Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven preview

Belgium flag 2026/2027 Pro League, Belgium
Stade du Pays de Charleroi Sun, 9 Aug - 2:00 PM
Pro League
Sporting CharleroiSPC
3 1
OH LeuvenOHL
Full Time Sun, 9 Aug 2:00 PM
Round 1 Regular Season
Parfait Guiagon - 24' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Óscar Gil - 39'
|
Red Card Abdoul Karim Traoré 30'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Sporting Charleroi 3–1 OH Leuven. The result saw Sporting Charleroi take the points. Sporting Charleroi showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Sporting Charleroi 3.7 – 1.3 OH Leuven. Possession was 58%–42%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Sporting Charleroi 3-1 OH Leuven. Sporting Charleroi showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Allaerts
M. Allaerts
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
B. Bijnens
B. Bijnens
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Gonnissen
B. Gonnissen
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
N. Laforge
N. Laforge
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sporting Charleroi M. Kohnen
M. Kohnen
VS
OH Leuven T. Simons
T. Simons
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.94
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Standard Liège Rank: 74 W
OH Leuven Rank: 68 D
Westerlo Rank: 72 L
Antwerp Rank: 73 W
Genk Rank: 79 W
OH Leuven Rank: 68 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Genk Rank: 79 L
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 75 D
Antwerp Rank: 73 W
Standard Liège Rank: 74 L
Westerlo Rank: 72 D
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 75 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 3 - 3
3

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.96
67.66
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Charleroi
OH Leuven
Power Score
74.96
67.66
League Position
3
15
Global Rank
156
339

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Charleroi — Opponent-weighted form score
OH Leuven — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Charleroi OH Leuven

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sporting Charleroi

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

OH Leuven

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sporting Charleroi ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy OH Leuven
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
48.02
35.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.00
48.02
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sporting Charleroi +1.14 Efficiency Index
vs
OH Leuven -1.14 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sporting Charleroi
OH Leuven
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sporting Charleroi
vs
OH Leuven
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sporting Charleroi OH Leuven
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
32%
23%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.19 vs -0.30
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sporting Charleroi OH Leuven
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
23%
32%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.30 vs -0.19
Sporting Charleroi
OH Leuven
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sporting Charleroi
vs
OH Leuven
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sporting Charleroi OH Leuven
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sporting Charleroi 0.31
OH Leuven 0.22
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sporting Charleroi OH Leuven
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sporting Charleroi 0.02
OH Leuven 0.04
Sporting Charleroi
OH Leuven
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SPC had peak pressure around 80'.
  • OHL started the game with stronger pressure.
SPC Pressure OHL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SPC reached the top pressure at 80' (93.04).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Charleroi SPC Home
8 matches
OH Leuven OHL Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
7
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
2.52
xG
1.46
1.46
xGA
2.52

Data last updated: 2026-08-10T07:47:05+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Pro League, Belgium · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Capacity
15000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michiel Allaerts
Bryan Bijnens
Ben Gonnissen
Nicolas Laforge

Statistics

Possession
SPC
58%
OHL
42%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 6
77 Dangerous attacks 54
58 Possession 42
6 Corners 2
12 Free kicks 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

71 Ball Safe 64
1 Penalties 0
12 Goal Kicks 11
15 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 5
19 Throwins 15
3 Hit Woodwork 0
16 Successful Headers 13
1 Assists 1
18 Dribble Attempts 20
9 Successful Dribbles 5
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 25

Attacking

91 Attacks 98
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

57 Long Passes 52
496 Passes 341
419 Successful Passes 267
84 Successful Passes Percentage 78
20 Key Passes 10
34 Successful Long Passes 22
60 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42

Defensive

2 Saves 6
24 Tackles 22
7 Interceptions 14
62 Duels Won 46

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 20
4 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

5 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Michiel Allaerts

Starting XI ▼

30
Mohamed Koné
Mohamed Koné Goalkeeper
6.68
3
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof Defender
7.2
4
Aiham Ousou
Aiham Ousou (C) Defender
7.4
24
Mardochée Nzita
Mardochée Nzita Defender
7.05
95
Check Keita
Check Keita Defender
6.94
6
Amine Boukamir
Amine Boukamir Midfielder
6.51
19
Isaac Ismaël Cissé
Isaac Ismaël Cissé
Midfielder46'
7.16
10
Parfait Guiagon
Parfait Guiagon Midfielder
7.69
20
Freddy Mbemba
Freddy Mbemba
Attacker74'
7.57
14
Patrick Pflücke
Patrick Pflücke Midfielder
7.39
9
Adama Bojang
Adama Bojang
Attacker68'
6.72
17
Antoine Bernier
Antoine Bernier Midfielder
7.16
25
Antoine Colassin
Antoine Colassin
Attacker83'
6.7
18
Yassine Khalifi
Yassine Khalifi Midfielder
7.44
21
Aurélien Scheidler
Aurélien Scheidler Attacker
6.79
8
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
Midfielder74'
7.04
Referee : Michiel Allaerts

