Horsens vs Brøndby IF preview

Denmark flag 2026/2027 Superliga, Denmark
Hybel Arena Horsens Sun, 9 Aug - 4:00 PM
Superliga
HorsensACH
0 2
Brøndby IFBIF
Full Time Sun, 9 Aug 4:00 PM
Round 3 Regular Season
|
Goal
Mikkel Kupijbida - 60' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

Horsens hosted Brøndby IF in a match that concluded with a 0-2 scoreline in favor of the visitors. Brøndby IF opened the scoring in the first half to lead 0-1 at the break. They extended their advantage in the second period to secure the full points. Despite Horsens controlling 52 percent of the possession, their expected goals stood at just 0.51. Brøndby IF generated 0.88 expected goals with 48 percent possession. The result proved consistent with the pre-match expectations for the stronger side. No red cards were shown to players from either team throughout the ninety minutes. The performance highlighted Brøndby IF's clinical approach on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Horsens 0-2 Brøndby IF. Brøndby IF showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The match outcome was consistent with the expected goals differential.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with the pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Horsens generated 0.51 xG while Brøndby IF produced 0.88 xG.
  • Event impact: No major events altered the flow beyond the goals scored.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued to either side during the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Karlsen
J. Karlsen
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Dahl
J. Dahl
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Christensen
T. Christensen
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Svendsen
F. Svendsen
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Horsens N. Dige Zimling
N. Dige Zimling
VS
Brøndby IF T. Nørgaard
T. Nørgaard
0.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.06
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Midtjylland Rank: 80 L
Nordsjælland Rank: 70 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viborg FF Rank: 68 W
AGF Rank: 74 D
FC København Rank: 75 L
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 W
AGF Rank: 75 L
Nordsjælland Rank: 71 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
40.49
69.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Horsens
Brøndby IF
Power Score
40.49
69.76
League Position
12
1
Global Rank
859
288

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Horsens — Opponent-weighted form score
Brøndby IF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Horsens Brøndby IF

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Horsens

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brøndby IF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Horsens ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brøndby IF
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.17
23.96
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.96
23.17
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Horsens -0.09 Efficiency Index
vs
Brøndby IF +0.09 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Horsens
Brøndby IF
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Horsens
vs
Brøndby IF
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Horsens Brøndby IF
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
39%
52%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.20 vs -0.45
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Horsens Brøndby IF
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
52%
39%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.45 vs -0.20
Horsens
Brøndby IF
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Horsens
vs
Brøndby IF
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Horsens Brøndby IF
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Horsens 0.24
Brøndby IF 0.18
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Horsens Brøndby IF
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Horsens 0.04
Brøndby IF 0.00
Horsens
Brøndby IF
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BIF had peak pressure around 61'.
  • BIF started the game with stronger pressure.
ACH Pressure BIF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BIF reached the top pressure at 61' (73.44).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 09, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Superliga, Denmark · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
Hybel Arena Horsens
Capacity
10495
Attendance
7057
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jacob Karlsen
Jesper Dahl
Troels Christensen
Frederik Svendsen

Statistics

Possession
ACH
51%
BIF
49%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
0 Big Chances Created 2
5 Shots 5
41 Dangerous attacks 50
52 Possession 48
3 Corners 6
9 Free kicks 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

67 Ball Safe 60
7 Goal Kicks 7
5 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 4
29 Throwins 21
0 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Assists 1
2 Injuries 0
8 Dribble Attempts 14
5 Successful Dribbles 7
63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

93 Attacks 93
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

49 Long Passes 40
459 Passes 421
387 Successful Passes 346
84 Successful Passes Percentage 82
5 Key Passes 8
25 Successful Long Passes 18
51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45

Defensive

1 Saves 3
13 Tackles 16
5 Interceptions 18
36 Duels Won 52

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 21
2 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
18 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Jacob Karlsen

Starting XI ▼

1
Matej Delac
Matej Delac (C) Goalkeeper
6.6
24
Ole Martin Kolskogen
Ole Martin Kolskogen Defender
6.41
7
Ivan Milicevic
Ivan Milicevic
Defender84'
6.28
26
Victor Pálsson
Victor Pálsson Defender
6.65
28
Alagie Saine
Alagie Saine Defender
6.87
35
Mikkel Kupijbida
Mikkel Kupijbida Defender
6.28
10
Kristian Kirkegaard
Kristian Kirkegaard Midfielder
6.05
27
Yamirou Ouorou
Yamirou Ouorou
Attacker54'
6.56
14
Julius Madsen
Julius Madsen Midfielder
6.73
15
Adrian Justinussen
Adrian Justinussen Midfielder
6.37
19
Jimi Tauriainen
Jimi Tauriainen
Midfielder71'
6.64
16
Abdul Moro
Abdul Moro Midfielder
6.86
20
Karlo Lusavec
Karlo Lusavec
Midfielder84'
6.43
17
Adam Herdonsson
Adam Herdonsson Midfielder
6.56
18
Julius Körkkö
Julius Körkkö
Attacker71'
6.66
11
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan Attacker
6.82
Referee : Jacob Karlsen

Starting XI ▼

1
Patrick Pentz
Patrick Pentz Goalkeeper
7.7
2
Oliver Villadsen
Oliver Villadsen Defender
7.31
37
Raphael Canut
Raphael Canut
Defender80'
6.58
4
Luis Binks
Luis Binks (C) Defender
7.35
27
Mats Köhlert
Mats Köhlert Defender
7.74
30
Jordi Vanlerberghe
Jordi Vanlerberghe Defender
7.13
11
Filip Bundgaard
Filip Bundgaard Midfielder
6.62
38
Jacob Ambæk
Jacob Ambæk
Attacker63'
6.55
18
Max Ejdum
Max Ejdum Midfielder
6.7
10
Daniel Wass
Daniel Wass
Midfielder84'
6.84
21
Marcus Younis
Marcus Younis Midfielder
6.69
7
Olti Hyseni
Olti Hyseni
Attacker63'
6.51
29
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen Midfielder
7.43
99
Bartosz Slisz
Bartosz Slisz Midfielder
6.91
51
Oskar Fenger
Oskar Fenger Attacker
6.55
9
Patrick Mortensen
Patrick Mortensen
Attacker46'
6.91

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Karlo Lusavec → Abdul Moro
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Ivan Milicevic → Ole Martin Kolskogen
9th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Daniel Wass → Max Ejdum
10th Substitution
80'
Event
Raphael Canut → Oliver Villadsen
7th Substitution
Event
Abdul Moro
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
73'
Event
Julius Körkkö → Adam Herdonsson
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Jimi Tauriainen → Adrian Justinussen
6th Substitution
71'
63'
Event
Jacob Ambæk → Filip Bundgaard
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Olti Hyseni → Marcus Younis
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Mikkel Kupijbida
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
Event
Yamirou Ouorou → Kristian Kirkegaard
2nd Substitution
54'
46'
Event
Patrick Mortensen → Oskar Fenger
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Marcus Younis
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
43'
Event
Max Ejdum
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Ole Martin Kolskogen
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
34'
12'
Event
Marcus Younis
Header / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Offside.
89
Attempt Attempt
Julius Madsen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
Julius Korkko takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
87
Attempt Attempt
Olti Hyseni's header is saved.
84
Substitution Substitution
Ivan Milicevic is substituted for Ole Martin Kolskogen.
84
Update Update
On comes Daniel Wass, off goes Max Ejdum.
84
Update Update
On comes Daniel Wass, off goes Max Ejdum.
83
Update Update
Karlo Lusavec comes on for Moro.
81
Attempt Attempt
Raphael Canut attempts a header but misses the shot.
81
Attempt Attempt
Luis Binks takes a shot with his head, but it's blocked.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Update Update
Raphael Canut is on, and Oliver Rose-Villadsen is off.
76
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Gudlaugur Victor Palsson with his right foot, but it misses the target.
75
Attempt Attempt
Gudlaugur Victor Palsson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
74
Attempt Attempt
Olti Hyseni takes a shot with his head but hits the post.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Moro receives a yellow card.
71
Update Update
On Jimi Tauriainen, off Adrian Runason Justinussen.
71
Update Update
Julius Korkko is on, and Adam Herdonsson is off.
65
Attempt Attempt
Julius Madsen's left-footed shot is blocked.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Update Update
Olti Hyseni replaces Marcus Younis.
62
Substitution Substitution
Jacob Ambaek is substituted off for Filip Bundgaard Kristensen.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Mikkel Kupijbida Other Body Part Shot Own Goal球
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal makes it 0-2.
59
Attempt Attempt
Filip Bundgaard Kristensen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Update Update
Yamirou Ouorou is on, and Kristian Kirkegaard is off.
50
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Kelvin Osemudiamen Ehibhatiomhan with his right foot is saved.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Patrick Mortensen comes on for Oskar Fenger.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marcus Younis receives a yellow card.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Max Ejdum receives a yellow card.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision is pending for a goal.
39
Update Update
Offside.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
38
Update Update
Offside.
37
Update Update
Offside.
34
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Ole Martin Kolskogen.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Attempt Attempt
Filip Bundgaard Kristensen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Attempt Attempt
Adrian Runason Justinussen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Marcus Younis with a header finds the back of the net for a goal.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Marcus Younis scores to make it 0-1, assisted by Mats Kohlert.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Attempt Attempt
Mats Kohlert takes a left-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Alagie Saine takes a right-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Shot taken by Kelvin Osemudiamen Ehibhatiomhan, but it misses the target.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Jacob Karlsen.

CONCLUSION

The final result saw Brøndby IF triumph 0-2 away from home against Horsens. This outcome reflected the underlying metrics where the away side held a slight edge in expected goals. Possession was fairly even but did not translate into scoring opportunities for the home team. Brøndby IF capitalized on their chances effectively to claim victory. The absence of any dismissals ensured the game remained a standard contest without additional complications. Overall the stronger team delivered a performance aligned with their status. Fans witnessed a controlled display from the winners who managed the game well after taking the early lead.