TBC VS Salzburg

2026/2027 Europa League, Europe

Red Bull Arena Today - 5:00 PM

Europa League

Salzburg RBS

1 0

Pafos FC PAF

Full Time Today 5:00 PM

3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

Haris Tabakovic - 88'

Ken Sema 90+3'

CONTEXT

In the opening leg of their two-match tie, Salzburg defeated Pafos FC by a score of 1-0. The first half concluded without goals, leaving both teams level at the interval. Salzburg maintained 59 percent possession while Pafos FC held 41 percent. The home team's expected goals totaled 1.58, substantially higher than the 0.37 recorded by their opponents. Pafos FC entered as the stronger side according to available metrics, yet the result went against that assessment. A red card for the visiting team occurred during the second half, contributing to adjustments in play. The outcome remained consistent with the expected goals differential of 1.21. This performance highlighted Salzburg's ability to capitalize on their opportunities despite the pre-match designation of the opponent.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Salzburg recorded minimal deviation from pre-match expectations in the 1-0 result.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency levels stayed in line with patterns for both Salzburg and Pafos FC.
xG alignment: The 1-0 score aligned with Salzburg xG of 1.58 and Pafos FC xG of 0.37.
Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with market alignment indicators for the match.
xG expectations: Salzburg met xG expectations by converting their 1.58 value into the winning goal.
Event impact: A second half red card to Pafos FC served as the primary event altering dynamics.
Red card distortion: The away red card created distortion in Pafos FC performance after the interval.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

D. Sylwestrzak

Referee • 25 matches

Fouls / Match

Referee 30.4

League Avg 0

Yellow Cards / Match

Referee 4

League Avg 0

Red Cards / Match

Referee 0.36

League Avg 0

Penalties / Match

Referee 0.36

League Avg 0

P. Sokolnicki

1st Assistant • 0 matches

Fouls / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Yellow Cards / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Red Cards / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Penalties / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

A. Karasewicz

2nd Assistant • 0 matches

Fouls / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Yellow Cards / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Red Cards / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Penalties / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

?. Kuźma

4th Official • 0 matches

Fouls / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Yellow Cards / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Red Cards / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

Penalties / Match

Referee 0

League Avg 0

D. Röhl

R. Andrade Silva Sá Pinto

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.5

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

0 - 0 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Salzburg

96.99%

Draw

2.37%

Pafos FC

0.64%

Team Power Ranking

19.52

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Salzburg

Pafos FC

Power Score

19.52

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Salzburg — Opponent-weighted form score

Pafos FC — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Salzburg Pafos FC

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Salzburg

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Pafos FC

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Salzburg ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Pafos FC

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

19.60

16.49

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

16.49

19.60

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Salzburg +0.16 Efficiency Index

Pafos FC -0.16 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Salzburg

Pafos FC

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Salzburg

Pafos FC

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Salzburg Pafos FC

Set-piece xG Share

22%

12%

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

-0.35 vs -0.04

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Salzburg Pafos FC

Set-piece xGA Share

12%

22%

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

-0.04 vs -0.35

Salzburg

Pafos FC

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Salzburg

Pafos FC

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Salzburg Pafos FC

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Salzburg Pafos FC

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Salzburg

Pafos FC

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

RBS had peak pressure around 14'.
RBS started the game with stronger pressure.

RBS Pressure PAF Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: RBS reached the top pressure at 14' (80.33).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 3-5-2

52 C. Zawieschitzky

18 (C) N. Veratschnig

44 K. Boma

47 V. Zabransky

31 D. Schmid

5 S. Diabaté

32 A. Bari

20 E. Baidoo

30 G. Diakité

23 D. Redzic

11 Y. Vertessen

99 R. Majecki

14 N. Ioannou

4 D. Moreira Marinho

5 D. Goldar Gómez

20 G. Teixeira Aragão

6 G. Gonçalves Pereira Rodrigues

26 I. Šunjić

50 A. Soares Carvalho Brito

8 D. Quina

30 V. Dragomir

18 L. da Silva Genesio

General Information

Date & Time

Aug 06, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition

2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2

Stadium

Red Bull Arena

Capacity

30188

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees

Damian Sylwestrzak

Pawel Sokolnicki

Adam Karasewicz

Łukasz Kuźma

Statistics

Possession

RBS

57%

PAF

43%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0

3 Big Chances Created 2

6 Shots 6

67 Dangerous attacks 51

59 Possession 41

13 Corners 0

11 Free kicks 13

1 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Goal Kicks 1

5 Substitutions 4

26 Throwins 20

1 Hit Woodwork 0

9 Dribble Attempts 3

9 Successful Dribbles 3

45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 25

Attacking

106 Attacks 77

Possession

17 Long Passes 23

459 Passes 322

84 Successful Passes Percentage 79

9 Key Passes 5

Defensive

1 Saves 1

7 Tackles 15

7 Interceptions 11

43 Duels Won 48

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 9

Discipline

1 Offsides 3

13 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Damian Sylwestrzak

Manager ▼

D. Röhl Coach

Starting XI ▼

Christian Zawieschitzky Goalkeeper

6.82

Nikolas Veratschnig (C) Defender

6.85

Dominik Schmid Defender

6.78

Kévin Boma Defender

6.53

Valentin Zabransky Defender

6.6

Soumaïla Diabaté Midfielder

6.9

Bartosz Mazurek

Midfielder58'

