Sporting Braga vs Dinamo Minsk preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Estádio Municipal de Braga Today - 6:30 PM
Europa Conference League
Sporting Braga SCB
1 0
Dinamo Minsk DIN
Full Time Today 6:30 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Ricardo Horta  - 45' (P)
Goal
|

CONTEXT

In the opening leg of their knockout tie Sporting Braga defeated Dinamo Minsk by a score of 1-0 at home. The match saw the home team score once before halftime and hold onto that advantage throughout the remaining time. Possession was heavily skewed in favor of Sporting Braga who controlled 73 percent of the ball while Dinamo Minsk managed only 27 percent. Neither side received any red cards which kept the game at full strength for both teams. The outcome aligned with the stronger team prevailing in this encounter. Overall the performance demonstrated solid control from the hosts in a low scoring affair typical of such European ties.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Sporting Braga 1-0 Dinamo Minsk. Sporting Braga showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was true based on the match outcome.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were not available given the absence of expected goals metrics.
  • Event impact: Event impact centered on the first half goal that decided the match result.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was not a factor with zero red cards issued to either side.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
C. Ciochirca
C. Ciochirca
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Weiss
M. Weiss
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Obritzberger
M. Obritzberger
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Talic
A. Talic
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sporting Braga C. Vicens
C. Vicens
VS
Dinamo Minsk A. Shagojko
A. Shagojko
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Železničar Pančevo Rank: W
Železničar Pančevo Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Neftçi Rank: L
Neftçi Rank: W
Sileks Rank: W
Sileks Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Braga
96.99%
Draw
2.37%
Away Dinamo Minsk
0.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sporting Braga
+2.81%
Draw
-2.69%
Dinamo Minsk
-0.12%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
32.09
27.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Braga
Dinamo Minsk
Power Score
32.09
27.78
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Braga — Opponent-weighted form score
Dinamo Minsk — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Braga Dinamo Minsk

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sporting Braga

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dinamo Minsk

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sporting Braga ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dinamo Minsk
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sporting Braga Dinamo Minsk
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sporting Braga Dinamo Minsk
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sporting Braga
Dinamo Minsk
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sporting Braga
vs
Dinamo Minsk
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sporting Braga Dinamo Minsk
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sporting Braga 0.00
Dinamo Minsk 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sporting Braga Dinamo Minsk
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sporting Braga 0.00
Dinamo Minsk 0.00
Sporting Braga
Dinamo Minsk
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SCB had peak pressure around 22'.
  • SCB started the game with stronger pressure.
SCB Pressure DIN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SCB reached the top pressure at 22' (68.53).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
B. Parise Fontes
Brazil
31 B. Parise Fontes
V. Gómez Perea
Spain
2 V. Gómez Perea
S. Barcia Laranxeira
Spain
22 S. Barcia Laranxeira
V. Carvalho Vieira
Brazil
6 V. Carvalho Vieira
A. Bajrami
Albania
44 A. Bajrami
J. Iria Santos Moutinho
Substitution
Portugal
8 J. Iria Santos Moutinho
G. Baptiste
France
29 G. Baptiste
D. Huseinbasic
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
23 D. Huseinbasic
G. Silva Vieira
Substitution
Brazil
11 G. Silva Vieira
R. Horta
Portugal
21 (C) R. Horta
Pau Victor
Substitution
Spain
10 Pau Victor
I. Shimakovich
Belarus
1 I. Shimakovich
A. Vakulich
Belarus
24 A. Vakulich
V. Kalinin
Belarus
26 V. Kalinin
A. Ivanov
Belarus
12 A. Ivanov
H. Hurban
Belarus
44 H. Hurban
O. Abdullahi
Nigeria
42 O. Abdullahi
A. Zhechko
Substitution
23 A. Zhechko
A. Selyava
Belarus
8 (C) A. Selyava
E. Malashevich
Substitution
Belarus
7 E. Malashevich
L. Gweth
Substitution
Cameroon
80 L. Gweth
M. Djimet
Central African Republic
30 M. Djimet

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 06, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Capacity
30286
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Chiristian-Petru Ciochirca
Maximilian Weiss
Michael Obritzberger
Arnes Talic

