Grasshopper vs Lugano preview

Switzerland flag 2026/2027 Super League, Switzerland
Stadion Letzigrund Sun, 2 Aug - 2:30 PM
Super League
Full Time Sun, 2 Aug 2:30 PM
Round 2 Regular Season
Luke Plange - 22'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Grasshopper faced Lugano in a match that began with the home team leading 1-0 at halftime. Despite this advantage the visitors mounted a strong comeback in the second half scoring four unanswered goals to claim a 4-1 victory. Lugano controlled 59 percent of the possession compared to Grasshopper's 41 percent. Although the expected goals favored Grasshopper slightly at 1.81 to 1.52 the actual performance told a different story. The stronger team Lugano demonstrated resilience and clinical finishing after the interval. This result underscores how matches can deviate from statistical predictions in dramatic fashion. The absence of any red cards meant the game proceeded without such interruptions allowing full focus on tactical adjustments.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Grasshopper 1-4 Lugano. Lugano showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the overall team performances throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: The final result did not align with the expected goals as Grasshopper held a slight xG advantage.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with market alignment despite the xG figures.
  • xG expectations: Grasshopper registered 1.81 expected goals while Lugano had 1.52 in the encounter.
  • Event impact: The early goal by the home side at halftime had limited event impact on the eventual result.
  • Red card distortion: With no red cards issued to either side there was no red card distortion affecting the game.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Drmic
M. Drmic
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
S. Küng
S. Küng
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Känel
D. Känel
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Odiet
M. Odiet
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Grasshopper P. Zeidler
P. Zeidler
VS
Lugano M. Croci-Torti
M. Croci-Torti
0.88
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.76
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lausanne Sport Rank: 55 D
Lausanne Sport Rank: 59 W
Winterthur Rank: 49 W
Zürich Rank: 56 L
Servette Rank: 67 L
Luzern Rank: 64 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vaduz Rank: 51 W
Basel Rank: 65 W
Sion Rank: 70 D
St. Gallen Rank: 71 L
Young Boys Rank: 71 W
Thun Rank: 67 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 3 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.8
71.86
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Grasshopper
Lugano
Power Score
54.8
71.86
League Position
9
2
Global Rank
779
252

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Grasshopper Opponent-weighted form score
Lugano Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Grasshopper Lugano

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Grasshopper

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Lugano

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Grasshopper ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lugano
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.29
27.97
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.97
33.29
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Grasshopper +0.54 Efficiency Index
vs
Lugano -0.54 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Grasshopper
Lugano
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Grasshopper
vs
Lugano
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Grasshopper Lugano
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
3%
18%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.06 vs -0.28
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Grasshopper Lugano
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
18%
3%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.28 vs -0.06
Grasshopper
Lugano
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Grasshopper
vs
Lugano
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Grasshopper Lugano
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Grasshopper Lugano
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Grasshopper
Lugano
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LUGA had peak pressure around 58'.
  • GRA started the game with stronger pressure.
GRA Pressure LUGA Pressure
Pressure Index: LUGA reached the top pressure at 58' (85.81).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Grasshopper GRA Home
6 matches
Lugano LUGA Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
6
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-03T00:03:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 5-3-2

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 02, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Super League, Switzerland · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Letzigrund
Capacity
26104
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marijan Drmic
Susann Küng
Daniel Von Känel
Maxime Odiet

Statistics

Possession
GRA
42%
LUGA
58%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 4
3 Big Chances Created 4
3 Shots 5
53 Dangerous attacks 50
41 Possession 59
3 Corners 4
4 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

85 Ball Safe 118
9 Goal Kicks 8
7 Goal Attempts 10
5 Substitutions 5
17 Throwins 18
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Assists 4
0 Injuries 2
26 Dribble Attempts 15
9 Successful Dribbles 6
35 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40

Attacking

113 Attacks 130
2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

48 Long Passes 66
435 Passes 611
360 Successful Passes 535
83 Successful Passes Percentage 88
6 Key Passes 13
18 Successful Long Passes 41
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 62

Defensive

2 Saves 3
19 Tackles 24
6 Interceptions 13

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 26
2 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

11 Fouls 4

Lineup

Referee : Marijan Drmic

Starting XI

71
Justin Hammel
Justin Hammel Goalkeeper
5.83
4
Luka Mikulić
Luka Mikulić Defender
6.5
28
Simone Stroscio
Simone Stroscio Defender
7.01
57
Nico Rissi
Nico Rissi Defender
6.37
73
Dorian Paloschi
Dorian Paloschi Defender
6.53
15
Abdoulaye Diaby
Abdoulaye Diaby
Defender58'
6.15
5
Imourane Hassane
Imourane Hassane Midfielder
6.26
23
Samuel Marques
Samuel Marques
Midfielder58'
6.13
6
Amir Abrashi
Amir Abrashi (C) Midfielder
6.67
14
Alieu Conateh
Alieu Conateh
Attacker75'
6.25
8
Tim Meyer
Tim Meyer Midfielder
6.59
7
Luke Plange
Luke Plange Attacker
7.21
10
Óscar Clemente Mues
5.98
9
Nikolas Muci
Nikolas Muci Attacker
6.74
60
Samuele Bengondo
Samuele Bengondo
Attacker58'
6.24
17
Samuel Krasniqi
Samuel Krasniqi Attacker
6.41
Referee : Marijan Drmic