Damir Redzic Midfielder

6.76

Sota Kitano

Midfielder65'

Abubakr Barry Midfielder

6.79

Yorbe Vertessen Attacker

7.26

Karim Konaté

Attacker65'

Edmund Baidoo Attacker

6.76

Haris Tabakovic

Attacker70'

Gaoussou Diakité Attacker

6.7

Enrique Aguilar

Attacker70'

Substitutes ▼

Nikola Sarcevic Goalkeeper

John Mellberg Defender

Frans Krätzig Defender

Tim Drexler Defender

Leandro Morgalla Defender

Maurits Kjærgaard Midfielder

Aboubacar Camara Attacker

Referee : Damian Sylwestrzak

Manager ▼

R. Andrade Silva Sá Pinto Coach

Starting XI ▼

Radoslaw Majecki Goalkeeper

7.03

David Luiz Defender

6.99

David Goldar Defender

6.59

Nikolas Ioannou Defender

6.61

Guga Midfielder

6.7

Domingos Quina Midfielder

6.46

Ken Sema

Midfielder42'

6.5

Ivan Šunjić Midfielder

6.61

Vlad Dragomir Midfielder

6.52

Pêpê

Midfielder89'

Alexandre Brito Midfielder

6.64

Murad Mammadov

Attacker80'

Lelê Attacker

6.47

Biel Attacker

7.3

Substitutes ▼

Michalis Papastylianou Goalkeeper

Petros Petrou Goalkeeper

Bruno Defender

Melinos Kais Defender

Kosmas Ioannou Defender

Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu Midfielder

Georgios Michael Midfielder

Christos Evzona

Events

2ND-HALF

90+3'

Ken Sema

Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card

89'

Pêpê →

8th Substitution

Haris Tabakovic

Left foot shot / 1st Goal

88'

82'

Ivan Šunjić

Foul / 4th Yellowcard

80'

Murad Mammadov →

7th Substitution

Abubakr Barry

Tripping / 3rd Yellowcard

75'

Enrique Aguilar →

5th Substitution

70'

Haris Tabakovic →

6th Substitution

70'

Sota Kitano →

3rd Substitution

65'

Karim Konaté →

4th Substitution

65'

Bartosz Mazurek →

2nd Substitution

58'

46'

Ken Sema

Tripping / 2nd Yellowcard

1ST-HALF

42'

Ken Sema →

1st Substitution

36'

David Luiz

Holding / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

Yellow Card Important

Second yellow card shown to Ken Sema.

Update

Pedro Filipe Figueiredo Rodrigues Pepe is on, and Vlad Dragomir is off.

GOAL! Important

Goal! Haris Tabakovic scores to make it 1-0.

Yellow Card Important

Yellow card for Ivan Sunjic.

Update

Murad Mammadov is on, and Alexandre Brito is off.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Yellow Card Important

Yellow card issued to Abubakar Barry.

Update

Haris Tabakovic is on, and Edmund Baidoo is off.

Update

Enrique Aguilar replaces Gaoussou Diakite.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Substitution

Substitution: Karim Konate replaces Yorbe Vertessen.

Update

On for Sota Kitano, off goes Damir Redzic.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Update

Bartosz Mazurek comes on for Soumaila Diabate.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Yellow Card Important

Ken Sema receives a yellow card.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Update

Ken Sema replaces Domingos Quina.

Yellow Card Important

Yellow card for David Luiz Moreira Marinho.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Corner

Corner awarded.

Update

Kick-off! The referee is Damian Sylwestrzak.

CONCLUSION

The 1-0 result in favor of Salzburg leaves the tie finely balanced heading into the second leg. Pafos FC must navigate the challenge of playing with one fewer player from the prior encounter while seeking to overturn the deficit. Analysis of expected goals shows clear alignment with the final scoreline, as Salzburg's 1.58 xG outperformed the visitors' 0.37. Possession advantages did not yield excessive scoring but proved sufficient for the win. The red card distortion played a role in the second half adjustments observed. Market alignment held true to the actual result without contradiction. Both teams exhibited efficiency levels that matched their respective performances on the day. This sets a platform for strategic planning in the upcoming match.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT

TL;DR

Quality vs Volume

Open Play vs Set Play

Expected Points

Win Probabilities

Team Power Ranking

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Salzburg

Pafos FC

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

PRESSURE INDEX

STARTING XI

General Information

Next Match

Statistics

Top Statistics

Match Overview

Attacking

Possession

Defensive

Build-up

Discipline

Lineup

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Events

Match Commentary

CONCLUSION

Salzburg vs Pafos FC preview

STANDINGS

CONTEXT

TL;DR

Quality vs Volume

Open Play vs Set Play

Expected Points

Win Probabilities

Team Power Ranking

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Salzburg

Pafos FC

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

PRESSURE INDEX

STARTING XI

General Information

Next Match

Statistics

Top Statistics

Match Overview

Attacking

Possession

Defensive

Build-up

Discipline

Lineup

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Manager ▼

Starting XI ▼

Substitutes ▼

Events

Match Commentary

CONCLUSION