Katowice vs Žilina preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadion Rozwoj Thu, 30 Jul - 6:30 PM
Europa Conference League
KatowiceKAT
3 1
ŽilinaZILI
Full Time Thu, 30 Jul 6:30 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 4 - 3
Adam Zrelak - 48'
Ilya Shkurin - 82'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Katowice 3–1 Žilina. The result saw Katowice take the points. Katowice showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 58%–42%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Katowice produced a significant 40.9 percent deviation from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with overall team performance.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was recorded for either side in this fixture.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome proved aligned with available market indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed due to absent metrics.
  • Event impact: The 3-1 home win in leg two overturned the aggregate deficit.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion affected the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
B. Csonka
B. Csonka
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
V. Toth
V. Toth
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
N. Bornemissza
N. Bornemissza
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Kovacs
I. Kovacs
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Katowice R. Górak
R. Górak
VS
Žilina P. Stano
P. Stano
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Žilina Rank: 72 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Katowice Rank: 67 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Katowice
59.1%
Draw
22.7%
Away Žilina
18.2%

Movement

Changes since opening
Katowice
-38.22%
Draw
+20.79%
Žilina
+17.43%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.1
74.01
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Katowice
Žilina
Power Score
70.1
74.01
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
320
210

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Katowice — Opponent-weighted form score
Žilina — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Katowice Žilina

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Katowice

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Žilina

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Katowice ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Žilina
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.79
28.57
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.57
43.79
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Katowice +1.43 Efficiency Index
vs
Žilina -1.43 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Katowice
Žilina
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Katowice ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Žilina
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Katowice Žilina
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Katowice Žilina
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Katowice
Žilina
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Katowice
vs
Žilina
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Katowice Žilina
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Katowice 0.32
Žilina 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Katowice Žilina
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Katowice 0.03
Žilina 0.04
Katowice
Žilina
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KAT had peak pressure around 45'.
  • ZILI started the game with stronger pressure.
KAT Pressure ZILI Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KAT reached the top pressure at 45' (76.33).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Katowice KAT Home
1 matches
Žilina ZILI Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:06:28+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 4 - 3
Stadium
Stadion Rozwoj
Capacity
3000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bence Csonka
Vencel Toth
Norbert Bornemissza
I. Kovacs

Statistics

Possession
KAT
56%
ZILI
44%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
14 Shots 8
68 Dangerous attacks 40
58 Possession 42
6 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
10 Throwins 19

Attacking

90 Attacks 83

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Bence Csonka

Starting XI ▼

87
Gabriel Kobylak
Gabriel Kobylak Goalkeeper
6.12
4
Arkadiusz Jędrych
Arkadiusz Jędrych (C) Defender
6.26
6
Lukas Klemenz
Lukas Klemenz Defender
6.25
30
Alan Czerwinski
Alan Czerwinski Defender
6.26
8
Borja Galán
Borja Galán Midfielder
6.37
7
Mateusz Wdowiak
Mateusz Wdowiak
Midfielder75'
6.69
19
Kacper Lukasiak
Kacper Lukasiak Midfielder
6.33
22
Sebastian Milewski
Sebastian Milewski
Midfielder89'
68
Bartosz Wolski
Bartosz Wolski Midfielder
6.48
97
Erik Jirka
Erik Jirka Midfielder
6.37
23
Marcin Wasielewski
Marcin Wasielewski
Midfielder75'
6.5
15
Eman Markovic
Eman Markovic Attacker
6.46
31
Szymon Bartlewicz
Szymon Bartlewicz
Midfielder64'
6.5
27
Bartosz Nowak
Bartosz Nowak Attacker
6.78
99
Adam Zrelak
Adam Zrelak Attacker
6.82
17
Ilya Shkurin
Ilya Shkurin
Attacker75'
6.86
Referee : Bence Csonka

