St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake preview
2026 Major League Soccer, United States
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
St. Louis City hosted Real Salt Lake in a league fixture that finished 1-1. The home side controlled 67 percent of possession while the visitors held 33 percent. Expected goals stood at 1.57 for St. Louis City and 0.64 for Real Salt Lake. Both teams reached halftime level at 0-0. Real Salt Lake entered as the stronger side yet the match produced a draw. No red cards were shown to players from either team. The result diverged from xG projections but matched market signals. Efficiency metrics remained in line with overall patterns. The game featured balanced attacking attempts without major disruptions from disciplinary events.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: St. Louis City 1-1 Real Salt Lake. Real Salt Lake showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with projected performance levels for both sides.
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xG alignment: The final result was not consistent with the xG differential of 0.93.
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Market alignment: The draw outcome proved aligned with market indicators.
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xG expectations: St. Louis City created higher xG but settled for a shared result.
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Event impact: No decisive events shifted the balance during the ninety minutes.
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Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from disciplinary actions occurred.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
66.67
66.7
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
St. Louis City
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City
Real Salt Lake
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- RSL had peak pressure around 64'.
- LOU started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-08-02T01:00:43+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
St. Louis City
vs
SJ Earthquakes
League: Major League Soccer
Kickoff: Sun, 16 Aug - 2:30 AM
Venue: PayPal Park
Real Salt Lake
vs
Minnesota United
League: Major League Soccer
Kickoff: Sun, 16 Aug - 1:30 AM
Venue: America First Field
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary