Bohemians vs FC Midtjylland preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Tallaght Stadium Today - 6:45 PM
Europa Conference League
Bohemians BOH
0 2
FC Midtjylland FCM
Full Time Today 6:45 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
|
Goal
Franculino - 28'

CONTEXT

In the opening leg of their European tie, Bohemians hosted FC Midtjylland but suffered a 0-2 defeat. The visitors took the lead before the interval to lead 0-1 at halftime and added a second goal after the break. Bohemians managed 36 percent possession while the away side dominated with 64 percent. Expected goals finished closely matched at 0.67 for the hosts and 0.73 for Midtjylland. No red cards were shown in the match. Although Bohemians entered as the stronger team on paper the Danish visitors proved more clinical on the night. The 0-2 result leaves the tie open for the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC Midtjylland recorded a significant 37 percent deviation by claiming the away victory.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations across both sides.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome stayed consistent with the expected goals totals.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with pre-match market projections.
  • xG expectations: Bohemians posted 0.67 xG against 0.73 xG for FC Midtjylland.
  • Event impact: The away goal scored before halftime shaped the 0-2 final score.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to alter the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Vidican
R. Vidican
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Corb
A. Corb
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Badea
M. Badea
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Kovacs
S. Kovacs
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Bohemians A. Reynolds
A. Reynolds
VS
FC Midtjylland M. Tullberg
M. Tullberg
1.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
1.75 i
Last 6 Opponents
KF Ballkani Rank: 55 L
KF Ballkani Rank: 55 W
St Josephs FC Rank: D
St Josephs FC Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Bohemians
16.29%
Draw
20.76%
Away FC Midtjylland
62.95%

Movement

Changes since opening
Bohemians
+15.52%
Draw
+18.85%
FC Midtjylland
-34.37%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
33.33
21.34
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Bohemians
FC Midtjylland
Power Score
33.33
21.34
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Bohemians — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Midtjylland — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Bohemians FC Midtjylland

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Bohemians

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Midtjylland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Bohemians
vs
FC Midtjylland
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Bohemians FC Midtjylland
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
35%
30%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.24 vs -0.22
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Bohemians FC Midtjylland
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
30%
35%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.22 vs -0.24
Bohemians
FC Midtjylland
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Bohemians
vs
FC Midtjylland
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Bohemians FC Midtjylland
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Bohemians 0.00
FC Midtjylland 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Bohemians FC Midtjylland
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Bohemians 0.00
FC Midtjylland 0.00
Bohemians
FC Midtjylland
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BOH had peak pressure around 26'.
  • FCM started the game with stronger pressure.
BOH Pressure FCM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BOH reached the top pressure at 26' (84.39).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
P. Walters
United States
25 P. Walters
D. Power
Republic of Ireland
16 D. Power
C. Byrne
Republic of Ireland
24 C. Byrne
P. Hickey
United States
12 P. Hickey
S. Todd
Republic of Ireland
22 S. Todd
D. Devoy
Republic of Ireland
10 (C) D. Devoy
J. Flores
Substitution
England
6 J. Flores
S. Mullen
Substitution
Republic of Ireland
15 S. Mullen
R. Tierney
Substitution
Republic of Ireland
26 R. Tierney
C. Parsons
Substitution
England
7 C. Parsons
D. James-Taylor
Substitution
England
18 D. James-Taylor

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 06, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Tallaght Stadium
Capacity
10300
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rareș George Vidican
Alexandru Ioan Corb
Marius Florin Badea
Szabolcs Kovacs

Statistics

Possession
BOH
39%
FCM
61%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 0
3 Shots 1
32 Dangerous attacks 45
36 Possession 64
3 Corners 8
16 Free kicks 11
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

39 Ball Safe 48
5 Goal Kicks 5
3 Goal Attempts 3
5 Substitutions 5
13 Throwins 19
1 Hit Woodwork 0
2 Injuries 0
15 Dribble Attempts 10
5 Successful Dribbles 8
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 80

Attacking

92 Attacks 109
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

62 Long Passes 58
303 Passes 549
230 Successful Passes 463
76 Successful Passes Percentage 84
5 Key Passes 5
30 Successful Long Passes 26
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45

Defensive

4 Saves 2
10 Tackles 20
7 Interceptions 3

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 17
2 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : Rareș George Vidican

