Noah vs Sion preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Armenia Football Academy grass Thu, 6 Aug - 4:00 PM
Europa Conference League
NoahNOAH
2 – 2
SionSIO
Full Time Thu, 6 Aug 4:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Hélder Ferreira - 5' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Stone Mambo 64' Red Card
|
Second yellow card Nias Hefti 26'

CONTEXT

Noah hosted Sion in the first leg of their tie and the contest concluded 2-2 after a lively opening period. Noah led 2-1 at halftime with the stronger side holding 53 percent possession against Sion's 47 percent. Expected goals favored Sion at 2.1 to Noah's 1.65 producing a differential of minus 0.45. Both sides finished with one red card apiece which altered the second-half structure. The 71 percent deviation registered as significant for Noah yet the draw outcome remained consistent with the xG profile. Second-half adjustments centered on the red-card distortion that limited further scoring opportunities for either side.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Noah recorded a significant 71 percent structural deviation from pre-match projections.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with underlying performance indicators.
  • xG alignment: The final 2-2 result aligned with the expected goals distribution.
  • Market alignment: The match outcome did not align with market projections.
  • xG expectations: Sion carried higher xG expectations at 2.1 against Noah's 1.65.
  • Event impact: Red-card events produced the primary second-half adjustments.
  • Red card distortion: One red card per team created measurable distortion in both lineups.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. De Gabriele
M. De Gabriele
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Spiteri
J. Spiteri
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Scerri
M. Scerri
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Johnson
A. Johnson
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Noah S. Perković
S. Perković
VS
Sion D. Tholot
D. Tholot
1.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.75 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zimbru Rank: W
Zimbru Rank: D
AZ Rank: 80 L
AZ Rank: 80 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
BATE Rank: W
BATE Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Noah
34.18%
Draw
28.95%
Away Sion
36.87%

Movement

Changes since opening
Noah
+28.14%
Draw
-58.97%
Sion
+30.83%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
32.22
27.4
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Noah
Sion
Power Score
32.22
27.4
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Noah — Opponent-weighted form score
Sion — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Noah Sion

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Noah

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sion

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Noah
vs
Sion
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Noah Sion
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
63%
5%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.03 vs -0.10
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Noah Sion
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
5%
63%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.10 vs -0.03
Noah
Sion
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Noah
vs
Sion
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Noah Sion
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Noah 0.00
Sion 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Noah Sion
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Noah 0.00
Sion 0.00
Noah
Sion
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NOAH had peak pressure around 69'.
  • NOAH started the game with stronger pressure.
NOAH Pressure SIO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NOAH reached the top pressure at 69' (74.92).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 06, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Armenia Football Academy grass
Capacity
3946
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Matthew De Gabriele
Jurgen Spiteri
Mitchell Scerri
Alex Johnson

Statistics

Possession
NOAH
54%
SIO
46%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 2
5 Shots 4
40 Dangerous attacks 31
53 Possession 47
1 Corners 2
9 Free kicks 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
6 Goal Kicks 10
4 Substitutions 4
20 Throwins 22
1 Assists 2
7 Dribble Attempts 15
3 Successful Dribbles 4
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27

Attacking

126 Attacks 68
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

55 Long Passes 66
497 Passes 433
414 Successful Passes 349
83 Successful Passes Percentage 81
7 Key Passes 10
29 Successful Long Passes 19
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 29

Defensive

4 Saves 2
16 Tackles 13
5 Interceptions 4

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 13
5 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
16 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Matthew De Gabriele

Starting XI ▼

99
Dani Figueira
Dani Figueira Goalkeeper
4
Stone Mambo
Stone Mambo Defender
19
Hovhannes Hambardzumyan
Hovhannes Hambardzumyan (C) Defender
6
Eric Boakye
Eric Boakye
Defender32'
33
David Sualehe
David Sualehe Defender
21
Michael Pavlovic
Michael Pavlovic
Defender46'
39
Nathanaël Saintini
Nathanaël Saintini Defender
7
Hélder Ferreira
Hélder Ferreira Midfielder
10
Gor Manvelyan
Gor Manvelyan Midfielder
3
Sergey Muradyan
Sergey Muradyan
Defender67'
14
Takuto Oshima
Takuto Oshima Midfielder
17
Gustavo Sangaré
Gustavo Sangaré Midfielder
44
Marin Jakolis
Marin Jakolis Midfielder
9
Mario González
Mario González Attacker
Referee : Matthew De Gabriele

Starting XI ▼

1
Anthony Racioppi
Anthony Racioppi Goalkeeper
5
Noé Sow
Noé Sow Defender
14
Numa Lavanchy
Numa Lavanchy Defender
17
Jan Kronig
Jan Kronig Defender
20
Nias Hefti
Nias Hefti Defender
7
Ilyas Chouaref
Ilyas Chouaref Midfielder
9
Josias Lukembila
Josias Lukembila
Attacker75'
8
Baltazar
Baltazar Midfielder
13
Winsley Boteli
Winsley Boteli Midfielder
29
Théo Berdayes
Théo Berdayes
Attacker60'
19
Franck Surdez
Franck Surdez Midfielder
77
Donat Rrudhani
Donat Rrudhani
Midfielder60'
88
Ali Kabacalman
Ali Kabacalman (C) Midfielder
33
Rilind Nivokazi
Rilind Nivokazi Attacker
6
Marquinhos Cipriano
Marquinhos Cipriano
Defender30'

Events

2ND-HALF
75'
Event
Josias Lukembila → Ilyas Chouaref
8th Substitution
Event
Sergey Muradyan → Gor Manvelyan
7th Substitution
67'
Event
Stone Mambo
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
64'
Event
Valentin Costache → Marko Lazetić
5th Substitution
60'
60'
Event
Théo Berdayes → Winsley Boteli
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Donat Rrudhani → Franck Surdez
6th Substitution
57'
Event
Ilyas Chouaref
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Michael Pavlovic → David Sualehe
3rd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Eric Boakye → Hovhannes Hambardzumyan 
2nd Substitution
32'
30'
Event
Marquinhos Cipriano → Rilind Nivokazi
1st Substitution
26'
Event
Nias Hefti
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Gor Manvelyan
Header / 2nd Goal
20'
13'
Event
Winsley Boteli
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Hélder Ferreira
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
5'
4'
Event
Nias Hefti
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Donat Rrudhani takes a right-footed shot but misses.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Attempt Attempt
Helder Ferreira takes a right-footed shot but misses.
79
Attempt Attempt
Theo Berdayes takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
79
Attempt Attempt
Helder Ferreira takes a header shot but misses.
75
Substitution Substitution
Josias Lukembila is substituted off for Ylyas Chouaref.
74
Attempt Attempt
Marquinhos Cipriano takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
74
Attempt Attempt
Donat Rrudhani takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Attempt Attempt
Theo Berdayes takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
67
Update Update
Sergey Muradyan comes on for Gor Manvelyan.
66
Attempt Attempt
Ali Kabacalman takes a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
66
Attempt Attempt
Donat Rrudhani takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
65
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Stone Mambo.
64
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Stone Mambo.
60
Update Update
Valentin Ionut Costache comes on for Marko Lazetic.
60
Update Update
Donat Rrudhani comes on for Franck Surdez.
60
Attempt Attempt
Stone Mambo attempts a header but misses the shot.
60
Update Update
On Theo Berdayes, off Winsley Boteli.
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ylyas Chouaref takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
57
Attempt Attempt
Winsley Boteli takes a shot with his head but misses.
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ylyas Chouaref scores, bringing the match to 2-2.
53
Attempt Attempt
Winsley Boteli takes a right-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Marko Lazetic takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Michael Pavlovic is on, and David Sualehe is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Eric Boakye takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Gor Manvelyan takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
32
Update Update
Eric Boakye replaces Hovhannes Hambardzumyan.
30
Update Update
Marquinhos Cipriano is on, and Rilind Nivokazi is off.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card shown to Nias Hefti.
25
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card shown to Nias Hefti.
24
Attempt Attempt
Franck Surdez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
24
Attempt Attempt
Winsley Boteli takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Gor Manvelyan Head Shot Goal
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Gor Manvelyan scores, making it 2-1.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Winsley Boteli with his right foot results in a goal.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
5
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Helder Ferreira scores with a right-footed shot.
5
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Helder Ferreira with his right foot results in a goal.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Helder Ferreira scores from the penalty spot to make it 1-0.
2
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nias Hefti receives a yellow card.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has taken place!

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw reflected the xG balance despite the halftime lead held by Noah. Sion's superior expected goals total of 2.1 underscored their threat even after the red cards reduced both teams to ten players. Possession edges for Noah did not translate into additional scoring once the structural changes took effect. The significant deviation attached to the home side highlighted the gap between pre-match positioning and actual output yet the result stayed consistent with the data. Red-card distortion limited further progression and preserved the aggregate position ahead of the return leg. Analytical review confirms the draw as the logical endpoint given the metrics observed.