Molde vs Sarpsborg 08 preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aker Stadion Today - 3:00 PM
Eliteserien
Molde MOL
3 – 3
Sarpsborg 08 SA08
Full Time Today 3:00 PM
Round 16 Regular Season
Sondre Granaas - 22'
Eirik Hestad - 56'
Daniel Daga - 60'
Goal
|
Goal
Daniel Karlsbakk - 33'
Andreas Hansen - 51'
Albert Posiadala - 89' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Molde 3–3 Sarpsborg 08. The match ended in a draw. Molde showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Molde 1.5 – 0.9 Sarpsborg 08. Possession was 63%–37%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Molde 3-3 Sarpsborg 08. Molde showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Røvig Sletner
S. Røvig Sletner
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. Langseth
R. Langseth
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Mamhassan
K. Mamhassan
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Refsnes
D. Refsnes
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Molde S. Tjelmeland
S. Tjelmeland
VS
Sarpsborg 08 E. Sel
E. Sel
1.64
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
KFUM Rank: 59 W
Brann Rank: 69 L
Aalesund Rank: 47 D
Sandefjord Rank: 64 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 66 L
Kristiansund Rank: 58 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
HamKam Rank: 62 W
Kristiansund Rank: 56 D
Viking Rank: 80 W
Brann Rank: 72 W
Molde Rank: 69 W
Vålerenga Rank: 63 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 4
4

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.38
66.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Molde
Sarpsborg 08
Power Score
69.38
66.3
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
324
413

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Molde — Opponent-weighted form score
Sarpsborg 08 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Molde Sarpsborg 08

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Molde

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sarpsborg 08

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Molde
vs
Sarpsborg 08
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Molde Sarpsborg 08
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
21%
18%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.32 vs -0.17
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Molde Sarpsborg 08
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
18%
21%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.17 vs -0.32
Molde
Sarpsborg 08
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Molde
vs
Sarpsborg 08
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Molde Sarpsborg 08
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Molde 0.00
Sarpsborg 08 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Molde Sarpsborg 08
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Molde 0.00
Sarpsborg 08 0.00
Molde
Sarpsborg 08
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SA08 had peak pressure around 93'.
  • MOL started the game with stronger pressure.
MOL Pressure SA08 Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SA08 reached the top pressure at 93' (76.60).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Molde MOL Home
5 matches
Sarpsborg 08 SA08 Away
Match Record
0
Wins
4
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
0
Goals
5
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
5
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-02T14:30:23+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
A. Posiadała
Poland
22 A. Posiadała
S. Kabini
South Africa
26 S. Kabini
S. Hansen
4 S. Hansen
B. Risa
Norway
33 B. Risa
M. Linnes
Substitution
Norway
25 M. Linnes
E. Breivik
Norway
10 (C) E. Breivik
D. Daga
Substitution
Nigeria
30 D. Daga
E. Hestad
Substitution
Norway
5 E. Hestad
S. Granaas
Norway
23 S. Granaas
T. Doherty
Substitution
Republic of Ireland
24 T. Doherty
C. Zady Sery
Substitution
Ivory Coast
11 C. Zady Sery
L. Øy
Norway
87 L. Øy
A. Hiim
Norway
21 A. Hiim
M. Lode
Norway
2 M. Lode
B. Utvik
Norway
4 B. Utvik
C. Niyukuri
Substitution
Norway
12 C. Niyukuri
A. Sher
Substitution
Iraq
6 A. Sher
S. Christiansen
Norway
8 S. Christiansen
N. Williams
Substitution
Sweden
17 N. Williams
A. Hansen
Substitution
Denmark
33 A. Hansen
S. Sørli
Substitution
Norway
10 (C) S. Sørli
D. Seland Karlsbakk
Norway
11 D. Seland Karlsbakk

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 02, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 16 · Regular Season
Stadium
Aker Stadion
Capacity
11249
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Stian Røvig Sletner
Runar Langseth
Karwan Mamhassan
Daniel Refsnes

Statistics

Possession
MOL
61%
SA08
39%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 3
1 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 5
67 Dangerous attacks 44
63 Possession 37
5 Corners 4
6 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