Starting XI ▼

25
Paul Walters
Paul Walters Goalkeeper
12
Patrick Hickey
Patrick Hickey Defender
16
Darragh Power
Darragh Power Defender
22
Sam Todd
Sam Todd Defender
24
Cian Byrne
Cian Byrne Defender
6
Jordan Flores
Jordan Flores Midfielder
17
Adam McDonnell
Adam McDonnell
Midfielder78'
10
Dawson Devoy
Dawson Devoy (C) Midfielder
15
Senan Mullen
Senan Mullen Midfielder
11
Dayle Rooney
Dayle Rooney
Attacker72'
7
Connor Parsons
Connor Parsons Attacker
32
Markuss Strods
Markuss Strods
Midfielder72'
18
Douglas James-Taylor
Douglas James-Taylor Attacker
9
Colm Whelan
Colm Whelan
Attacker71'
26
Ross Tierney
Ross Tierney Attacker
8
Harry Vaughan
Harry Vaughan
Midfielder78'
Referee : Rareș George Vidican

Starting XI ▼

1
Elías Ólafsson
Elías Ólafsson Goalkeeper
5
Rasmus Nissen Kristensen
Rasmus Nissen Kristensen (C) Defender
15
Béni Junior
Béni Junior Defender
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
Mads Bech Sørensen Defender
27
Sofus Johannesen
Sofus Johannesen Defender
11
Darío Osorio
Darío Osorio
Midfielder46'
8
Philip Billing
Philip Billing Midfielder
29
Kjell Wätjen
Kjell Wätjen
Midfielder56'
19
Pedro Bravo
Pedro Bravo Midfielder
10
Gue-sung Cho
Gue-sung Cho
Attacker46'
21
Denil Castillo
Denil Castillo Midfielder
7
Franculino
Franculino Attacker
18
Stanley Iheanacho
Stanley Iheanacho
Attacker88'
20
Valdemar Byskov
Valdemar Byskov Attacker
90
Friday Etim
Friday Etim Attacker
13
Adam Gabriel
Adam Gabriel
Defender46'

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Stanley Iheanacho → Franculino
10th Substitution
Event
Dayle Rooney
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
83'
Event
Adam McDonnell → Jordan Flores
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Harry Vaughan → Ross Tierney
9th Substitution
78'
77'
Event
Valdemar Byskov
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Dayle Rooney → Senan Mullen
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Markuss Strods → Connor Parsons
7th Substitution
72'
Event
Colm Whelan → Douglas James-Taylor
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Douglas James-Taylor
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
67'
Event
Ross Tierney
Penalty disallowed
60'
58'
Event
Denil Castillo
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
57'
Event
Adam Gabriel
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
56'
Event
Kjell Wätjen → Philip Billing
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Adam Gabriel → Friday Etim
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Darío Osorio → Sofus Johannesen
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Gue-sung Cho → Pedro Bravo
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
28'
Event
Franculino
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
21'
Event
Sofus Johannesen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Connor Parsons
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
14'

Match Commentary

88
Update Update
Stanley Iheanacho comes on, and Franculino Gluda Dju goes off.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Attempt Attempt
Patrick Hickey takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dayle Rooney receives a yellow card.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dayle Rooney receives a yellow card.
82
Attempt Attempt
Cho Gue-Sung takes a left-footed shot but misses.
81
Attempt Attempt
Colm Whelan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
78
Update Update
Adam McDonnell is on, and Jordan Flores is off.
78
Update Update
On comes Harry Vaughan, off goes Ross Tierney.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Valdemar Andreasen scores with a right-footed shot.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
72
Update Update
On comes Markuss Strods, off goes Connor Parsons.
72
Update Update
Dayle Rooney replaces Senan Mullen.
71
Substitution Substitution
Colm Whelan is substituted for Douglas James-Taylor.
68
Attempt Attempt
Kjell Watjen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Douglas James-Taylor.
59
Update Update
VAR decision results in the penalty being cancelled for Denil Castillo.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Denil Castillo receives a yellow card.
57
Update Update
VAR review results in the penalty being cancelled.
56
Update Update
Kjell Watjen replaces Phillip Billing.
49
Attempt Attempt
Valdemar Andreasen takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
On comes Cho Gue-Sung, off goes Mads Bech Sorensen.
46
Update Update
On comes Adam Gabriel, off goes Friday Ubi Etim.
46
Update Update
Dario Esteban Osorio is on, and Sofus Johannesen is off.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Attempt Attempt
Douglas James-Taylor takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Franculino Gluda Dju takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Sofus Johannesen scores, making it 0-1.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sofus Johannesen receives a yellow card.
18
Attempt Attempt
Ross Tierney takes a left-footed shot but misses.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Connor Parsons receives a yellow card.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Attempt Attempt
Franculino Gluda Dju takes a header, but the shot is saved.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is R. Vidican.

CONCLUSION

FC Midtjylland secured a 0-2 win in the first leg at Bohemians thanks to superior possession and clinical finishing. The narrow expected goals margin reflected a tightly contested encounter decided by small details. With no dismissals the game remained balanced at eleven players each throughout. Bohemians will need to improve their attacking output in the second leg to recover the aggregate. Midtjylland can take confidence from their organized display on the road. The tie remains alive heading into the return fixture where both teams must adapt their approaches accordingly.