Starting XI ▼

16
Dani van den Heuvel
Dani van den Heuvel Goalkeeper
7.55
3
Noë Dussenne
Noë Dussenne Defender
7.04
28
Ewoud Pletinckx
Ewoud Pletinckx Defender
6.76
34
Roggerio Nyakossi
Roggerio Nyakossi Defender
6.73
6
Wouter George
Wouter George Midfielder
6.97
24
Lukasz Lakomy
Lukasz Lakomy
Midfielder70'
6.45
8
Siebe Schrijvers
Siebe Schrijvers (C) Midfielder
6.83
11
Henok Teklab
Henok Teklab Midfielder
6.47
26
Takuya Ogiwara
Takuya Ogiwara
Defender64'
6.44
27
Óscar Gil
Óscar Gil Midfielder
7.61
99
Davis Opoku
Davis Opoku
Defender64'
6.43
9
Abdoul Karim Traoré
Abdoul Karim Traoré Attacker
5.22
19
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi Attacker
6.5
20
Shin Yamada
Shin Yamada
Attacker76'
6.35
21
William Balikwisha
William Balikwisha Attacker
6.76
17
Kyan Vaesen
Kyan Vaesen
Attacker76'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Antoine Colassin → Antoine Bernier
10th Substitution
83'
Event
Freddy Mbemba
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
79'
76'
Event
Kyan Vaesen → William Balikwisha
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Shin Yamada → Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
9th Substitution
Event
Freddy Mbemba → Parfait Guiagon
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas → Aurélien Scheidler
7th Substitution
74'
70'
Event
Lukasz Lakomy → Wouter George
5th Substitution
Event
Adama Bojang → Patrick Pflücke
4th Substitution
68'
64'
Event
Takuya Ogiwara → Henok Teklab
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Davis Opoku → Óscar Gil
3rd Substitution
Event
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
59'
Event
Check Keita
Goal disallowed
47'
Event
Isaac Ismaël Cissé → Amine Boukamir
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
39'
Event
Óscar Gil
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Aiham Ousou
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
31'
30'
Event
Abdoul Karim Traoré
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
Event
Parfait Guiagon
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
24'
Event
Aiham Ousou
Penalty awarded
22'
20'
Event
Abdoul Karim Traoré
Simulation / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Adama Bojang takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Update Update
Offside.
89
Attempt Attempt
Noe Dussenne takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Colassin takes a right-footed shot but misses.
83
Substitution Substitution
Antoine Bernier is substituted off for Antoine Colassin.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Attempt Attempt
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas takes a right-footed shot but misses.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Freddy Mbemba takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-1.
78
Attempt Attempt
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas takes a right-footed shot but misses.
76
Update Update
Shin Yamada comes on for Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi.
76
Update Update
Kyan Vaesen is on, and William Balikwisha is off.
75
Update Update
Offside.
74
Update Update
Freddy Mbemba comes on for Parfait Guiagon.
74
Update Update
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas comes on for Aurelien Scheidler.
73
Attempt Attempt
Parfait Guiagon takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Update Update
Offside.
71
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Adama Bojang Head Shot Missed
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Update Update
Lukasz Lakomy is on, and Wouter George is off.
68
Update Update
Adama Bojang is on, and Patrick Pflucke is off.
68
Attempt Attempt
Siebi Schrijvers takes a right-footed shot but misses.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Attempt Attempt
Siebi Schrijvers takes a right-footed shot but misses.
67
Attempt Attempt
Cheick Keita's header is saved.
66
Attempt Attempt
Yassine Khalifi takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Attempt Attempt
Parfait Guiagon takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
63
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Pflucke takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Siebi Schrijvers is blocked.
62
Attempt Attempt
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
61
Attempt Attempt
Siebi Schrijvers takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kevin Van Den Kerkhof scores, making it 2-1.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Update Update
Offside.
47
Attempt Attempt
Mardochee Nzita takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Cheick Keita scores, making it 2-1.
46
Substitution Substitution
Isaac Cisse is substituted for Amine Boukamir.
45
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Gil Regano takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Aurelien Scheidler takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi.
44
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi.
41
Attempt Attempt
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi attempts a header but misses the shot.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Oscar Gil Regano with a right-footed shot into the goal.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
36
Update Update
Offside.
31
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Aiham Ousou.
30
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card issued to Abdoul Karim Traore.
29
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
28
Update Update
Offside.
28
Update Update
Offside.
27
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Pflucke takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Parfait Guiagon takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Parfait Guiagon scores, making it 1-0.
22
Update Update
VAR decision results in a penalty awarded to Kevin Van Den Kerkhof.
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Abdoul Karim Traore.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Abdoul Karim Traore.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Attempt Attempt
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
3
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Gil Regano takes a right-footed shot but misses.
2
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Pflucke takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Michiel Allaerts.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sporting Charleroi 3-1 OH Leuven. Structural assessment: Sporting Charleroi exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.