Starting XI

16
David von Ballmoos
David von Ballmoos Goalkeeper
6.75
6
Antonios Papadopoulos
7.17
7
Ezgjan Alioski
Ezgjan Alioski Defender
6.89
17
Lukas Mai
Lukas Mai Defender
7.62
18
Joel Bichsel
Joel Bichsel Defender
6.78
21
Yanis Cimignani
Yanis Cimignani
Midfielder46'
2
8.43
46
Mattia Zanotti
Mattia Zanotti Defender
7.31
8
Anto Grgic
Anto Grgic Midfielder
8.13
14
Ahmed Kendouci
Ahmed Kendouci
Midfielder81'
7.09
25
Uran Bislimi
Uran Bislimi Midfielder
6.81
27
Daniel Dos Santos
Daniel Dos Santos Midfielder
6.79
3
Hannes Delcroix
Hannes Delcroix
Defender81'
6.65
11
Renato Steffen
6.72
91
Kevin Behrens
Kevin Behrens
Attacker46'
6.95
30
Dereck Moncada
Dereck Moncada Attacker
6.75
24
Elias Pihlström
Elias Pihlström
Attacker67'
7.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
90+2'
90+2'
Event
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
85'
81'
Event
Hannes Delcroix Daniel Dos Santos 
9th Substitution
81'
Event
Ahmed Kendouci Anto Grgic
10th Substitution
78'
Event
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Alieu Conateh Amir Abrashi
8th Substitution
75'
71'
Event
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
67'
Event
Elias Pihlström Dereck Moncada
7th Substitution
Event
Samuele Bengondo Nikolas Muci
4th Substitution
58'
Event
Abdoulaye Diaby Dorian Paloschi
5th Substitution
58'
Event
Samuel Marques Imourane Hassane
6th Substitution
58'
52'
Event
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Óscar Clemente Mues Luke Plange
3rd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Kevin Behrens Renato Steffen
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Yanis Cimignani Joel Bichsel
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
22'

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Yanis Cimignani scores with a left-footed shot.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Yanis Cimignani scores with an assist from Ahmed Kendouci. The score is now 1-4.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nico Rissi receives a yellow card.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Krasniqi takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tim Meyer receives a yellow card.
83
Attempt Attempt
Elias Pihlstrom takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
81
Update Update
Ahmed Kendouci is on, and Anto Grgic is off.
81
Update Update
Hannes Delcroix comes on for Daniel dos Santos Barros.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Elias Pihlstrom scores with a right-footed shot.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-3.
75
Substitution Substitution
Alieu Conateh is substituted for Amir Abrashi.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Yanis Cimignani takes a left-footed shot and scores.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Yanis Cimignani scores, bringing the score to 1-2, assisted by Anto Grgic.
68
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Oscar Clemente with his right foot, but he misses.
67
Update Update
Elias Pihlstrom is on, and Dereck Moncada is off.
65
Attempt Attempt
Samuele Bengondo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
62
Attempt Attempt
Ezgjan Alioski takes a right-footed shot but misses.
59
Attempt Attempt
Dereck Moncada's right-footed shot is blocked.
58
Update Update
Samuel Marques is on, and Hassane Imourane is off.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Samuele Bengondo comes on for Nikolas Muci.
58
Update Update
Abdoulaye Diaby comes on for Dorian Paloschi.
58
Attempt Attempt
Yanis Cimignani takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
52
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Dereck Moncada Head Shot Goal
52
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Dereck Moncada scores, making it 1-1.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Attempt Attempt
Uran Bislimi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
48
Attempt Attempt
Uran Bislimi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
48
Attempt Attempt
Yanis Cimignani takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Yanis Cimignani replaces Joel Bichsel.
46
Update Update
Kevin Behrens replaces Renato Steffen.
46
Update Update
On comes Oscar Clemente, off goes Luke Plange.
45
Attempt Attempt
Daniel dos Santos Barros takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Daniel dos Santos Barros takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
40
Attempt Attempt
Mattia Zanotti's header is saved.
35
Attempt Attempt
Nico Rissi takes a left-footed shot but misses.
35
Attempt Attempt
Amir Abrashi takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Attempt Attempt
Hassane Imourane takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
28
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Krasniqi takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
28
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Krasniqi takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Luke Plange scores with a right-footed shot.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Luke Plange scores to make it 1-0.
13
Attempt Attempt
Anto Grgic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Krasniqi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Attempt Attempt
Nikolas Muci takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Marijan Drmic.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Grasshopper 1-4 Lugano. Structural assessment: Lugano exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.