Lech Poznań vs KÍ preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Enea stadion Thu, 6 Aug - 5:00 PM
Europa League
Lech PoznańLPO
1 0
KÍKÍ
Full Time Thu, 6 Aug 5:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Lech Poznań faced KÍ in the opening leg of a two-legged knockout tie and claimed a 1-0 victory. The first half ended level at 0-0. Lech controlled 67 percent of possession while KÍ held 33 percent. Although KÍ entered as the stronger side, Lech secured the win. No red cards were issued to either team. Pre-match deviation measured 4.3 percent and was classified as minimal with respect to Lech Poznań. The result remained consistent with efficiency patterns observed during the match. The narrow margin leaves the tie finely balanced ahead of the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Lech Poznań 1-0 KÍ. Lech Poznań showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics remained in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable to assess alignment.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals values were recorded to compare against actual performance.
  • Event impact: No major events disrupted the flow or altered the outcome.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so no distortion from dismissals occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
O. Grinfeeld
O. Grinfeeld
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. Hassan
R. Hassan
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Yarkoni
I. Yarkoni
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Levi
G. Levi
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Lech Poznań N. Frederiksen
N. Frederiksen
VS
KÍ M. Powell
M. Powell
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lech Poznań
95.69%
Draw
3.68%
Away KÍ
0.63%

Movement

Changes since opening
Lech Poznań
+0.51%
Draw
-0.5%
KÍ
-0.01%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
29.22
33.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lech Poznań
KÍ
Power Score
29.22
33.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lech Poznań — Opponent-weighted form score
KÍ — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lech Poznań KÍ

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lech Poznań

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

KÍ

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lech Poznań ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KÍ
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lech Poznań KÍ
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lech Poznań KÍ
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lech Poznań
KÍ
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Lech Poznań
vs
KÍ
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lech Poznań KÍ
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lech Poznań 0.00
KÍ 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lech Poznań KÍ
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lech Poznań 0.00
KÍ 0.00
Lech Poznań
KÍ
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LPO had peak pressure around 99'.
  • LPO started the game with stronger pressure.
LPO Pressure KÍ Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LPO reached the top pressure at 99' (66.53).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 06, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Enea stadion
Capacity
42837
Attendance
16541
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Orel Grinfeeld
Roei Hassan
Idan Yarkoni
Gal Levi

Statistics

Possession
LPO
61%
KÍ
39%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
12 Shots 3
74 Dangerous attacks 28
67 Possession 33
5 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

4 Goal Kicks 13
2 Substitutions 6
21 Throwins 11
1 Hit Woodwork 1

Attacking

93 Attacks 76

Defensive

0 Saves 3

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Orel Grinfeeld

Starting XI ▼

1
Mateusz Lis
Mateusz Lis Goalkeeper
2
Joel Pereira
Joel Pereira Defender
15
Michał Gurgul
Michał Gurgul Defender
27
Wojciech Mońka
Wojciech Mońka Defender
59
Terry Yegbe
Terry Yegbe Defender
10
Patrik Wålemark
Patrik Wålemark Midfielder
17
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh Midfielder
7
Yannick Agnero
Yannick Agnero
Attacker62'
21
Pablo Rodríguez
Pablo Rodríguez Midfielder
22
Radosław Murawski
Radosław Murawski Midfielder
77
Luis Palma
Luis Palma
Midfielder46'
43
Antoni Kozubal
Antoni Kozubal Midfielder
9
Mikael Ishak
Mikael Ishak (C) Attacker
Referee : Orel Grinfeeld

Starting XI ▼

96
Mark Jensen
Mark Jensen Goalkeeper
2
Gastón Tellechea
Gastón Tellechea Defender
23
Jóannes Danielsen
Jóannes Danielsen Defender
26
Gilli Sörensen
Gilli Sörensen Defender
36
Jean Carlos
Jean Carlos Defender
4
Mansour Sinyan
Mansour Sinyan Midfielder
24
Martin Gonzalez
Martin Gonzalez
Midfielder85'
5
Deni Pavlovic
Deni Pavlovic Midfielder
7
Árni Frederiksberg
Árni Frederiksberg Midfielder
17
Filip Brattbakk
Filip Brattbakk Midfielder
11
Jonn Johannesen
Jonn Johannesen
Midfielder77'
28
Oussama Ali
Oussama Ali Midfielder
14
René Joensen
René Joensen
Midfielder77'
9
Páll Klettskard
Páll Klettskard (C) Attacker
20
Erlend Hustad
Erlend Hustad
Attacker85'

Events

2ND-HALF
85'
Event
Martin Gonzalez → Mansour Sinyan
5th Substitution
85'
Event
Erlend Hustad → Páll Klettskard
6th Substitution
Event
Yannick Agnero
Field Goal / 1st Goal
81'
77'
Event
René Joensen → Oussama Ali
3rd Substitution
77'
Event
Jonn Johannesen → Filip Brattbakk
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Páll Klettskard
Elbowing / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Yannick Agnero → Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
2nd Substitution
62'
58'
Event
Filip Brattbakk
Tripping / 4th Yellowcard
50'
Event
Gilli Sörensen
Holding / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Luis Palma → Radosław Murawski
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Radosław Murawski
Roughing / 2nd Yellowcard
41'
34'
Event
Mansour Sinyan
Roughing / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Substitution Substitution
Erlend Hustad is substituted off for Pall Klettskard.
84
Update Update
On Martin Gonzalez, off Mansour Sinyan.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mel Yannick Joel Agnero scores to make it 1-0.
76
Update Update
On comes Rene Joensen, off goes Oussama Ali.
76
Substitution Substitution
Jonn Johannesen is substituted for Filip Brattbakk.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Pall Klettskard.
62
Update Update
On Mel Yannick Joel Agnero, off Allahyar Sayyadmanesh.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Filip Brattbakk receives a yellow card.
50
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Gilli Sorensen.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Luis Enrique Palma Oseguera comes on for Radoslaw Murawski.
46
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Radoslaw Murawski.
34
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Mansour Sinyan.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Orel Grinfeeld.

CONCLUSION

Lech Poznań's 1-0 result in leg one provides a narrow advantage heading into the second leg against KÍ. Possession dominance at 67 percent allowed Lech to dictate terms yet yielded only a single goal. KÍ must improve their attacking efficiency in the return match to overturn the deficit. The absence of red cards kept both sides at full strength throughout. Efficiency alignment indicates the scoreline reflected the balance of play without major anomalies. Both teams now have data from this encounter to inform tactical adjustments for the decisive second leg.