FC Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
MCH Arena Thu, 30 Jul - 5:00 PM
Europa League
FC MidtjyllandFCM
0 2
BeşiktaşBES
Full Time Thu, 30 Jul 5:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 3
|
Goal
Orkun Kökçü  - 76' (P)
Martin Erlić 54' Second yellow card
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. FC Midtjylland 0–2 Beşiktaş. The result saw Beşiktaş take the points. Beşiktaş showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 55%–45%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: FC Midtjylland 0-2 Beşiktaş. Beşiktaş showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the match progression and team performances.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined as expected goals data was unavailable.
  • Market alignment: The final result was not aligned with pre-match market projections.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were not applicable given the absence of underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: The knockout tie context amplified the impact of the second half events.
  • Red card distortion: The red card to the home team introduced notable distortion to the game's structure.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Brooks
J. Brooks
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
N. Davies
N. Davies
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
N. Greenhalgh
N. Greenhalgh
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Bramall
T. Bramall
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
FC Midtjylland M. Tullberg
M. Tullberg
VS
Beşiktaş V. Italiano
V. Italiano
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Beşiktaş Rank: 76 L
Nottingham Forest Rank: 90 L
Nottingham Forest Rank: 90 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FC Midtjylland
47.25%
Draw
25.91%
Away Beşiktaş
26.84%

Movement

Changes since opening
FC Midtjylland
+46.48%
Draw
+24%
Beşiktaş
-70.48%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
80.29
80.09
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FC Midtjylland
Beşiktaş
Power Score
80.29
80.09
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
93
95

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FC Midtjylland — Opponent-weighted form score
Beşiktaş — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FC Midtjylland Beşiktaş

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FC Midtjylland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Beşiktaş

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FC Midtjylland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Beşiktaş
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.18
34.44
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.44
33.18
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FC Midtjylland -0.07 Efficiency Index
vs
Beşiktaş +0.07 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FC Midtjylland
Beşiktaş
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FC Midtjylland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Beşiktaş
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FC Midtjylland Beşiktaş
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FC Midtjylland Beşiktaş
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FC Midtjylland
Beşiktaş
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
FC Midtjylland
vs
Beşiktaş
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
FC Midtjylland Beşiktaş
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
FC Midtjylland 0.36
Beşiktaş 0.47
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
FC Midtjylland Beşiktaş
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
FC Midtjylland 0.07
Beşiktaş 0.00
FC Midtjylland
Beşiktaş
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BES had peak pressure around 65'.
  • FCM started the game with stronger pressure.
FCM Pressure BES Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BES reached the top pressure at 65' (53.70).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FC Midtjylland FCM Home
1 matches
Beşiktaş BES Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:03:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 3
Stadium
MCH Arena
Capacity
12152
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
John Brooks
Neil Davies
Nick Greenhalgh
Thomas Bramall

Statistics

Possession
FCM
52%
BES
48%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
15 Shots 10
45 Dangerous attacks 30
55 Possession 45
5 Corners 1
18 Free kicks 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
5 Substitutions 5
12 Throwins 9
2 Hit Woodwork 1
8 Dribble Attempts 7

Attacking

111 Attacks 97

Possession

37 Long Passes 22
411 Passes 416
77 Successful Passes Percentage 79
13 Key Passes 11

Defensive

2 Saves 4
10 Tackles 11
8 Interceptions 9

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 4

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : John Brooks

Starting XI ▼

1
Elías Ólafsson
Elías Ólafsson Goalkeeper
6.49
5
Rasmus Nissen Kristensen
Rasmus Nissen Kristensen (C) Defender
6.98
6
Martin Erlić
Martin Erlić Defender
5.63
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
Mads Bech Sørensen Defender
6.56
8
Philip Billing
Philip Billing Midfielder
7.19
29
Kjell Wätjen
Kjell Wätjen
Midfielder57'
6.38
11
Darío Osorio
Darío Osorio Midfielder
6.9
27
Sofus Johannesen
Sofus Johannesen
Midfielder77'
6.85
19
Pedro Bravo
Pedro Bravo Midfielder
6.85
20
Valdemar Byskov
Valdemar Byskov Midfielder
6.85
38
Julius Emefile
Julius Emefile
Attacker57'
6.51
21
Denil Castillo
Denil Castillo Midfielder
6.87
18
Stanley Iheanacho
Stanley Iheanacho
Midfielder69'
6.14
7
Franculino
Franculino Attacker
6.74
3
Han-beom Lee
Han-beom Lee
Defender57'
6.2
10
Gue-sung Cho
Gue-sung Cho Attacker
7.23
Referee : John Brooks

