Thun vs Víkingur Reykjavík preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Stockhorn Arena Thu, 6 Aug - 6:00 PM
Europa League
ThunTHU
3 0
Víkingur ReykjavíkVIR
Full Time Thu, 6 Aug 6:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Jan Bamert - 19'
Fabio Saiz - 90+4'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Thun hosted Vikingur Reykjavik in the first leg of a two-legged tie and secured a 3-0 victory with a 2-0 lead at halftime. Despite Vikingur Reykjavik entering as the stronger side and holding 54 percent possession compared to Thun's 46 percent, the home side generated an xG of 2.32 against the visitors' 0.85. The match featured no red cards and produced a minimal deviation of 2.6 percent from pre-match projections for Thun. The outcome proved consistent with underlying metrics while aligning with broader expectations. This result leaves the aggregate score at 3-0 heading into the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Thun recorded a minimal deviation of 2.6 percent from pre-match projections.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expected performance levels.
  • xG alignment: The final result aligned with the xG figures of 2.32 for Thun and 0.85 for Vikingur Reykjavik.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with market projections.
  • xG expectations: Thun met xG expectations through a controlled 3-0 performance.
  • Event impact: The leg 1 result establishes a 3-0 aggregate advantage for the second leg.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred and therefore produced no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Kruashvili
G. Kruashvili
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
L. Varamishvili
L. Varamishvili
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Elikashvili
G. Elikashvili
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Avazashvili
G. Avazashvili
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Thun G. Privitelli
G. Privitelli
VS
Víkingur Reykjavík S. Ottesen Jónsson
S. Ottesen Jónsson
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Thun
97.44%
Draw
1.91%
Away Víkingur Reykjavík
0.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.96
33.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Thun
Víkingur Reykjavík
Power Score
19.96
33.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Thun — Opponent-weighted form score
Víkingur Reykjavík — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Thun Víkingur Reykjavík

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Thun

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Víkingur Reykjavík

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Thun
vs
Víkingur Reykjavík
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Thun Víkingur Reykjavík
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
29%
40%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.66 vs -0.34
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Thun Víkingur Reykjavík
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
40%
29%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.34 vs -0.66
Thun
Víkingur Reykjavík
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Thun
vs
Víkingur Reykjavík
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Thun Víkingur Reykjavík
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Thun 0.00
Víkingur Reykjavík 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Thun Víkingur Reykjavík
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Thun 0.00
Víkingur Reykjavík 0.00
Thun
Víkingur Reykjavík
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • THU had peak pressure around 28'.
  • THU started the game with stronger pressure.
THU Pressure VIR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: THU reached the top pressure at 28' (86.65).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 06, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stockhorn Arena
Capacity
10398
Attendance
6167
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Giorgi Kruashvili
Levan Varamishvili
Giorgi Elikashvili
Giorgi Avazashvili

Statistics

Possession
THU
51%
VIR
49%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 1
10 Shots 5
76 Dangerous attacks 31
46 Possession 54
6 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 9
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 12
4 Substitutions 6
28 Throwins 22
0 Hit Woodwork 1
7 Dribble Attempts 3
7 Successful Dribbles 3
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 25

Attacking

99 Attacks 81

Possession

20 Long Passes 34
342 Passes 412
74 Successful Passes Percentage 81
17 Key Passes 8

Defensive

2 Saves 4
14 Tackles 13
9 Interceptions 11
58 Duels Won 57

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 10

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Giorgi Kruashvili

Starting XI ▼

1
Niklas Steffen
Niklas Steffen Goalkeeper
5
Nicolas Bürgy
Nicolas Bürgy Defender
19
Jan Bamert
Jan Bamert (C) Defender
27
Michael Heule
Michael Heule Defender
47
Fabio Fehr
Fabio Fehr Defender
13
Nassim Zoukit
Nassim Zoukit Midfielder
8
Fabio Saiz
Fabio Saiz
Midfielder72'
16
Justin Roth
Justin Roth Midfielder
78
Valmir Matoshi
Valmir Matoshi Midfielder
30
Nico Maier
Nico Maier Attacker
70
Nils Reichmuth
Nils Reichmuth
Midfielder62'
33
Marc Gutbub
Marc Gutbub Attacker
80
Simon Lengen
Simon Lengen
Attacker72'
96
Brighton Labeau
Brighton Labeau Attacker
11
Layton Stewart
Layton Stewart
Attacker88'
Referee : Giorgi Kruashvili

