PAOK vs Dynamo Kyiv preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Stadio Toumbas Thu, 30 Jul - 5:45 PM
Europa League
PAOKPKT
2 0
Dynamo KyivDYN
Full Time Thu, 30 Jul 5:45 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 5 - 2
Giannis Konstantelias - 45+1', 48'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

PAOK hosted Dynamo Kyiv for the second leg of their knockout tie and secured a 2-0 victory. The home side took the lead in the first half and maintained control to finish with a clean sheet. Possession favored the visitors at 53 percent compared to 47 percent for PAOK yet the hosts proved more clinical in front of goal. No red cards were shown to either side and the stronger team delivered the expected result. The aggregate scoreline confirmed PAOK progression after the two legs. Minimal deviation from pre-match indicators was observed throughout the contest. The match concluded with PAOK advancing on the strength of their overall performance.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match showed minimal deviation from pre-match expectations at 2.9 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was not available to determine alignment.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals data was provided for this match.
  • Event impact: PAOK secured a 2-0 victory in the second leg of the tie.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued, resulting in no distortion to the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Sylwestrzak
D. Sylwestrzak
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
P. Sokolnicki
P. Sokolnicki
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Karasewicz
A. Karasewicz
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Kos
D. Kos
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
PAOK A. Lisci
A. Lisci
VS
Dynamo Kyiv I. Kostyuk
I. Kostyuk
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.67
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 68 W
Celta de Vigo Rank: 84 L
Celta de Vigo Rank: 84 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
PAOK Rank: 79 L
Universitatea Cluj Rank: 72 D
Universitatea Cluj Rank: 72 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home PAOK
97.13%
Draw
1.9%
Away Dynamo Kyiv
0.96%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.19
70.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
PAOK
Dynamo Kyiv
Power Score
82.19
70.39
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
73
312

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
PAOK — Opponent-weighted form score
Dynamo Kyiv — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) PAOK Dynamo Kyiv

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

PAOK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dynamo Kyiv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

PAOK ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Kyiv
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.45
28.87
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.87
32.45
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
PAOK +0.19 Efficiency Index
vs
Dynamo Kyiv -0.19 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
PAOK
Dynamo Kyiv
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

PAOK ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dynamo Kyiv
Created Set-piece attacking threat
PAOK Dynamo Kyiv
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
PAOK Dynamo Kyiv
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
PAOK
Dynamo Kyiv
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
PAOK
vs
Dynamo Kyiv
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
PAOK Dynamo Kyiv
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
PAOK 0.29
Dynamo Kyiv 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
PAOK Dynamo Kyiv
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
PAOK 0.00
Dynamo Kyiv 0.04
PAOK
Dynamo Kyiv
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • PKT had peak pressure around 47'.
  • DYN started the game with stronger pressure.
PKT Pressure DYN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: PKT reached the top pressure at 47' (45.76).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

PAOK PKT Home
1 matches
Dynamo Kyiv DYN Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
3
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:04:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 05:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 5 - 2
Stadium
Stadio Toumbas
Capacity
28703
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Damian Sylwestrzak
Pawel Sokolnicki
Adam Karasewicz
Damian Kos

Statistics

Possession
PKT
47%
DYN
53%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
2 Shots 7
45 Dangerous attacks 46
47 Possession 53
2 Corners 6
18 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
22 Throwins 22
0 Hit Woodwork 2
8 Dribble Attempts 7

Attacking

75 Attacks 107

Possession

26 Long Passes 36
318 Passes 356
79 Successful Passes Percentage 82
11 Key Passes 11

Defensive

4 Saves 4
16 Tackles 16
9 Interceptions 7

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 18

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Damian Sylwestrzak

Starting XI ▼

1
Jiri Pavlenka
Jiri Pavlenka Goalkeeper
7.51
3
Jonjoe Kenny
Jonjoe Kenny Defender
6.87
4
Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Pantelis Hatzidiakos Defender
6.63
6
Aritz Elustondo
Aritz Elustondo
Defender76'
6.45
5
Giannis Michailidis
Giannis Michailidis Defender
7.57
18
Jonathan Gómez
Jonathan Gómez Defender
7.41
7
Baptiste Santamaria
Baptiste Santamaria Midfielder
7.25
11
Taison
Taison Midfielder
6.89
52
Dimitrios Chatsidis
Dimitrios Chatsidis
Midfielder68'
6.69
14
Andrija Zivkovic
Andrija Zivkovic (C) Midfielder
7.23
21
Abdul Rahman Baba
Abdul Rahman Baba
Defender76'
6.59
20
Christos Zafeiris
Christos Zafeiris Midfielder
6.68
2
Mady Camara
Mady Camara
Midfielder76'
6.56
65
Giannis Konstantelias
Giannis Konstantelias Midfielder
2
8.56
10
Dimitrios Pelkas
Dimitrios Pelkas
Midfielder83'
6.61
56
Anestis Mythou
Anestis Mythou Attacker
6.99
Referee : Damian Sylwestrzak

