Lillestrøm vs Rosenborg preview
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Åråsen Stadion
Sun, 9 Aug - 12:30 PM
Round 17 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 13
CONTEXT
Lillestrøm hosted Rosenborg in what turned out to be a decisive away win for the visitors. The match concluded with a final score of 0-2 in favor of Rosenborg. At halftime, the score stood at 0-1 after Rosenborg found the net once in the opening period. Lillestrøm dominated possession with 55 percent but could not convert their opportunities into goals. Rosenborg's expected goals stood at 3 while the home side registered 2.45. There were no red cards in the game, keeping both teams at full strength throughout. The stronger team Rosenborg delivered the victory as anticipated based on the underlying metrics. The result proved consistent with the expected goals data provided.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Final score: Lillestrøm 0-2 Rosenborg. Rosenborg showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations for both sides.
-
xG alignment: The outcome aligned consistently with the recorded xG figures.
-
Market alignment: The result aligned with expectations for the stronger team.
-
xG expectations: Home xG reached 2.45 against away xG of 3 for a differential of -0.55.
-
Event impact: Rosenborg's first half goal shaped the direction of the contest.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred and thus created no distortion to the game.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Kringstad
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
A. Rossland
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
J. Alnes Dyb
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
J. Grundt
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
H. Ødegaard
VS
F. Alexandersson
1.67
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.2
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bodø / Glimt
Rank: 86
L
Viking
Rank: 80
L
KFUM
Rank: 59
W
Fredrikstad
Rank: 63
W
HamKam
Rank: 63
L
Kristiansund
Rank: 57
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brann
Rank: 72
L
Fredrikstad
Rank: 62
W
Start
Rank: 52
W
Kristiansund
Rank: 57
W
Bodø / Glimt
Rank: 85
D
KFUM
Rank: 61
L
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 2
2
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
50.13
66.71
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lillestrøm
Rosenborg
Power Score
50.13
66.71
League Position
4
9
Global Rank
571
372
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Lillestrøm
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Rosenborg
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Lillestrøm Rosenborg
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Lillestrøm
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Rosenborg
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Lillestrøm
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Rosenborg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.64
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
42.22
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Lillestrøm
-0.54
Efficiency Index
vs
Rosenborg
+0.54
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lillestrøm
Rosenborg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Lillestrøm
vs
Rosenborg
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Lillestrøm
Rosenborg
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
56%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-1.37
vs
-0.16
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Lillestrøm
Rosenborg
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
5%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.16
vs
-1.37
Lillestrøm
Rosenborg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Lillestrøm
vs
Rosenborg
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Lillestrøm
Rosenborg
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Lillestrøm
0.42
Rosenborg
0.27
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lillestrøm
Rosenborg
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Lillestrøm
0.03
Rosenborg
0.00
Lillestrøm
Rosenborg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- RBK had peak pressure around 83'.
- LILL started the game with stronger pressure.
LILL Pressure
RBK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
RBK reached the top pressure at 83' (80.49).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Lillestrøm
LILL
Home
3
matches
Rosenborg
RBK
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
1
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-08-10T07:44:59+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-5-1
Match Formation
4-1-3-2
19 A. Pereira
21 T. Nemčík
4 M. Ceide
22 (C) J. Svensson
10 O. Selnæs
29 D. Duris
17 M. Bomholt
35 E. Ceide
18 A. Chiakha
General Information
Date & Time
Aug 09, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 17 · Regular Season
Stadium
Åråsen Stadion
Capacity
12250
Attendance
10556
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Alf Olav Rossland
Jim André Alnes Dyb
Johan William Grundt
Next Match
Lillestrøm
vs
KFUM
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sat, 15 Aug - 2:00 PM
Venue: KFUM Arena
Rosenborg
vs
Viking
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Fri, 14 Aug - 5:00 PM
Venue: Lerkendal Stadion
Statistics
Possession
LILL
52%
RBK
48%
Top Statistics
0
Goals
2
3
Big Chances Created
2
4
Shots
7
43
Dangerous attacks
60
55
Possession
45
8
Corners
6
26
Free kicks
16
1
Yellow Cards
6
Match Overview
90
Ball Safe
68
9
Goal Kicks
7
7
Goal Attempts
12
3
Substitutions
4
22
Throwins
23
2
Hit Woodwork
0
1
Injuries
0
23
Dribble Attempts
22
7
Successful Dribbles
9
30
Successful Dribbles Percentage
41
Attacking
100
Attacks
102
3
Big Chances Missed
1
2
Counter Attacks
2
Possession
52
Long Passes
61
450
Passes
367
345
Successful Passes
276
77
Successful Passes Percentage
75
10
Key Passes
14
20
Successful Long Passes
22
38
Successful Long Passes Percentage
36
Defensive
6
Saves
4
25
Tackles
25
7
Interceptions
11
65
Duels Won
63
Build-up
16
Total Crosses
10
6
Accurate Crosses
7
Discipline
1
Offsides
1
16
Fouls
26
Lineup
Referee :
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Manager ▼
H. Ødegaard
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
1
Stefan Hagerup
Goalkeeper
3
Sturla Ottesen
Defender
5
Sander Moen Foss
Defender
22
John Kitolano
Defender
25
Seun Akanji
Midfielder
26
Yaw Paintsil
Midfielder
Referee :
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Manager ▼
F. Alexandersson
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
12
Rasmus Sandberg
Goalkeeper
5
Håkon Volden
Defender
25
Johan Johanessen Bakke
Midfielder
28
Elias Slordal
Midfielder
30
Maciej Soboczynski
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
90+5'
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
90+4'
90'
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
88'
7th Substitution
84'
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
5th Substitution
74'
6th Substitution
74'
74'
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
71'
4th Substitution
69'
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
3rd Substitution
62'
62'
Persistent fouling / 2nd Yellowcard
61'
2nd Substitution
46'
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
39'
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
24'
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
CONCLUSION
Rosenborg secured a solid 0-2 win on the road at Lillestrøm, maintaining their strong form. The away side led at the break and never looked back after establishing the advantage. Although Lillestrøm had the majority of possession, their lack of efficiency in front of goal proved costly. Rosenborg's higher xG output translated directly into the match result without any major distortions from external factors. The absence of red cards ensured a fair contest where the better team prevailed. This victory reinforces Rosenborg's position as a dominant force in the league. Analysts note that the alignment of various metrics confirms the legitimacy of the scoreline achieved. Fans witnessed a professional display from the winners who managed the game well after the opening goal.
