
6
Jefte Vital da Silva Dias
Jefte Vital da Silva Dias Defender
17
Marlon Rodrigues Freitas
33
Erick Machado Belé
Erick Machado Belé Midfielder
48
Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos
Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos Midfielder
50
Luis Felipe Pacheco da Costa
Luis Felipe Pacheco da Costa Midfielder
10
Paulo Henrique Sampaio Filho
Paulo Henrique Sampaio Filho Attacker
19
Ramón Sosa Acosta
42
J. López
J. López Attacker
40
Allan Andrade Elias

CONCLUSION

Palmeiras arrives with superior league standing and stronger power metrics that suggest control over proceedings. Fluminense must leverage home support at the iconic venue to offset the deficit in recent form indicators. Limited data on efficiency and set pieces leaves room for tactical adjustments on the day. The visitors hold the edge in overall squad assessment yet domestic fixtures often produce tight encounters. Both teams face uncertainty from missing recent performance records. Expect structured play with emphasis on positional discipline from the leaders.