Tilbury vs Wormley Rovers preview

England flag 2026/2027 FA Cup, England
Chadfields
FA Cup
2 0
Wormley RoversWormley Rovers
Full Time
Extra Preliminary Round

CONTEXT

Tilbury defeated Wormley Rovers by a score of 2-0 in a match where the home side established control early. The first half ended with Tilbury leading 1-0 after a well-taken goal that shifted momentum in their favor. Wormley Rovers struggled to create clear chances despite some periods of possession. In the second half Tilbury extended their advantage with a clinical finish that confirmed their superiority on the day. The stronger team delivered a composed display without the need for disciplinary interventions as no red cards were issued to either side. Limited data on expected goals and possession left some aspects of performance analysis open but the outcome aligned with the pre-match view of Tilbury as favorites. This result underscores their consistency in converting leads into full points.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Tilbury exhibited a significant structural deviation from pre-match expectations in their 2-0 win.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team's overall performance.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment with the final score could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The 2-0 result proved aligned with market expectations for the stronger side.
  • xG expectations: No xG values were recorded for Tilbury or Wormley Rovers during the match.
  • Event impact: The match featured no major events that altered the path to the 2-0 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards for both teams ensured no distortion from disciplinary incidents.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Tilbury Tilbury
Tilbury
VS
Wormley Rovers Wormley Rovers
Wormley Rovers
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Tilbury
Wormley Rovers
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Tilbury Opponent-weighted form score
Wormley Rovers Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Tilbury Wormley Rovers

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Tilbury

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Wormley Rovers

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Tilbury ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Wormley Rovers
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Tilbury Wormley Rovers
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Tilbury Wormley Rovers
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Tilbury
Wormley Rovers
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Tilbury
vs
Wormley Rovers
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Tilbury Wormley Rovers
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Tilbury Wormley Rovers
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Tilbury
Wormley Rovers
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 FA Cup, England · Extra Preliminary Round
Stadium
Chadfields
Capacity
4000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

Connor Wheatley
Connor Wheatley Goalkeeper
Jamie Reynolds
Jamie Reynolds Defender
Luke Reeve
Luke Reeve Defender
Sam Carter
Sam Carter Midfielder
Tyler Forbes
Tyler Forbes Attacker
Jake Forbes
Jake Forbes Attacker

Squad

No data available

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
2nd Goal
90+5'
1ST-HALF
Event
1st Goal
26'

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Tilbury's 2-0 success over Wormley Rovers demonstrated clear control from start to finish with the halftime lead of 1-0 providing a solid platform. The home side added a second goal after the break to remove any doubt about the outcome. Without red cards or other disruptions the contest stayed focused on tactical execution and clinical finishing. Tilbury as the stronger team fulfilled expectations by maintaining structure and limiting opportunities for the visitors. The lack of detailed metrics such as expected goals did not detract from the visible dominance on the pitch. This victory reinforces Tilbury's position while Wormley Rovers will look to address their inability to break down organized defenses in future fixtures.