Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Stadion Rajko Mitić Tue, 11 Aug - 6:00 PM
Champions League
KICKOFF : Tue, 11 Aug - 6:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2

CONTEXT

Crvena Zvezda host Hapoel Be'er Sheva in Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round) at Stadion Rajko Mitić. Power ranking favours Crvena Zvezda by 8.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Crvena Zvezda hold a +8.9 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Crvena Zvezda sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Crvena Zvezda show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Crvena Zvezda have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Crvena Zvezda carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Crvena Zvezda hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Crvena Zvezda 70.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 17.9% (Δ+0%) | Hapoel Be'er Sheva 11.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Crvena Zvezda D. Stankovic
D. Stankovic
VS
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Rank: D
Larne Rank: 57 W
Larne Rank: 57 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Crvena Zvezda Rank: D
Víkingur Reykjavík Rank: W
Víkingur Reykjavík Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Crvena Zvezda
70.14%
Draw
17.92%
Away Hapoel Be'er Sheva
11.93%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
36.67
27.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Power Score
36.67
27.78
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Crvena Zvezda Opponent-weighted form score
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Crvena Zvezda Hapoel Be'er Sheva

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 11, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2
Stadium
Stadion Rajko Mitić
Capacity
51755
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

18
Omri Glazer
Omri Glazer Goalkeeper
77
Ivan Guteša
Ivan Guteša Goalkeeper
50
Savo Radanović
Savo Radanović Goalkeeper
13
Milos Veljkovic
Milos Veljkovic Defender
5
Rodrigo de Souza Prado
Rodrigo de Souza Prado Defender
23
Nayair Tiknizyan
Nayair Tiknizyan Defender
25
Strahinja Eraković
24
Nikola Stanković
66
Young-Woo Seol
Young-Woo Seol Defender
71
Adem Avdić
Adem Avdić Defender
45
Stefan Gudelj
Stefan Gudelj Defender
27
Matej Strika
Matej Strika Defender
21
Timi Elšnik
Timi Elšnik Midfielder
4
Mirko Ivanić
Mirko Ivanić Midfielder
10
Aleksandar Katai
Aleksandar Katai Midfielder
33
Rade Krunić
Rade Krunić Midfielder
15
Mohammad Abu Fani
Mohammad Abu Fani Midfielder
70
Muhammed Cham Saracevic
20
Tomás Romano Pereira Santos Händel
Tomás Romano Pereira Santos Händel Midfielder
6
Mahmudu Bajo
Mahmudu Bajo Midfielder
60
Matej Gashtarov
Matej Gashtarov Midfielder
22
Vasilije Kostov
Vasilije Kostov Midfielder
7
Marko Arnautović
17
Bruno Duarte da Silva
14
Osman Bukari
Osman Bukari Attacker
75
Loizos Loizou
Loizos Loizou Attacker
37
Vladimir Lučić
Vladimir Lučić Attacker
80
Warren Babicka Shavy
Warren Babicka Shavy Attacker
8
Kristiyan Balov
Kristiyan Balov Attacker
35
Douglas Owusu
Douglas Owusu Attacker
40
Luka Zarić
Luka Zarić Attacker
55
Dimitrije Saric
Dimitrije Saric Attacker
91
Vasilije Subotic
Vasilije Subotic Attacker
Luka Sandulovic
Luka Sandulovic Attacker

Squad

1
Ofir Meir Marciano
Ofir Meir Marciano Goalkeeper
34
Marco Wolff
Marco Wolff Goalkeeper
55
Niv Eliasi
Niv Eliasi Goalkeeper
36
Jonathan Shani
Jonathan Shani Goalkeeper
13
Ofir Davidzada
Ofir Davidzada Defender
3
Matan Baltaksa
Matan Baltaksa Defender
2
Guy Mizrachi
Guy Mizrachi Defender
12
Itay Rotman
Itay Rotman Defender
44
Djibril Thialaw Diop
Ariel Elmalem
Ariel Elmalem Defender
7
Eliel Peretz
Eliel Peretz Midfielder
25
Lucas de Souza Ventura
8
Mohammad Kna'an
Mohammad Kna'an Midfielder
18
Roei Levy
Roei Levy Midfielder
17
Kings Kangwa
Kings Kangwa Midfielder
27
Y. Stoyanov
Y. Stoyanov Midfielder
28
Niv Yehoshua
Niv Yehoshua Midfielder
23
Itay Azut
Itay Azut Midfielder
Ofek Peretz
Ofek Peretz Midfielder
10
Dan Biton
Dan Biton Attacker
66
Igor Zlatanović
Igor Zlatanović Attacker
14
Jovan East
Jovan East Attacker
Eylon Haim Almog
Eylon Haim Almog Attacker
9
Zahi Ahmed
Zahi Ahmed Attacker
70
João Victor Vieira Ferreira Sousa
João Victor Vieira Ferreira Sousa Attacker
Noam Shahar
Noam Shahar Attacker
Mor Simantov
Mor Simantov Attacker
11
Amir Ganah
Amir Ganah Attacker
45
Mohamad Abu Rumi
Mohamad Abu Rumi Attacker
21
Yoav Koren
Yoav Koren Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Crvena Zvezda holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Crvena Zvezda a 8.9-point edge. Projection probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.