Starting XI ▼

1
Jakub Badzgon
Jakub Badzgon Goalkeeper
5.68
17
Jan Minarik
Jan Minarik Defender
5.88
21
Timotej Hranica
Timotej Hranica Defender
5.98
9
Patrik Baleja
Patrik Baleja
Midfielder88'
28
Aleksandre Narimanidze
Aleksandre Narimanidze Defender
5.88
33
Tobias Paliscak
Tobias Paliscak Defender
5.86
7
Frantisek Kosa
Frantisek Kosa Midfielder
6.57
23
Michal Fasko
Michal Fasko
Attacker69'
6.43
11
Fabian Bzdyl
Fabian Bzdyl Midfielder
6.18
90
Dani Homet
Dani Homet
Attacker88'
20
Krisztian Bari
Krisztian Bari Midfielder
6.18
66
Miroslav Kacer
Miroslav Kacer (C) Midfielder
6.37
10
Andrei Florea
Andrei Florea
Midfielder64'
6.27
16
Patrik Ilko
Patrik Ilko Attacker
6.46
6
Xavier Adang
Xavier Adang
Midfielder64'
6.27
95
Marko Roginic
Marko Roginic Attacker
6.38

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sebastian Milewski → Kacper Lukasiak
10th Substitution
89'
88'
Event
Patrik Baleja → Timotej Hranica
8th Substitution
88'
Event
Dani Homet → Fabian Bzdyl
9th Substitution
Event
Ilya Shkurin
Field Goal / 4th Goal
82'
Event
Mateusz Wdowiak
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
79'
Event
Ilya Shkurin → Adam Zrelak
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Marcin Wasielewski → Erik Jirka
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Mateusz Wdowiak → Borja Galán
7th Substitution
75'
74'
Event
Tobias Paliscak
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
69'
Event
Michal Fasko → Frantisek Kosa
4th Substitution
Event
Szymon Bartlewicz → Eman Markovic
2nd Substitution
64'
64'
Event
Xavier Adang → Patrik Ilko
1st Substitution
64'
Event
Andrei Florea → Miroslav Kacer 
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Frantisek Kosa
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
Event
Kacper Lukasiak
Persistent fouling / 3rd Yellowcard
50'
Event
Adam Zrelak
Field Goal / 1st Goal
48'
1ST-HALF
Event
Lukas Klemenz
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
45'
19'
Event
Timotej Hranica
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

89
Update Update
Sebastian Milewski is on, and Kacper Lukasiak is off.
88
Update Update
On Daniel Homet Ruiz, off Fabian Bzdyl.
88
Update Update
Patrik Baleja comes on for Timotej Hranica.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-1.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mateusz Wdowiak scores to make it 2-1, assisted by Bartosz Nowak.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
75
Update Update
Marcin Wasielewski comes on for Erik Jirka.
75
Update Update
Mateusz Wdowiak comes on for Borja Galan Gonzalez.
75
Update Update
Ilia Shkurin comes on for Adam Zrelak.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tobias Paliscak receives a yellow card.
69
Update Update
Michal Fasko is on, and Frantisek Kosa is off.
64
Update Update
Szymon Bartlewicz comes on for Eman Markovic.
64
Update Update
Xavier Adang comes on for Miroslav Kacer.
64
Update Update
Andrei Florea is on, and Patrik Ilko is off.
64
Update Update
Szymon Bartlewicz comes on for Eman Markovic.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Frantisek Kosa scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Timotej Hranica.
50
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
48
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Adam Zrelak scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Bartosz Nowak.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Bence Csonka.

CONCLUSION

Katowice completed a strong turnaround in the second leg by overcoming the initial aggregate position through determined second-half play. The 0-0 halftime score gave way to three unanswered goals that secured both the match and progression. Žilina managed a late consolation but could not mount a sustained response after falling behind. Possession control and clinical finishing proved decisive for the victors on the night. With no disciplinary issues arising the contest remained focused on tactical adjustments and attacking intent. This outcome highlights how second-leg momentum can shift ties even when entering at a disadvantage. Katowice now advance having demonstrated resilience and efficiency across the full ninety minutes.