Larne vs FC Iberia 1999 preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Inver Park Today - 7:00 PM
Europa League
Larne LARN
FC Iberia 1999 IBE
KICKOFF : Today - 7:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Larne welcome FC Iberia 1999 to Inver Park for the opening leg of their Europa League third qualifying round tie. The hosts hold a modest power advantage of 3.3 points and are rated the stronger side overall. Both teams enter without recent domestic form records to draw upon, leaving the emphasis on squad organisation and tactical preparation. The visitors arrive with a slightly lower power rating yet possess the capacity to trouble the home defence through structured play. With no league positions available and the fixture taking place outside domestic competition, attention turns to how each side manages the transition from defence to attack. Set piece data remains limited, though both clubs have relied on proxies for assessment. The encounter sets up an intriguing first leg where small margins could shape the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Larne hold a 3.3 point power advantage and are the stronger side at home.
  • Form: Neither side has recorded recent form data ahead of this fixture.
  • Squad: Squad details remain unavailable for both Larne and FC Iberia 1999.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not provided for this encounter.
  • Transition: Transition play assessment is limited by the absence of recent match data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy data applied to both teams.
  • xVariable: Larne possess the higher power score of 30 compared to 26.67 for the visitors.
  • Market: Projection split: Larne 29.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.9% (Δ+0%) | FC Iberia 1999 42.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Larne G. Haveron
G. Haveron
VS
FC Iberia 1999 A. Demchenko
A. Demchenko
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Larne
29.52%
Draw
27.93%
Away FC Iberia 1999
42.55%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
30
26.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Larne
FC Iberia 1999
Power Score
30
26.67
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Larne — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Iberia 1999 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Larne FC Iberia 1999

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Larne LARN Home
0 matches
FC Iberia 1999 IBE Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-04T00:03:15+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 04, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Inver Park
Capacity
6000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mohammad Al Emara
Turkka Valjakka
Mika Lamppu
Peiman Simani

Squad

Referee : Mohammad Al Emara

Squad ▼

1
Rohan Ferguson
Rohan Ferguson Goalkeeper
36
Dylan Graham
Dylan Graham Goalkeeper
31
Daniel Collett
Daniel Collett Goalkeeper
23
Tomas Cosgrove
Tomas Cosgrove Defender
4
Aaron Donnelly
Aaron Donnelly Defender
5
Sam McClelland
Sam McClelland Defender
11
Sean Graham
Sean Graham Defender
3
Matt Ridley
Matt Ridley Defender
47
James Simpson
James Simpson Defender
46
Logan Wallace
Logan Wallace Defender
8
Mark Randall
Mark Randall Midfielder
21
Leroy Millar
Leroy Millar Midfielder
15
Ronan Doherty
Ronan Doherty Midfielder
6
Christopher Gallagher
Christopher Gallagher Midfielder
22
Jordan McEneff
Jordan McEneff Midfielder
25
Dylan Sloan
Dylan Sloan Midfielder
26
Dan Bent
Dan Bent Midfielder
32
Cormac Austin
Cormac Austin Midfielder
45
Montel Gibson
Montel Gibson Attacker
7
Conor McKendry
Conor McKendry Attacker
19
Kevin O'Hara
Kevin O'Hara Attacker
9
Paul O'Neill
Paul O'Neill Attacker
30
Matthew Lusty
Matthew Lusty Attacker
14
Benjamin Magee
Benjamin Magee Attacker
17
Joshua Ukek
Joshua Ukek Attacker
10
Tiarnan O'Connor
Tiarnan O'Connor Attacker
Referee : Mohammad Al Emara

Squad ▼

31
Giorgi Makaridze
Giorgi Makaridze Goalkeeper
1
Tornike Megrelishvili
Tornike Megrelishvili Goalkeeper
4
Vahid Selimovic
Vahid Selimovic Defender
40
Giorgi Kobuladze
Giorgi Kobuladze Defender
5
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava
Jemali-Giorgi Jinjolava Defender
25
Aleksandre Amisulashvili
Aleksandre Amisulashvili Defender
18
Nikoloz Botchorishvili
Nikoloz Botchorishvili Defender
33
Andrey Victor Souza Santos
Andrey Victor Souza Santos Defender
8
Bakar Kardava
Bakar Kardava Midfielder
27
Giorgi Kutsia
Giorgi Kutsia Midfielder
14
Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan
Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan Midfielder
23
Eldar Kuliev
Eldar Kuliev Midfielder
19
Nika Sikharulashvili
Nika Sikharulashvili Midfielder
6
Nikoloz Dadiani
Nikoloz Dadiani Midfielder
11
Andria Bartishvili
Andria Bartishvili Midfielder
10
Zviad Natchkebia
Zviad Natchkebia Attacker
18
Lucas Oliveira Brune
Lucas Oliveira Brune Attacker
29
L. Chikhradze
L. Chikhradze Attacker
9
Amiran Dzagania
Amiran Dzagania Attacker
22
Givi Khachidze
Givi Khachidze Attacker
24
Vakho Bedoshvili
Vakho Bedoshvili Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Larne holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Larne a 3.3-point edge. External projection is Larne 29.5%, draw 27.9%, and FC Iberia 1999 42.6%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.