Partizan vs Tobol preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadion Partizana Today - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Partizan PAR
Tobol TOB
KICKOFF : Today - 7:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Partizan welcome Tobol to Stadion Partizana for the opening leg of their Europa Conference League third qualifying round tie. The Serbian side enter as clear favourites on the back of a substantial power advantage and superior recent form metrics. With a home power score of 50 against Tobol's 23.33, Partizan hold a 26.7 point edge that underscores their status as the stronger side. The match represents a significant step up in competition level for the visitors from Kazakhstan. Both teams will look to impose their styles early in this two-legged encounter, with Partizan expected to dominate possession and territory at their home ground. The fixture promises an intriguing contrast in approaches as the hosts aim to secure a positive result before travelling for the return leg.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Partizan hold a 26.7 point power advantage over Tobol in this first leg encounter.
  • Form: Partizan post a form score of 50 compared to Tobol's 16.67 ahead of the match.
  • Squad: Partizan are identified as the stronger squad based on overall power metrics.
  • Efficiency: Detailed efficiency data remains unavailable for both sides in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition phase metrics are not provided for either Partizan or Tobol.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy data used for both teams.
  • xVariable: Partizan demonstrate a clear overall power edge of 26.7 points.
  • Market: Partizan 70.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 19.5% (Δ+0%) | Tobol 10.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Partizan S. Ilić
S. Ilić
VS
Tobol M. Romashchenko
M. Romashchenko
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
UNA Strassen Rank: W
UNA Strassen Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Panevėžys Rank: D
Panevėžys Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Partizan
70.31%
Draw
19.45%
Away Tobol
10.24%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Partizan
Tobol
Power Score
50
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Partizan — Opponent-weighted form score
Tobol — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Partizan Tobol

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Partizan PAR Home
0 matches
Tobol TOB Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-05T00:07:28+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 06, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadion Partizana
Capacity
32170
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre
Nélson Filipe Vila Pereira
Francisco João Serra Jorge Pereira

CONCLUSION

Partizan are well positioned to take control of this tie at home against Tobol. Their superior power rating and form scores suggest they will dictate the tempo and create the majority of opportunities. Tobol face a difficult task on the road and will need to remain compact while seeking opportunities on the counter. The first leg offers Partizan a platform to build a lead before the return fixture. Expect the hosts to press forward from the outset in search of an early advantage. Tobol must show resilience and discipline to limit damage and stay in contention for the second leg. Overall the match shapes up as a test of Partizan's attacking quality against Tobol's defensive organisation.