Starting XI ▼

71
Vyacheslav Surkis
Vyacheslav Surkis Goalkeeper
6.83
5
Oleksiy Sych
Oleksiy Sych Defender
6.37
32
Taras Mykhavko
Taras Mykhavko Defender
6.82
66
Aliou Thiaré
Aliou Thiaré Defender
6.11
40
Kristian Bilovar
Kristian Bilovar
Defender86'
94
Tomasz Kędziora
Tomasz Kędziora Defender
6.78
6
Volodymyr Brazhko
Volodymyr Brazhko Midfielder
7.12
9
Nazar Voloshyn
Nazar Voloshyn Midfielder
6.59
7
Andriy Yarmolenko
Andriy Yarmolenko
Midfielder67'
6.5
21
Justin Lonwijk
Justin Lonwijk Midfielder
6.88
99
Pierre Mounguengue
Pierre Mounguengue
Attacker86'
29
Vitaliy Buyalskyi
Vitaliy Buyalskyi (C) Midfielder
6.65
10
Mykola Shaparenko
Mykola Shaparenko
Midfielder67'
6.98
70
Bogdan Redushko
Bogdan Redushko Midfielder
6.56
22
Vladyslav Kabaev
Vladyslav Kabaev
Midfielder80'
6.72
11
Matviy Ponomarenko
Matviy Ponomarenko Attacker
6.6

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Kristian Bilovar → Aliou Thiaré
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Pierre Mounguengue → Justin Lonwijk
10th Substitution
Event
Dimitrios Pelkas → Giannis Konstantelias
8th Substitution
83'
80'
Event
Vladyslav Kabaev  → Bogdan Redushko
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Mykola Shaparenko
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Abdul Rahman Baba → Andrija Zivkovic
4th Substitution
76'
Event
Mady Camara → Christos Zafeiris
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Aritz Elustondo → Pantelis Hatzidiakos
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Dimitrios Chatsidis → Taison
3rd Substitution
68'
67'
Event
Mykola Shaparenko → Vitaliy Buyalskyi 
1st Substitution
67'
Event
Andriy Yarmolenko → Nazar Voloshyn
2nd Substitution
50'
Event
Matviy Ponomarenko
Tripping / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Giannis Konstantelias
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
48'
1ST-HALF
Event
Giannis Konstantelias
Field Goal / 1st Goal
45+1'
Event
Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Tripping / 1st Yellowcard
35'

Match Commentary

89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Pierre Mounguengue comes on for Justin Lonwijk.
86
Update Update
On Kristian Bilovar, off Allou Thiare.
84
Update Update
Offside.
84
Update Update
Offside.
83
Update Update
Dimitrios Pelkas comes on for Giannis Konstantelias.
80
Update Update
Vladyslav Kabaev is on, and Bohdan Redushko is off.
78
Update Update
Vladyslav Kabaev is on, and Bohdan Redushko is off.
76
Update Update
Dimitrios Pelkas comes on for Giannis Konstantelias.
76
Update Update
Abdul Rahman Baba is on, and Andrija Zivkovic is off.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substituting Mohamed Mady Camara for Christos Zafeiris.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Update Update
On comes Taison for Barcellos Freda, while Chatsidis goes off.
67
Update Update
Andriy Yarmolenko comes on for Nazar Voloshyn.
67
Update Update
Mykola Shaparenko is on, and Vitaliy Buyalskyi is off.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Update Update
Offside.
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Matvii Ponomarenko.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Giannis Konstantelias scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Giannis Michailidis.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Giannis Konstantelias scores, making it 1-0.
40
Update Update
Offside.
35
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Pantelis Hatzidiakos.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Update Update
Offside.
11
Update Update
Offside.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Damian Sylwestrzak.

CONCLUSION

PAOK completed a professional performance to defeat Dynamo Kyiv 2-0 and advance in the tie. Leading 1-0 at the interval the home side managed the game effectively despite lower possession. The clean sheet and two goals proved decisive in confirming progression on aggregate. With no disciplinary incidents the contest remained balanced until the final whistle. The result aligned with the stronger team prevailing under minimal deviation conditions. Overall the match demonstrated consistent efficiency from the winners across both halves. PAOK now moves forward having controlled the key moments required for success.