Sporting Braga vs Železničar Pančevo preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Europa Conference League
Full Time
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 5 - 0
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Sporting Braga 4–0 Železničar Pančevo. The result saw Sporting Braga take the points. Sporting Braga showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 50%–50%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Sporting Braga 4-0 Železničar Pančevo. Sporting Braga showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Černý
D. Černý
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Paták
J. Paták
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Malimánek
M. Malimánek
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Volek
S. Volek
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
VS
Železničar Pančevo R. Koković
R. Koković
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Železničar Pančevo Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Braga Rank: 82 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Braga
95.75%
Draw
2.82%
Away Železničar Pančevo
1.43%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
32.48
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Braga
Železničar Pančevo
Power Score
32.48
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Sporting Braga Opponent-weighted form score
Železničar Pančevo Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Braga Železničar Pančevo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Sporting Braga

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Železničar Pančevo

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sporting Braga ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Železničar Pančevo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.30
11.80
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
11.80
28.30
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sporting Braga +1.35 Efficiency Index
vs
Železničar Pančevo -1.35 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sporting Braga
Železničar Pančevo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sporting Braga ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Železničar Pančevo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sporting Braga Železničar Pančevo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sporting Braga Železničar Pančevo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sporting Braga
Železničar Pančevo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Sporting Braga
vs
Železničar Pančevo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sporting Braga Železničar Pančevo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sporting Braga Železničar Pančevo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Sporting Braga
Železničar Pančevo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ZEL had peak pressure around 50'.
  • SCB started the game with stronger pressure.
SCB Pressure ZEL Pressure
Pressure Index: ZEL reached the top pressure at 50' (65.16).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Braga SCB Home
1 matches
Železničar Pančevo ZEL Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:07:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 5 - 0
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Capacity
30286
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
D. Černý
Jan Paták
Marek Malimánek
Stanislav Volek

Statistics

Possession
SCB
52%
ZEL
48%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
4 Shots 1
43 Dangerous attacks 38
50 Possession 50
2 Corners 4
22 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 7

Match Overview

92 Ball Safe 103
2 Penalties 0
13 Goal Attempts 3
5 Substitutions 5
15 Throwins 17
1 Injuries 0

Attacking

115 Attacks 100

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 26

Lineup

Referee : D. Černý

Starting XI

31
Bernardo
Bernardo Goalkeeper
6.5
6
Vítor Carvalho
Vítor Carvalho Defender
6.5
22
Sergio Barcia
Sergio Barcia Defender
6.5
26
Bright Arrey-Mbi
Bright Arrey-Mbi Defender
6.5
7
Diogo Travassos
Diogo Travassos
Defender68'
6.5
2
Víctor Gómez
Víctor Gómez Midfielder
6.5
8
João Moutinho
João Moutinho Midfielder
6.5
9
Fran Navarro
Fran Navarro
Attacker60'
6.86
23
Denis Huseinbasic
Denis Huseinbasic Midfielder
6.5
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Midfielder60'
6.5
29
Gorby
Gorby Midfielder
6.45
10
Pau Víctor
Pau Víctor Attacker
7.23
11
Gabriel Silva
Gabriel Silva Attacker
6.86
44
Adrian Bajrami
Adrian Bajrami
Defender68'
6.5
21
Ricardo Horta
7
20
Mario Dorgeles
Mario Dorgeles
Midfielder79'
6.5
Referee : D. Černý

Starting XI

1
Zoran Popovic
Zoran Popovic (C) Goalkeeper
5.38
5
Nemanja Vidojevic
5.69
6
Mirko Milikic
Mirko Milikic Defender
5.69
19
Uros Tegeltija
Uros Tegeltija Defender
5.7
33
Nikola Djuricic
Nikola Djuricic Defender
5.7
11
Nikola Jovanovic
Nikola Jovanovic Midfielder
6.23
17
Aleksa Kuljanin
Aleksa Kuljanin
Midfielder46'
6.27
20
Janko Jevremovic
Janko Jevremovic Midfielder
6.09
26
Mamane Sabo
Mamane Sabo Midfielder
6.18
88
Clément Lhernault
Clément Lhernault
Midfielder76'
6.33
77
Kristian Sekularac
Kristian Sekularac Midfielder
6.13
14
Davorin Tosic
Davorin Tosic
Midfielder66'
6.37
10
Simão Pedro
Simão Pedro Attacker
6.38
18
Sumaila Wasiu
Sumaila Wasiu
Attacker76'
6.46
21
David Ankeye
David Ankeye Attacker
6.34
47
Yassin Sbai
Yassin Sbai
Defender66'
6.26

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
85'
83'
Event
Dangerous play / 8th Yellowcard
Event
Mario Dorgeles Ricardo Horta 
10th Substitution
79'
76'
Event
Clément Lhernault Mamane Sabo
8th Substitution
76'
Event
Sumaila Wasiu Simão Pedro
9th Substitution
Event
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
71'
Event
Adrian Bajrami Gabriel Silva
6th Substitution
68'
Event
Diogo Travassos Bright Arrey-Mbi 
7th Substitution
68'
66'
Event
Yassin Sbai David Ankeye
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Davorin Tosic Kristian Sekularac
5th Substitution
Event
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
63'
63'
Event
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
63'
Event
Nemanja Vidojević
Tripping / 9th Yellowcard
Event
Goalkeeper save
62'
Event
Fran Navarro João Moutinho
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Demir Ege Tıknaz Denis Huseinbasic
3rd Substitution
60'
46'
Event
Aleksa Kuljanin Nikola Jovanovic
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Field Goal / 1st Goal
44'
35'
Event
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
29'
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Penalty / 1st Penalty
27'
25'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
14'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
13'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 4-0.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Clement Lhernault receives a yellow card.
79
Update Update
Mario Dorgeles is on, and Ricardo Jorge Luz Horta is off.
76
Update Update
Clement Lhernault is on, and Mamane Moustapha Amadou Sabo is off.
76
Update Update
On comes Sumaila Wasiu, off goes Simao Pedro.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jean Gorby receives a yellow card.
68
Update Update
Diogo Travassos comes on for Bright Akwo Arrey-Mbi.
68
Update Update
Adrian Bajrami comes on for Gabriel Silva Vieira.
66
Update Update
Yassin Sbai replaces David Ankeye.
66
Update Update
Davorin Tosic is on, and Kristian Sekularac is off.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Nemanja Vidojevic.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Pau Victor Delgado scores, making it 3-0.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-0.
60
Update Update
Francisco Jose Navarro Aliaga comes on for Joao Filipe Iria Santos Moutinho.
60
Update Update
On comes Demir Ege Tiknaz, off goes Denis Huseinbasic.
46
Update Update
Aleksa Kuljanin comes on for Nikola Jovanovic.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
35
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Mirko Milikic.
29
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
David Ankeye receives a yellow card.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Ricardo Jorge Luz Horta scores, making it 1-0.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Zoran Popovic receives a yellow card.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Nikola Jovanovic.
13
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Kristian Sekularac.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Dalibor Cerny.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sporting Braga 4-0 Železničar Pančevo. Structural assessment: Sporting Braga exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.