Gorica vs Osijek preview

Croatia flag 2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia
ŠRC Velika Gorica Today - 7:00 PM
1. HNL
Gorica Gorica
Osijek OSI
KICKOFF : Today - 7:00 PM
Round 1 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The upcoming clash in the 1. HNL regular season sees Gorica welcoming Osijek to ŠRC Velika Gorica during the 2026/2027 campaign. Positioned ninth and eighth respectively in the domestic league, the teams are closely aligned in the standings. Power scores reflect this parity, with Osijek holding a minimal 0.2 point edge that designates them as the marginally stronger side. Absence of recent outing details leaves both squads without clear form indicators heading into the fixture. This encounter promises an analytical battle focused on structural elements and squad compositions rather than momentum. The low confidence in set piece metrics further emphasizes reliance on general team attributes for assessment.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Gorica occupy ninth place and Osijek eighth in the 1. HNL standings.
  • Form: Both teams have a form score of zero with no recent outings recorded.
  • Squad: Osijek are designated the stronger team with a 0.2 power advantage over Gorica.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is not available for either side in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics remain unavailable due to limited statistical inputs.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data relies on proxy usage with low confidence for both teams.
  • xVariable: Power scores show Gorica at 67.16 and Osijek at 67.4 indicating close competition.
  • Market: Baseline split: Gorica 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Osijek 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Gorica M. Carević
M. Carević
VS
Osijek F. Bessone Luna
F. Bessone Luna
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.24
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rijeka Rank: 76 L
Osijek Rank: 67 W
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 66 L
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 85 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 68 W
Vukovar Rank: 61 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 66 W
Gorica Rank: 67 L
Istra 1961 Rank: 68 L
Vukovar Rank: 61 L
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 69 D
Hajduk Split Rank: 77 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 3 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.16
67.4
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gorica
Osijek
Power Score
67.16
67.4
League Position
9
8
Global Rank
417
411

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Gorica Opponent-weighted form score
Osijek Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gorica Osijek

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gorica Gorica Home
8 matches
Osijek OSI Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
3
Draws
3
2
Losses
3
Goals
7
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
7
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-01T00:05:34+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Matijaš
71 D. Matijaš
F. Braut
2 F. Braut
S. Peric
45 S. Peric
J. Filipović
32 J. Filipović
I. Cvijanović
34 I. Cvijanović
B. Bogojević
25 B. Bogojević
O. Bakić
7 O. Bakić
D. Pavičić
24 D. Pavičić
L. Vrzić
20 L. Vrzić
A. Erceg
50 A. Erceg
P. Mijić
9 P. Mijić
M. Malenica
31 M. Malenica
M. Heister
36 M. Heister
L. Jelenić
26 L. Jelenić
I. Kolarik
49 I. Kolarik
S. Mustafic
30 S. Mustafic
N. Farkaš
18 N. Farkaš
L. Vrbančić
23 L. Vrbančić
N. Omerović
11 N. Omerović
Jona Jezic
48 Jona Jezic
D. Bukvić
39 D. Bukvić
A. León
19 A. León

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 01, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
ŠRC Velika Gorica
Capacity
8000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ivan Vukančić
Dario Kolarević
Anto Marić
Mateo Erceg

Expected Lineup

Referee : Ivan Vukančić

Starting XI

71
Davor Matijas
Davor Matijas Goalkeeper
6.81
20
Luka Vrzic
Luka Vrzic Midfielder
6.65
25
Bruno Bogojevic
Bruno Bogojevic Midfielder
6.68
50
Ante Erceg
Ante Erceg Attacker
6.85
9
Patrik Mijic
Patrik Mijic Attacker
6.99
24
Domagoj Pavicic
Domagoj Pavicic Central Midfield
6.77
45
Stefan Peric
Stefan Peric Right Back
6.74
7
Ognjen Bakic
Ognjen Bakic Central Midfield
6.64
32
Jakov Filipovic
Jakov Filipovic Left Back
6.8
34
Ivan Cvijanovic
Ivan Cvijanovic Left Back
6.66
2
Filip Braut
Filip Braut Right Back
6.38
Referee : Ivan Vukančić

Starting XI

31
Marko Malenica
Marko Malenica Goalkeeper
6.92
19
Armando León
Armando León Centre Forward
6.73
23
Luka Vrbancic
Luka Vrbancic Defensive Midfield
6.72
11
Nail Omerovic
Nail Omerovic Left Wing
6.91
18
Niko Farkas
Niko Farkas Defensive Midfield
6.5
26
Luka Jelenic
Luka Jelenic Left Back
6.79
36
Marcel Heister
Marcel Heister Left Back
6.71
39
Domagoj Bukvic
Domagoj Bukvic Right Wing
6.75
48
Jona Jezic
Jona Jezic Attacking Midfield
6.5
49
Ivano Kolarik
Ivano Kolarik Right Back
6.76
30
Senad Mustafic
Senad Mustafic Right Back

CONCLUSION

Osijek's slight superiority in power metrics positions them as favorites in this balanced matchup, yet Gorica's home environment could neutralize that advantage effectively. With form records unavailable, the game may hinge on in-game adjustments and individual performances from key players. Efficiency and transition phases will likely play crucial roles given the null data in those areas, forcing coaches to adapt on the fly. Set pieces carry uncertainty due to proxy usage, potentially leading to cautious approaches in dead ball situations. Overall, expect a competitive league encounter where the narrow power gap translates to a hard-fought result between these two sides.