Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys preview

Argentina flag 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Libertadores de América Yesterday - 12:15 AM
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Independiente IND
1 0
Newell's Old Boys NOB
Full Time Yesterday 12:15 AM
Round 2 2nd Phase
Santiago Montiel - 41'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Independiente hosted Newell's Old Boys in a tightly contested match that concluded with a 1-0 victory for the home side. The halftime score stood at 1-0 after Independiente struck early. Despite Newell's Old Boys holding a slight edge in possession at 52 percent compared to 48 percent, Independiente generated the bulk of the scoring opportunities. The home team recorded an expected goals total of 0.88 while the visitors managed just 0.07. No red cards were issued to either side during the contest. Independiente entered as the stronger side and delivered a result consistent with that assessment. The match featured limited second-half adjustments and maintained a steady pace throughout.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Independiente recorded a significant deviation level of 100 percent in the match.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome aligned with the xG values of 0.88 to 0.07.
  • Market alignment: The result proved consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: Independiente exceeded xG expectations while Newell's Old Boys fell short.
  • Event impact: The early goal shaped the low-scoring 1-0 final result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion affected the match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
P. Echavarría
P. Echavarría
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Del Barba
A. Del Barba
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Horticolou
M. Horticolou
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
C. Ceballo
C. Ceballo
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Independiente G. Quinteros Desábato
G. Quinteros Desábato
VS
Newell's Old Boys F. Kudelka
F. Kudelka
1.56
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estudiantes Rank: 70 W
Rosario Central Rank: 70 L
San Lorenzo Rank: 66 W
Deportivo Riestra Rank: 63 L
Defensa y Justicia Rank: 62 W
Boca Juniors Rank: 73 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Talleres Córdoba Rank: 62 W
Vélez Sarsfield Rank: 70 D
Instituto Rank: 65 D
Unión Santa Fe Rank: 65 W
San Lorenzo Rank: 66 D
Central Cordoba SdE Rank: 63 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.8
61.29
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Independiente
Newell's Old Boys
Power Score
70.8
61.29
League Position
5
14
Global Rank
297
597

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Independiente — Opponent-weighted form score
Newell's Old Boys — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Independiente Newell's Old Boys

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Independiente

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Newell's Old Boys

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Independiente ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Newell's Old Boys
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.94
8.85
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
8.85
30.94
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Independiente +1.91 Efficiency Index
vs
Newell's Old Boys -1.91 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Independiente
Newell's Old Boys
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Independiente
vs
Newell's Old Boys
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Independiente Newell's Old Boys
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
47%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.42 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Independiente Newell's Old Boys
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
47%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs -0.42
Independiente
Newell's Old Boys
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Independiente
vs
Newell's Old Boys
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Independiente Newell's Old Boys
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Independiente 0.21
Newell's Old Boys 0.04
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Independiente Newell's Old Boys
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Independiente 0.00
Newell's Old Boys 0.02
Independiente
Newell's Old Boys
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • IND had peak pressure around 62'.
  • IND started the game with stronger pressure.
IND Pressure NOB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: IND reached the top pressure at 62' (69.59).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Independiente IND Home
2 matches
Newell's Old Boys NOB Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
2
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-01T00:00:20+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
R. Rey
Argentina
33 R. Rey
L. Godoy
Substitution
Argentina
29 L. Godoy
J. Fedorco
Argentina
13 J. Fedorco
S. Valdez
Substitution
Argentina
36 S. Valdez
F. Zavala
Argentina
22 F. Zavala
M. Curci
Substitution
Argentina
16 M. Curci
I. Marcone
Argentina
23 (C) I. Marcone
M. Gutiérrez
Chile
28 M. Gutiérrez
S. Montiel
Substitution
Argentina
7 S. Montiel
M. Abaldo Menyou
Substitution
Uruguay
19 M. Abaldo Menyou
G. Ávalos Stumpfs
Paraguay
9 G. Ávalos Stumpfs
J. Reinatti Balansino
Argentina
30 J. Reinatti Balansino
M. Luciano
Substitution
Argentina
3 M. Luciano
L. Gianetti
Argentina
17 L. Gianetti
B. Cabrera
Argentina
25 B. Cabrera
F. Escobar
Argentina
24 F. Escobar
L. Regiardo
5 (C) L. Regiardo
D. Sotelo
Argentina
8 D. Sotelo
W. Núñez
Substitution
Argentina
33 W. Núñez
F. Guch
Substitution
20 F. Guch
W. Mazzantti
Substitution
Argentina
7 W. Mazzantti
J. Ramírez Polero
Substitution
Uruguay
99 J. Ramírez Polero

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 31, 2026, 12:15 AM
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 2 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Estadio Libertadores de América
Capacity
42000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Pablo Echavarría
Adrián Del Barba
Martín Horticolou
César Ceballo

Statistics

Possession
IND
50%
NOB
50%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 1
57 Dangerous attacks 52
48 Possession 52
7 Corners 2
7 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

87 Ball Safe 87
3 Goal Kicks 10
10 Goal Attempts 2
5 Substitutions 5
23 Throwins 31
2 Injuries 1
28 Dribble Attempts 29
15 Successful Dribbles 9
54 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31

Attacking

133 Attacks 117
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

58 Long Passes 83
408 Passes 449
322 Successful Passes 350
79 Successful Passes Percentage 78
10 Key Passes 2
24 Successful Long Passes 34
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41

Defensive

1 Saves 3
29 Tackles 31
8 Interceptions 18
76 Duels Won 69

Build-up

27 Total Crosses 16
7 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Pablo Echavarría

Starting XI ▼

33
Rodrigo Rey
Rodrigo Rey Goalkeeper
6.95
13
Juan Fedorco
Juan Fedorco Defender
7.06
22
Facundo Zabala
Facundo Zabala Defender
7.04
29
Leonardo Godoy
Leonardo Godoy Defender
7.22
4
Santiago Arias
Santiago Arias
Defender75'
6.67
36
Sebastián Valdez
Sebastián Valdez Defender
6.81
26
Kevin Lomónaco
Kevin Lomónaco
Defender64'
6.9
7
Santiago Montiel
Santiago Montiel Midfielder
8.17
10
Luciano Cabral
Luciano Cabral
Midfielder87'
16
Mateo Pérez Curci
Mateo Pérez Curci Midfielder
6.89
32
David Martínez
David Martínez
Midfielder64'
6.51
19
Matías Abaldo
Matías Abaldo Midfielder
6.76
8
Maximiliano Meza
Maximiliano Meza
Attacker46'
6.65
23
Iván Marcone
Iván Marcone (C) Midfielder
7.26
28
Maximiliano Gutiérrez
Maximiliano Gutiérrez Midfielder
6.43
9
Gabriel Ávalos
Gabriel Ávalos Attacker
6.47
Referee : Pablo Echavarría

Starting XI ▼

30
Josué Reinatti
Josué Reinatti Goalkeeper
6.91
3
Martín Luciano
Martín Luciano Defender
7.01
36
F. Scarpeccio
F. Scarpeccio
Attacker82'
6.4
17
Lautaro Giannetti
Lautaro Giannetti Defender
7.43
24
Franco Escobar
Franco Escobar Defender
6.84
25
Bruno Cabrera
Bruno Cabrera Defender
6.38
5
Luca Regiardo
Luca Regiardo (C) Midfielder
6.81
7
Walter Mazzantti
Walter Mazzantti Midfielder
6.62
15
Alan Soñora
Alan Soñora
Midfielder46'
6.35
8
David Sotelo
David Sotelo Midfielder
6.5
20
Facundo Guch
Facundo Guch Midfielder
6.36
28
Jeronimo Russo
Jeronimo Russo
Attacker69'
6.45
33
Walter Núñez
Walter Núñez Midfielder
6.27
39
Thomas Rios
Thomas Rios
Midfielder31'
6.34
99
Ignacio Ramírez
Ignacio Ramírez Attacker
6.78
9
Matías Cóccaro
Matías Cóccaro
Attacker69'
6.6

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
F. Scarpeccio
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
David Martínez
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Luciano Cabral → Santiago Montiel
10th Substitution
87'
82'
Event
F. Scarpeccio → Martín Luciano
9th Substitution
77'
Event
Franco Escobar
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Santiago Arias → Leonardo Godoy
8th Substitution
75'
73'
Event
Luca Regiardo
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
69'
Event
Matías Cóccaro → Ignacio Ramírez
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Jeronimo Russo → Facundo Guch
7th Substitution
Event
Kevin Lomónaco → Sebastián Valdez
4th Substitution
64'
Event
David Martínez → Mateo Pérez Curci
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Maximiliano Meza → Matías Abaldo
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Alan Soñora → Walter Mazzantti
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Juan Fedorco
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
43'
Event
Santiago Montiel
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
41'
31'
Event
Thomas Rios → Walter Núñez
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Francisco Scarpeccio.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Attempt Attempt
Ruben David Martinez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ruben David Martinez.
87
Update Update
Luciano Javier Cabral is on, and Santiago Montiel is off.
86
Attempt Attempt
Lautaro Rios misses with a left-footed shot.
82
Update Update
Francisco Scarpeccio replaces Martín Luciano.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Franco Nicolas Escobar receives a yellow card.
75
Update Update
Santiago Arias Naranjo is on, and Leonardo Godoy is off.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luca Regiardo receives a yellow card.
72
Attempt Attempt
Santiago Montiel takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
69
Update Update
Jeronimo Russo is on, and Facundo Guch is off.
69
Update Update
Matias Coccaro comes on for Juan Ignacio Ramirez Polero.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Attempt Attempt
Maximiliano Gutierrez takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
64
Update Update
Ruben David Martinez comes on for Mateo Perez.
64
Update Update
Kevin Lomonaco replaces Sebastian Valdez.
59
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Valdez attempts a header but misses the shot.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Valdez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Maximiliano Eduardo Meza is on, and Matias Abaldo is off.
46
Update Update
Alan Sonora is on, and Walter Mazzantti is off.
44
Update Update
Offside.
43
Attempt Attempt
Facundo Zabala takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Juan Fedorco.
41
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Santiago Montiel scores with a right-footed shot.
41
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Santiago Montiel scores to make it 1-0.
31
Update Update
Lautaro Rios is on, and Walter Claudio Nunez is off.
24
Attempt Attempt
Maximiliano Gutierrez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Juan Ignacio Ramirez Polero takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Facundo Zabala takes a left-footed shot but misses.
17
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Valdez takes a shot with his head but misses.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Update Update
Offside.
13
Attempt Attempt
Santiago Montiel takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
3
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Juan Fedorco Head Shot Missed
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Pablo Echavarria.

CONCLUSION

Independiente secured a narrow 1-0 win over Newell's Old Boys through an early goal that set the tone for the remainder of the fixture. The home side controlled key attacking metrics despite trailing slightly in possession. With expected goals heavily favoring Independiente the result reflected the underlying performance data. Both teams avoided disciplinary issues that could have altered the dynamics. The match stayed within expected parameters from start to finish without major tactical shifts after the break. This outcome reinforced Independiente's position as the stronger side on the day. Overall the contest highlighted efficient finishing from the hosts against a limited away attack.