Statistics

Possession
SCB
66%
DIN
34%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
5 Shots 1
71 Dangerous attacks 23
73 Possession 27
10 Corners 1
10 Free kicks 12
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

67 Ball Safe 46
6 Goal Attempts 2
4 Substitutions 3
23 Throwins 16

Attacking

98 Attacks 55

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Chiristian-Petru Ciochirca

Starting XI ▼

31
Bernardo
Bernardo Goalkeeper
6
Vítor Carvalho
Vítor Carvalho Defender
22
Sergio Barcia
Sergio Barcia Defender
44
Adrian Bajrami
Adrian Bajrami Defender
2
Víctor Gómez
Víctor Gómez Midfielder
8
João Moutinho
João Moutinho Midfielder
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Midfielder71'
23
Denis Huseinbasic
Denis Huseinbasic Midfielder
50
Diego Rodrigues
Diego Rodrigues
Midfielder71'
29
Gorby
Gorby Midfielder
10
Pau Víctor
Pau Víctor Attacker
9
Fran Navarro
Fran Navarro
Attacker77'
11
Gabriel Silva
Gabriel Silva Attacker
7
Diogo Travassos
Diogo Travassos
Defender46'
21
Ricardo Horta
Ricardo Horta (C) Attacker
Referee : Chiristian-Petru Ciochirca

Starting XI ▼

1
Ivan Shimakovich
Ivan Shimakovich Goalkeeper
12
Aleksey Ivanov
Aleksey Ivanov Defender
24
Aleksey Vakulich
Aleksey Vakulich Defender
26
Vladislav Kalinin
Vladislav Kalinin Defender
44
Gleb Gurban
Gleb Gurban Defender
7
Evgeniy Malashevich
Evgeniy Malashevich Midfielder
11
Gulzhigit Alykulov
Gulzhigit Alykulov
Midfielder79'
8
Aleksandr Selyava
Aleksandr Selyava (C) Midfielder
23
Aleksey Zhechko
Aleksey Zhechko Midfielder
78
Artem Sokolovskiy
Artem Sokolovskiy
Midfielder62'
42
Fawaz Abdullahi
Fawaz Abdullahi Midfielder
30
Moustapha Djimet
Moustapha Djimet Attacker
80
Leonard Gweth
Leonard Gweth Attacker
10
Karen Vardanyan
Karen Vardanyan
Attacker46'

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Karen Vardanyan
Tripping / 3rd Yellowcard
79'
Event
Gulzhigit Alykulov → Evgeniy Malashevich
7th Substitution
Event
Fran Navarro → Pau Víctor
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Diego Rodrigues → Denis Huseinbasic
4th Substitution
71'
Event
Demir Ege Tıknaz → João Moutinho
5th Substitution
71'
70'
Event
Evgeniy Malashevich
Roughing / 2nd Yellowcard
62'
Event
Artem Sokolovskiy → Aleksey Zhechko
3rd Substitution
Event
Diogo Travassos → Gabriel Silva
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Karen Vardanyan → Leonard Gweth
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Ricardo Horta 
Penalty / 1st Penalty
45'
20'
Event
Fawaz Abdullahi
Tripping / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Karen Vardanyan receives a yellow card.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Update Update
Gulzhigit Alykulov comes on, replacing Evgeni Malashevich.
77
Substitution Substitution
Francisco Jose Navarro Aliaga is substituted off for Pau Victor Delgado.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Update Update
Diego Rodrigues is on, and Denis Huseinbasic is off.
71
Update Update
Demir Ege Tiknaz comes on for Joao Filipe Iria Santos Moutinho.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Evgeni Malashevich receives a yellow card.
62
Update Update
Artem Sokolovskiy is on, and Aleksey Zhechko is off.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Substitution Substitution
Karen Vardanyan is substituted off for Leonard Gweth.
46
Update Update
Diogo Travassos comes on for Gabriel Silva Vieira.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Ricardo Jorge Luz Horta scores, making it 1-0.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Fawaz Abdullahi.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Christian-Petru Ciochirca.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sporting Braga 1-0 Dinamo Minsk. Structural assessment: Sporting Braga exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.