Dinamo City vs Aluminij preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Elbasan Arena Thu, 30 Jul - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Dinamo CityDIN
3 0
AluminijALU
Full Time Thu, 30 Jul 7:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 4 - 1
Lorenco Vila - 24'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Dinamo City secured a 3-0 victory over Aluminij in the second leg of their knockout tie. The home side led 2-0 at halftime and maintained control throughout the second period with 60 percent possession compared to the visitors 40 percent. No red cards were shown to either team during the contest. Although Aluminij entered as the stronger side on paper the outcome favored Dinamo City who advanced on aggregate. The match featured a minimal deviation level of 6.8 percent associated with the home team. Efficiency metrics remained in line with established patterns and market alignment held true. Second half adjustments were minimal as the scoreline reflected the first half dominance.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A minimal 6.8 percent deviation occurred for Dinamo City.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with established patterns.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable for alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals data remained unavailable throughout the match.
  • Event impact: The second leg concluded with a 3-0 scoreline advancing Dinamo City.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued to either side during the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
K. Umudlu
K. Umudlu
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
N. Hüseynov
N. Hüseynov
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
V. Mammadov
V. Mammadov
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
?. Məmmədov
?. Məmmədov
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Dinamo City I. Daja
I. Daja
VS
Aluminij J. Arsic
J. Arsic
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aluminij Rank: 53 D
Astana Rank: W
Astana Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo City Rank: 41 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dinamo City
93.22%
Draw
4.48%
Away Aluminij
2.3%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.66
54.56
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dinamo City
Aluminij
Power Score
47.66
54.56
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
1022
819

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dinamo City — Opponent-weighted form score
Aluminij — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dinamo City Aluminij

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Dinamo City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Aluminij

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Dinamo City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aluminij
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
24.92
40.63
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
40.63
24.92
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Dinamo City -1.48 Efficiency Index
vs
Aluminij +1.48 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Dinamo City
Aluminij
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Dinamo City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Aluminij
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Dinamo City Aluminij
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Dinamo City Aluminij
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Dinamo City
Aluminij
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Dinamo City
vs
Aluminij
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Dinamo City Aluminij
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Dinamo City 0.20
Aluminij 0.20
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Dinamo City Aluminij
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Dinamo City 0.00
Aluminij 0.05
Dinamo City
Aluminij
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ALU had peak pressure around 23'.
  • DIN started the game with stronger pressure.
DIN Pressure ALU Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ALU reached the top pressure at 23' (61.68).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Dinamo City DIN Home
1 matches
Aluminij ALU Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:07:46+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 4 - 1
Stadium
Elbasan Arena
Capacity
12500
Attendance
682
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Kamal Umudlu
Namiq Hüseynov
Vusal Mammadov
İnqilab Məmmədov

Statistics

Possession
DIN
53%
ALU
47%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
6 Shots 10
59 Dangerous attacks 65
60 Possession 40
7 Corners 8
17 Free kicks 13
5 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
10 Throwins 26

Attacking

142 Attacks 111

Discipline

4 Offsides 5
9 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Kamal Umudlu

Starting XI ▼

77
Aldo Teqja
Aldo Teqja Goalkeeper
6.5
2
Ysni Ismaili
Ysni Ismaili Defender
6.61
13
Fabjan Perndreca
Fabjan Perndreca Defender
6.66
47
Lorran
Lorran
Defender84'
6.5
22
Bruno Dita
Bruno Dita (C) Defender
6.49
27
Naser Aliji
Naser Aliji Defender
6.61
8
Eridon Qardaku
Eridon Qardaku Midfielder
6.45
88
Flamur Ruci
Flamur Ruci
Midfielder78'
6.5
10
Lorenco Vila
Lorenco Vila Midfielder
6.65
33
David Fadairo
David Fadairo
Midfielder78'
6.5
20
Malomo Ayodeji
Malomo Ayodeji Midfielder
6.5
21
Klevi Qefalija
Klevi Qefalija Midfielder
6.69
5
Erion Hoxhallari
Erion Hoxhallari
Defender81'
6.5
28
Isi Manellari
Isi Manellari Midfielder
6.45
29
Hekuran Berisha
Hekuran Berisha Attacker
6.59
11
Ruben Silva-Richards
Ruben Silva-Richards
Attacker78'
6.5
Referee : Kamal Umudlu