Starting XI ▼

1
Alexander Nübel
Alexander Nübel Goalkeeper
7.48
33
Rıdvan Yılmaz
Rıdvan Yılmaz Defender
7.35
35
Tiago Djaló
Tiago Djaló Defender
7.08
53
Emirhan Topçu
Emirhan Topçu Defender
7.4
62
Amir Murillo
Amir Murillo Defender
6.78
22
Taylan Bulut
Taylan Bulut
Defender85'
6.57
6
Salih Özcan
Salih Özcan Midfielder
6.83
10
Orkun Kökçü
Orkun Kökçü (C) Midfielder
7.76
15
Junior Olaitan
Junior Olaitan Midfielder
7.49
—
Junior Olaitan
79'
18
Vaclav Cerny
Vaclav Cerny Midfielder
6.96
7
Milot Rashica
Milot Rashica
Midfielder69'
7.28
29
İlhan Fakılı
İlhan Fakılı Midfielder
6.73
58
Yasin Özcan
Yasin Özcan
Defender85'
6.31
9
Hyeon-gyu Oh
Hyeon-gyu Oh Attacker
6.99
23
Mustafa Hekimoğlu
Mustafa Hekimoğlu
Attacker85'
6.6

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Yasin Özcan
Roughing / 6th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Taylan Bulut → Amir Murillo
8th Substitution
85'
Event
Mustafa Hekimoğlu → Hyeon-gyu Oh
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Yasin Özcan → İlhan Fakılı
10th Substitution
81'
Event
Hyeon-gyu Oh
Tripping / 5th Yellowcard
79'
Event
Amir Hadziahmetovic → Junior Olaitan
7th Substitution
Event
Sofus Johannesen → Darío Osorio
6th Substitution
77'
76'
Event
Orkun Kökçü 
Penalty / 1st Penalty
Event
Rasmus Nissen Kristensen 
Roughing / 4th Yellowcard
75'
70'
Event
Milot Rashica
Field Goal / 1st Goal
Event
Stanley Iheanacho → Denil Castillo
4th Substitution
69'
69'
Event
Milot Rashica → Vaclav Cerny
5th Substitution
Event
Julius Emefile → Valdemar Byskov
1st Substitution
57'
Event
Han-beom Lee → Franculino
2nd Substitution
57'
Event
Kjell Wätjen → Philip Billing
3rd Substitution
57'
57'
Event
Vaclav Cerny
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Martin Erlić
Tripping / 1st Yellow/red Card
54'
1ST-HALF
Event
Martin Erlić
Roughing / 2nd Yellowcard
44'
Event
Mads Bech Sørensen
Handling / 1st Yellowcard
35'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Offside.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yasin Ozcan receives a yellow card.
85
Update Update
Taylan Bulut comes on for Michael Murillo.
85
Update Update
Mustafa Erhan Hekimoglu is on, and Oh Hyeon-Gyu is off.
85
Update Update
On Yasin Ozcan, off Ilhan Fakili.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Oh Hyeon-Gyu.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Update Update
Amir Hadziahmetovic is on, and Junior Olaitan is off.
77
Update Update
Sofus Johannesen replaces Dario Esteban Osorio.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Orkun Kokcu scores, making it 0-2.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Rasmus Nissen Kristensen.
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
69
Update Update
Stanley Iheanacho is on, and Denil Castillo is off.
69
Update Update
Milot Rashica comes on for Vaclav Cerny.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Update Update
On comes Lee Han-Beom, off goes Franculino Gluda Dju.
57
Update Update
Kjell Watjen replaces Phillip Billing.
57
Update Update
Julius Emefile comes on for Valdemar Andreasen.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Vaclav Cerny.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card issued to Martin Erlic.
51
Update Update
Offside.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Martin Erlic receives a yellow card.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Mads Bech Sorensen.
24
Update Update
Offside.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is John Brooks.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: FC Midtjylland 0-2 Beşiktaş. Structural assessment: Beşiktaş exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.