Starting XI ▼

47
Ögmundur Kristinsson
Ögmundur Kristinsson Goalkeeper
2
Sveinn Gísli Thorkelsson
Sveinn Gísli Thorkelsson Defender
15
Róbert Orri Thorkelsson
Róbert Orri Thorkelsson
Defender83'
4
Oliver Ekroth
Oliver Ekroth (C) Defender
6
Gunnar Vatnhamar
Gunnar Vatnhamar Defender
9
Helgi Gudjónsson
Helgi Gudjónsson Defender
22
Karl Fridleifur Gunnarsson
Karl Fridleifur Gunnarsson Defender
24
Davíd Örn Atlason
Davíd Örn Atlason
Defender72'
10
Gylfi Sigurdsson
Gylfi Sigurdsson Midfielder
11
Daníel Hafsteinsson
Daníel Hafsteinsson Midfielder
8
Viktor Örlygur Andrason
Viktor Örlygur Andrason
Midfielder72'
21
Aron Elís Thrándarson
Aron Elís Thrándarson Midfielder
23
Nikolaj Hansen
Nikolaj Hansen
Attacker83'
30
Sveinn Hauksson
Sveinn Hauksson Midfielder
25
Valdimar Thór Ingimundarson
Valdimar Thór Ingimundarson
Attacker46'
77
Stígur Thórdarson
Stígur Thórdarson Midfielder

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Fabio Saiz
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+4'
Event
Layton Stewart → Brighton Labeau
9th Substitution
88'
83'
Event
Nikolaj Hansen → Aron Elís Thrándarson
7th Substitution
83'
Event
Róbert Orri Thorkelsson → Sveinn Gísli Thorkelsson
8th Substitution
Event
Simon Lengen → Marc Gutbub
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Fabio Saiz → Nassim Zoukit
6th Substitution
72'
72'
Event
Viktor Örlygur Andrason → Daníel Hafsteinsson
3rd Substitution
72'
Event
Davíd Örn Atlason → Karl Fridleifur Gunnarsson
4th Substitution
Event
Nassim Zoukit
Tripping / 4th Yellowcard
66'
Event
Nils Reichmuth → Nico Maier
2nd Substitution
62'
61'
Event
Aron Elís Thrándarson
Tripping / 3rd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Valdimar Thór Ingimundarson → Sveinn Hauksson
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Michael Heule
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 2nd Yellowcard
45+5'
45+4'
Event
Daníel Hafsteinsson
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 1st Yellowcard
32'
Event
Stígur Thórdarson
Foul / Goal Disallowed
Event
Brighton Labeau
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
25'
Event
Jan Bamert
Header / 1st Goal
19'

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Update Update
On Layton Stewart, off Brighton Labeau.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Substitution Substitution
Nikolaj Hansen is substituted for Aron Elis Thrandarson.
82
Substitution Substitution
Nikolaj Hansen is substituted for Aron Elis Thrandarson.
81
Substitution Substitution
Robert Orri Thorkelsson is substituted for Sveinn Gisli Thorkelsson.
72
Update Update
Viktor Orlygur Andrason is on, and Daniel Hafsteinsson is off.
72
Substitution Substitution
David Orn Atlason is substituted off for Karl Fridleifur Gunnarsson.
72
Update Update
On Simon Lengen, off Marc Gutbub.
72
Update Update
Fabio Saiz comes on for Nassim Zoukit.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nassim Zoukit receives a yellow card.
62
Update Update
Nils Reichmuth is on, and Nico Maier is off.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Aron Elis Thrandarson.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
On: Vaaldimar Thor Ingimundarson, Off: Sveinn Margeir Hauksson.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Daniel Hafsteinsson.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Michael Heule receives a yellow card.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision results in a disallowed goal due to a foul by Stigur Diljan Thordarson.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Stigur Diljan Thordarson scores, making it 2-1.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Brighton leads 2-0.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jan Bamert scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Fabio Fehr.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Giorgi Kruashvili.

CONCLUSION

Thun's 3-0 win over Vikingur Reykjavik demonstrated effective chance creation despite lower possession. The home side converted opportunities efficiently to establish a clear lead after the first leg. With no disciplinary incidents affecting play, the match followed expected patterns based on xG differentials. Vikingur Reykjavik will need adjustments in the return fixture to overcome the deficit. The data indicates Thun controlled key moments while staying aligned with pre-match indicators. This sets up a straightforward scenario for the second leg where the aggregate remains the primary focus.