Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas Tue, 11 Aug - 5:00 PM
Champions League
KICKOFF : Tue, 11 Aug - 5:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2

CONTEXT

Kauno Žalgiris host Dinamo Zagreb at the S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas in the second leg of their Champions League third qualifying round tie. The Lithuanian side enters as the marginally stronger team according to underlying power metrics, holding a narrow 1.6 point edge over their Croatian visitors. Both clubs operate with limited recent domestic form data available, yet the home side shows a slight advantage in that department as well. The fixture represents a significant step up in competition level for Kauno Žalgiris against a side with greater European pedigree. Tactical discipline and individual quality will likely decide progression to the next stage. The match promises an intriguing contrast between the hosts' organised approach and the away team's technical resources.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Kauno Žalgiris hold a narrow power advantage of 1.6 points over Dinamo Zagreb.
  • Form: Kauno Žalgiris post a form score of 30 compared to Dinamo Zagreb's 27.78.
  • Squad: Squad depth information remains unavailable for both teams ahead of the match.
  • Efficiency: Detailed efficiency data is not provided for this qualifying round fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are unavailable due to limited underlying data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy data used for both sides.
  • xVariable: Kauno Žalgiris are identified as the stronger team entering the second leg.
  • Market: Kauno Žalgiris 12.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 19.3% (Δ+0%) | Dinamo Zagreb 68.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Kauno Žalgiris Ž. Sopić
Ž. Sopić
VS
Dinamo Zagreb M. Kovačević
M. Kovačević
1.8
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
1.8 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 84 D
Rank: W
Rank: D
Drita Rank: 58 W
Drita Rank: 59 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kauno Žalgiris Rank: D
Thun Rank: 66 W
Thun Rank: 64 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kauno Žalgiris
12.25%
Draw
19.29%
Away Dinamo Zagreb
68.45%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
34
32.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kauno Žalgiris
Dinamo Zagreb
Power Score
34
32.39
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Kauno Žalgiris Opponent-weighted form score
Dinamo Zagreb Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kauno Žalgiris Dinamo Zagreb

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 11, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2
Stadium
S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas
Capacity
15315
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

55
Tomas Švedkauskas
Tomas Švedkauskas Goalkeeper
22
Deividas Mikelionis
Deividas Mikelionis Goalkeeper
1
Joris Aliukonis
Joris Aliukonis Goalkeeper
3
Anton Tolordava
Anton Tolordava Defender
77
Rokas Lekiatas
Rokas Lekiatas Defender
4
Luka Racic
Luka Racic Defender
45
Joris Moutachy
Joris Moutachy Defender
33
Marko Konatar
Marko Konatar Defender
66
Eduardas Jurjonas
Eduardas Jurjonas Defender
14
Vykintas Slivka
Vykintas Slivka Midfielder
10
Gratas Sirgedas
Gratas Sirgedas Midfielder
17
Ivan Fiolić
Ivan Fiolić Midfielder
7
Amine Benchaib
Amine Benchaib Midfielder
32
Franco Baldassarra
Franco Baldassarra Midfielder
8
Yukiyoshi Karashima
Yukiyoshi Karashima Midfielder
11
Fedor Černych
Fedor Černych Attacker
70
Fabien Ourega
Fabien Ourega Attacker
99
Haris Kadrić
Haris Kadrić Attacker
9
Leon Kreković
Leon Kreković Attacker
24
Motiejus Burba
Motiejus Burba Attacker

Squad

1
Daniel Zagorac
Daniel Zagorac Goalkeeper
44
Ivan Filipović
Ivan Filipović Goalkeeper
33
Ivan Nevistić
Ivan Nevistić Goalkeeper
88
Antonio Rajić
Antonio Rajić Goalkeeper
28
Kévin Théophile-Catherine
Kévin Théophile-Catherine Defender
6
Stjepan Radeljić
3
Bruno Goda
Bruno Goda Defender
26
Scott McKenna
Scott McKenna Defender
15
Niko Galesic
Niko Galesic Defender
25
Moris Valincic
Moris Valincic Defender
13
Paul Bismarck Tabinas
22
Matteo Perez Vinlöf
42
Marko Zebić
Marko Zebić Defender
35
Noa Mikic
Noa Mikic Defender
Borna Orlić
Borna Orlić Defender
Robert Mudražija
Robert Mudražija Midfielder
27
Josip Mišić
Josip Mišić Midfielder
8
Miha Zajc
Miha Zajc Midfielder
7
Luka Stojković
Luka Stojković Midfielder
80
Lukas Kačavenda
Lukas Kačavenda Midfielder
Lovre Kulušić
Lovre Kulušić Midfielder
41
Sven Šunta
Sven Šunta Midfielder
Smail Prevljak
Smail Prevljak Attacker
99
Mislav Oršić
Mislav Oršić Attacker
11
Arbër Hoxha
Arbër Hoxha Attacker
9
Drena Beljo Dijon
10
Gabriel Vidović
Gabriel Vidović Attacker
21
Mateo Lisica
Mateo Lisica Attacker
30
Fran Topić
Fran Topić Attacker
Daniel Rodríguez Crespo
Daniel Rodríguez Crespo Attacker
Tin Miljak
Tin Miljak Attacker

CONCLUSION

Kauno Žalgiris will look to leverage their slight power and form edges when facing Dinamo Zagreb in this decisive European encounter. The home side's organisation could prove vital against technically gifted opponents who possess more experience at this level. Both teams face challenges in converting limited recent data into clear tactical edges. Expect a contest defined by midfield control and defensive resilience rather than open attacking play. The narrow margins suggested by the metrics indicate that small details may determine which side advances. Kauno Žalgiris must maintain structure while Dinamo Zagreb will seek to impose their quality in key areas.