Vestri vs Rīgas FS preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Olísvöllurinn
Europa Conference League
VestriVES
1 – 1
Rīgas FSRFS
Full Time
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 5
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Vestri 1–1 Rīgas FS. The match ended in a draw. Vestri showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 49%–51%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Vestri recorded a significant structural deviation of 83.6 percent from pre-match positioning.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with observed team patterns throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment data was unavailable and could not be assessed for either side.
  • Market alignment: The final result was not aligned with pre-match market projections.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were not provided in available match data.
  • Event impact: The 1-1 draw in leg two produced no change to the overall tie progression.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards occurred and created no distortion in match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Antoniou
M. Antoniou
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
E. Komodromos
E. Komodromos
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Kontemeniotis
G. Kontemeniotis
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Christou
K. Christou
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Vestri D. Osafo-Badu
D. Osafo-Badu
VS
Rīgas FS V. Morozs
V. Morozs
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rīgas FS Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vestri Rank: W
Glentoran Rank: 52 W
Glentoran Rank: 53 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Vestri
9.47%
Draw
16.37%
Away Rīgas FS
74.16%

Movement

Changes since opening
Vestri
+5.1%
Draw
-70.93%
Rīgas FS
+65.83%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vestri
Rīgas FS
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Vestri — Opponent-weighted form score
Rīgas FS — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vestri Rīgas FS

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Vestri

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rīgas FS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Vestri ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rīgas FS
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
17.96
28.73
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.73
17.96
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Vestri -0.84 Efficiency Index
vs
Rīgas FS +0.84 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Vestri
Rīgas FS
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Vestri ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rīgas FS
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Vestri Rīgas FS
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Vestri Rīgas FS
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Vestri
Rīgas FS
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Vestri
vs
Rīgas FS
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Vestri Rīgas FS
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Vestri 0.11
Rīgas FS 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Vestri Rīgas FS
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Vestri 0.01
Rīgas FS 0.02
Vestri
Rīgas FS
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RFS had peak pressure around 21'.
  • VES started the game with stronger pressure.
VES Pressure RFS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RFS reached the top pressure at 21' (47.32).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vestri VES Home
1 matches
Rīgas FS RFS Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
1
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:04:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 5
Stadium
Olísvöllurinn
Capacity
800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Menelaos Antoniou
Eraklis Komodromos
Giorgos Kontemeniotis
Konstantinos Christou

Statistics

Possession
VES
49%
RFS
51%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
4 Shots 5
56 Dangerous attacks 73
49 Possession 51
4 Corners 2
16 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

98 Ball Safe 84
4 Goal Attempts 8
2 Substitutions 0
21 Throwins 15

Attacking

128 Attacks 138

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
7 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Menelaos Antoniou

Starting XI ▼

1
Marvin Darri Steinarsson
Marvin Darri Steinarsson Goalkeeper
6.12
3
Edson
Edson Defender
6.25
12
Cafú Phete
Cafú Phete Defender
6.26
27
Chriss-Albin Mörfelt
Chriss-Albin Mörfelt
Midfielder61'
6.5
14
Birkir Eydal
Birkir Eydal Defender
6.26
15
Gudmundur Arnar Svavarsson
Gudmundur Arnar Svavarsson Defender
6.26
22
Elmar Atli Gardarsson
Elmar Atli Gardarsson (C) Defender
6.26
45
Gudmundur Páll Einarsson
Gudmundur Páll Einarsson Defender
6.26
77
Sergine Fall
Sergine Fall
Defender61'
6.5
10
Thórdur Gunnar Hafthórsson
Thórdur Gunnar Hafthórsson Midfielder
6.57
18
M. Hagbarðsson
M. Hagbarðsson
Defender75'
6.5
11
Johannes Selvén
Johannes Selvén Midfielder
6.37
17
Gunnar Jónas Hauksson
Gunnar Jónas Hauksson Midfielder
6.37
7
Jacob Stensson
Jacob Stensson
Midfielder68'
6.5
23
Breki Thór Hermannsson
Breki Thór Hermannsson Midfielder
6.37
19
Emmanuel Duah
Emmanuel Duah
Midfielder75'
6.5
Referee : Menelaos Antoniou

Starting XI ▼

16
Jevgenijs Nerugals
Jevgenijs Nerugals Goalkeeper
6.12
6
Aleksandar Filipovic
Aleksandar Filipovic Defender
6.26
23
Herdi Prenga
Herdi Prenga Defender
6.26
43
Ziga Lipuscek
Ziga Lipuscek (C) Defender
6.25
10
Janis Ikaunieks
Janis Ikaunieks Midfielder
6.37
14
Mamadou Sylla
Mamadou Sylla Midfielder
6.57
20
Kingsley Emenike
Kingsley Emenike
Attacker73'
6.5
18
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs Midfielder
6.37
5
Niks Sliede
Niks Sliede
Defender90+1'
26
Stefan Panic
Stefan Panic Midfielder
6.44
49
Martins Kigurs
Martins Kigurs Midfielder
6.37
22
Darko Lemajic
Darko Lemajic
Attacker46'
6.5
81
Strahinja Rakic
Strahinja Rakic Midfielder
6.37
15
Rostand Ndjiki
Rostand Ndjiki Attacker
6.46
21
Niks Dusalijevs
Niks Dusalijevs
Midfielder64'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Niks Sliede → Dmitrijs Zelenkovs
9th Substitution
Event
Emmanuel Duah → Breki Thór Hermannsson
7th Substitution
75'
Event
M. Hagbarðsson → Thórdur Gunnar Hafthórsson
8th Substitution
75'
74'
Event
Ziga Lipuscek 
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
73'
Event
Kingsley Emenike → Mamadou Sylla
6th Substitution
Event
Jacob Stensson → Gunnar Jónas Hauksson
5th Substitution
68'
64'
Event
Niks Dusalijevs → Rostand Ndjiki
4th Substitution
Event
Sergine Fall → Gudmundur Páll Einarsson
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Chriss-Albin Mörfelt → Cafú Phete
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Daniel Osafo-Badu
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
55'
Event
Edson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
54'
Event
Edson
4th Yellowcard
54'
46'
Event
Darko Lemajic → Martins Kigurs
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
35'
Event
Stefan Panic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
16'
Event
Mamadou Sylla
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
Event
Thórdur Gunnar Hafthórsson
Field Goal / 1st Goal
12'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Update Update
On Niks Sliede, off Dmitrijs Zelenkovs.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Update Update
Emmanuel Agyemang Duah replaces Breki Hermannsson.
75
Update Update
Marinó Steinar Hagbarðsson comes on for Thordur Gunnar Hafthorsson.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Ziga Lipuscek.
73
Update Update
Kingsley Emenike is on, and Mamadou Sylla is off.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Update Update
Jacob Stensson is on, and Gunnar Jonas Hauksson is off.
64
Update Update
Niks Dusalijevs is on, and Rostand Ndjiki is off.
61
Substitution Substitution
Sergine Fall is substituted for Gudmundur Pall Einarsson.
61
Update Update
Albin Morfelt comes on for Thibang Sindile Theophilus Phete.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
54
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card awarded to Edson Eduardo.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Darko Lemajic comes on for Martins Kigurs.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Menelaos Antoniou.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Vestri 1-1 Rīgas FS. Structural assessment: Vestri exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.