Starting XI ▼

31
Florijan Raduha
Florijan Raduha Goalkeeper
5.68
4
Rok Schaubach
Rok Schaubach Defender
5.88
5
Matija Boben
Matija Boben Defender
5.88
11
Bede Osuji
Bede Osuji
Midfielder78'
6.5
32
Vito Tezak
Vito Tezak Defender
5.86
80
Hanus Sørensen
Hanus Sørensen Defender
5.88
18
Simon Rogina
Simon Rogina
Midfielder78'
6.5
7
Eric Taylor
Eric Taylor Midfielder
6.27
25
Murat Bajraj
Murat Bajraj
Attacker46'
6.46
13
Matic Vrbanec
Matic Vrbanec Midfielder
6.18
14
Tomislav Jagic
Tomislav Jagic (C) Midfielder
6.18
24
Tai Luka Modric
Tai Luka Modric
Attacker86'
42
Vid Koderman
Vid Koderman Midfielder
6.13
44
Petar Petrisko
Petar Petrisko Midfielder
6.27
9
Adriano Bloudek
Adriano Bloudek
Attacker60'
6.46
45
Bamba Susso
Bamba Susso Attacker
6.38

Events

2ND-HALF
86'
Event
Tai Luka Modric → Tomislav Jagic 
10th Substitution
Event
Lorran → Fabjan Perndreca
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Erion Hoxhallari → Klevi Qefalija
8th Substitution
81'
Event
8th Yellowcard
81'
Event
David Fadairo → Lorenco Vila
3rd Substitution
78'
Event
Ruben Silva-Richards → Hekuran Berisha
5th Substitution
78'
Event
Flamur Ruci → Eridon Qardaku
7th Substitution
78'
78'
Event
Bede Osuji → Matija Boben
4th Substitution
78'
Event
Simon Rogina → Hanus Sørensen
6th Substitution
Event
Fabjan Perndreca
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
77'
Event
Bruno Dita 
Persistent fouling / 7th Yellowcard
74'
Event
Fabjan Perndreca
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
73'
Event
Isi Manellari
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
72'
Event
Eridon Qardaku
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
61'
60'
Event
Adriano Bloudek → Petar Petrisko
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Vito Tezak
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Murat Bajraj → Eric Taylor
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Klevi Qefalija
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
43'
Event
Lorenco Vila
Field Goal / 1st Goal
24'
Event
Lorenco Vila
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
16'
11'
Event
Vid Koderman
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Update Update
Luka Modric is on, and Tomislav Jagic is off.
84
Substitution Substitution
Lorran de Oliveira Quintanilha is substituted off for Fabjan Perndreca.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
81
Update Update
Erion Hoxhallari is on, and Klevi Qefalija is off.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Substitution Substitution
David Fadairo is substituted for Lorenco Vila.
78
Update Update
Flamur Ruci comes on for Eridon Qardaku.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Update Update
On comes Simon Rogina, off goes Hanus Sörensen.
78
Update Update
Bede Osuji Amarachi replaces Matija Boben.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Fabjan Perndreca scores to make it 3-0, assisted by Naser Aliji.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bruno Dita receives a yellow card.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Isi Manellari.
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
60
Update Update
Adriano Bloudek is on, and Petar Petrisko is off.
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Murat Bajraj comes on for Eric Taylor.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lorenco Vila scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Hekuran Berisha.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
17
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Lorenco Vila.
11
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Vid Koderman.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Kamal Umudlu.

CONCLUSION

Dinamo City completed a strong performance to overcome Aluminij 3-0 on the night and progress in the tie. The halftime lead of 2-0 provided a solid platform that the home side protected effectively with superior possession. Despite Aluminij being viewed as the stronger team beforehand the result demonstrated clear home dominance without any disciplinary issues. The minimal deviation and confirmed market alignment underscore the consistency of the outcome. With no expected goals figures available the assessment relied on possession and scoreline data alone. This victory highlighted Dinamo City ability to capitalize on early opportunities and maintain structure across both halves.