9 Goal Kicks 9
5 Substitutions 5
23 Throwins 24
0 Hit Woodwork 2
13 Dribble Attempts 25
5 Successful Dribbles 7
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 28

Attacking

139 Attacks 85
5 Counter Attacks 0

Possession

54 Long Passes 63
695 Passes 396
602 Successful Passes 311
87 Successful Passes Percentage 79
14 Key Passes 7
26 Successful Long Passes 27
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

2 Saves 6
30 Tackles 16
3 Interceptions 15
52 Duels Won 44

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 17
7 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
14 Fouls 6

Lineup

Referee : Stian Røvig Sletner

Starting XI ▼

22
Albert Posiadala
Albert Posiadala Goalkeeper
6.97
4
S. Hansen
S. Hansen Defender
7.25
25
Martin Linnes
Martin Linnes Defender
6.79
8
Mathias Løvik
Mathias Løvik
Defender74'
5.83
26
Samukele Kabini
Samukele Kabini Defender
6.93
33
Birk Risa
Birk Risa Defender
6.95
5
Eirik Hestad
Eirik Hestad Midfielder
7.26
29
S. Diop
S. Diop
Attacker87'
6.86
10
Emil Breivik
Emil Breivik (C) Midfielder
7.37
23
Sondre Granaas
Sondre Granaas Midfielder
7.21
24
Trent Kone Doherty
Trent Kone Doherty Midfielder
6.77
9
Jalal Abdullai
Jalal Abdullai
Attacker64'
6.85
30
Daniel Daga
Daniel Daga Midfielder
7.08
20
Mads Enggård
Mads Enggård
Midfielder74'
6.62
11
Caleb Zady Sery
Caleb Zady Sery Attacker
6.74
21
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter
Attacker64'
6.69
Referee : Stian Røvig Sletner

Starting XI ▼

87
L. Øy
L. Øy Goalkeeper
6.73
2
Marius Lode
Marius Lode Defender
6.6
4
Bjørn Inge Utvik
Bjørn Inge Utvik Defender
7.01
12
Claus Niyukuri
Claus Niyukuri Defender
6.83
32
Eirik Wichne
Eirik Wichne
Defender72'
6.49
21
Anders Hiim
Anders Hiim Defender
6.83
6
Aimar Sher
Aimar Sher Midfielder
7.22
7
Camil Mmaee
Camil Mmaee
Midfielder81'
8
Sander Christiansen
Sander Christiansen Midfielder
7.02
10
Sondre Sörli
Sondre Sörli (C) Midfielder
6.97
15
M. Opoku
M. Opoku
Midfielder81'
6.87
17
Noa Williams
Noa Williams Midfielder
6.65
22
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
Midfielder64'
6.92
33
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Midfielder
6.88
77
Olaus Skarsem
Olaus Skarsem
Midfielder64'
6.37
11
Daniel Karlsbakk
Daniel Karlsbakk Attacker
6.64

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Albert Posiadala
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
Event
S. Diop → Eirik Hestad
10th Substitution
87'
81'
Event
Camil Mmaee → Aimar Sher
8th Substitution
81'
Event
M. Opoku → Sondre Sörli
9th Substitution
Event
Mads Enggård → Daniel Daga
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Mathias Løvik → Martin Linnes
7th Substitution
74'
74'
Event
Sander Christiansen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
72'
Event
Eirik Wichne → Claus Niyukuri
5th Substitution
71'
Event
Even Sel
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Jalal Abdullai  → Trent Kone Doherty
1st Substitution
64'
Event
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter → Caleb Zady Sery
3rd Substitution
64'
64'
Event
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen → Noa Williams
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Olaus Skarsem → Andreas Hansen
4th Substitution
Event
Daniel Daga
Header / 5th Goal
60'
Event
Eirik Hestad
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
56'
51'
Event
Andreas Hansen
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
1ST-HALF
Event
Eirik Hestad
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
40'
33'
Event
Daniel Karlsbakk
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Sondre Granaas
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
22'

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Molde 3-3 Sarpsborg 08. Structural assessment: Molde exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.