New York City vs Toronto preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Yankee Stadium Today - 11:30 PM
Major League Soccer
New York City NYC
Toronto TOR
KICKOFF : Today - 11:30 PM
Regular Season

CONTEXT

New York City host Toronto at Yankee Stadium in a 2026 Major League Soccer regular season fixture. The home side currently occupy fifth position in the domestic standings while the visitors sit twelfth. New York City carry a clear power advantage of 11.2 points and are designated the stronger team overall. Their form score stands at 32.06 against Toronto's 4.94, underlining a marked difference in recent performance levels. Both clubs enter the match with limited additional statistical overlays available, particularly around efficiency and set-piece metrics which register low confidence. The contest offers an opportunity for New York City to leverage their structural edge at home.

TL;DR

  • Structural: New York City occupy fifth place in the league while Toronto sit in twelfth.
  • Form: New York City hold a form score of 32.06 compared to Toronto's 4.94.
  • Squad: New York City are identified as the stronger team with a power score of 68.86 against 57.63.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both sides in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided for the upcoming fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy data used for both teams.
  • xVariable: New York City enjoy a power advantage of 11.2 points over Toronto.
  • Market: Projection split: New York City 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Toronto 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
New York City P. Jansen
P. Jansen
VS
Toronto R. Fraser
R. Fraser
1.47
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.94
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Chicago Fire Rank: 66 W
Columbus Crew Rank: 65 W
Nashville SC Rank: 72 L
New York RB Rank: 60 D
Charlotte Rank: 65 W
Columbus Crew Rank: 67 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
DC United Rank: 55 L
New England Rank: 60 D
CF Montréal Rank: 57 D
Chicago Fire Rank: 65 L
Charlotte Rank: 65 L
Inter Miami Rank: 77 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home New York City
0%
Draw
0%
Away Toronto
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.86
57.63
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
New York City
Toronto
Power Score
68.86
57.63
League Position
5
12
Global Rank
302
624

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
New York City Opponent-weighted form score
Toronto Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) New York City Toronto

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

New York City NYC Home
4 matches
Toronto TOR Away
Match Record
4
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
4
Goals
9
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
9
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-30T00:13:24+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 31, 2026, 11:30 PM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Yankee Stadium
Capacity
47309
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

18
Greg Ranjitsingh
Greg Ranjitsingh Goalkeeper
30
Tomas Lían Romero Keubler
Tomas Lían Romero Keubler Goalkeeper
49
Freese Matthew
Freese Matthew Goalkeeper
70
Maclean Learned
Maclean Learned Goalkeeper
13
Thiago Martins Bueno
Thiago Martins Bueno Defender
22
Kevin O'Toole
Kevin O'Toole Defender
34
Raul Gustavo Pereira Bicalho
Raul Gustavo Pereira Bicalho Defender
24
Tayvon Gray
Tayvon Gray Defender
45
Kamran Acito
Kamran Acito Defender
38
Andrew Baiera
Andrew Baiera Defender
2
Nico Cavallo
Nico Cavallo Defender
23
Maxwell Murray
Maxwell Murray Defender
21
Aiden Connor O'Neill
Aiden Connor O'Neill Midfielder
10
Maximiliano Nicol Moralez
Maximiliano Nicol Moralez Midfielder
55
Keaton Alexander Parks
Keaton Alexander Parks Midfielder
8
Andrés Felipe Perea Castañeda
Andrés Felipe Perea Castañeda Midfielder
6
James Sands
James Sands Midfielder
5
Kai Trewin
Kai Trewin Midfielder
27
Cooper Flax
Cooper Flax Midfielder
35
Mitja Ilenič
Mitja Ilenič Midfielder
29
Maximo Augusto Carrizo Ballesteros
Maximo Augusto Carrizo Ballesteros Midfielder
32
Jonathan Shore
Jonathan Shore Midfielder
47
Jacob Arroyave
Jacob Arroyave Midfielder
71
Peter Molinari
Peter Molinari Midfielder
15
Kevin Gabriel Pierre Jr.
Kevin Gabriel Pierre Jr. Midfielder
17
Hannes Wolf
Hannes Wolf Attacker
7
Nicolás Fernández Mercau
Nicolás Fernández Mercau Attacker
16
Adrian Alonso Martínez Batista
Adrian Alonso Martínez Batista Attacker
11
Talles Magno Bacelar Martins
Talles Magno Bacelar Martins Attacker
9
Bénie Traore
Bénie Traore Attacker
26
Agustin Ojeda
Agustin Ojeda Attacker
87
Arnau Farnós Olive
Arnau Farnós Olive Attacker
88
Malachi Jones
Malachi Jones Attacker
99
Seymour Garfield-Reid
Seymour Garfield-Reid Attacker

Squad

23
William Paul Yarbrough Story
William Paul Yarbrough Story Goalkeeper
1
Luka Gavran
Luka Gavran Goalkeeper
77
Adisa De Rosario
Adisa De Rosario Goalkeeper
25
Walker Zimmerman
Walker Zimmerman Defender
22
Richie Laryea
Richie Laryea Defender
44
Raheem Edwards
Raheem Edwards Defender
13
Benjamín Kuscevic Jaramillo
Benjamín Kuscevic Jaramillo Defender
2
Henry Wingo
Henry Wingo Defender
3
Matheus Pereira de Souza
Matheus Pereira de Souza Defender
12
Zane Monlouis
Zane Monlouis Defender
19
Kobe Franklin
Kobe Franklin Defender
15
Nickseon Gomis
Nickseon Gomis Defender
38
Jackson Gilman
Jackson Gilman Defender
76
Lazar Stefanovic
Lazar Stefanovic Defender
98
Stefan Kapor
Stefan Kapor Defender
21
Jonathan Osorio
Jonathan Osorio Midfielder
10
Djordje Mihailovic
Djordje Mihailovic Midfielder
14
Alonso Coello Camarero
Alonso Coello Camarero Midfielder
71
Markus Cimermancic
Markus Cimermancic Midfielder
78
Malik Henry
Malik Henry Midfielder
20
Daniel Salloi
Daniel Salloi Attacker
11
Derrick Etienne Jr.
Derrick Etienne Jr. Attacker
9
Joshua Sargent
Joshua Sargent Attacker
7
Theo Corbeanu
Theo Corbeanu Attacker
29
Deandre Kerr
Deandre Kerr Attacker
99
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint Attacker
17
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga Attacker

CONCLUSION

New York City enter the fixture with a clear positional and power edge that should shape their approach at Yankee Stadium. Toronto will need to find ways to disrupt the home side's rhythm despite their lower standing and form indicators. With several advanced metrics unavailable the emphasis falls on core team strengths and league position. New York City can look to control proceedings through their established structure while Toronto seek to exploit any openings on the counter. The match represents a standard regular season test where home advantage and current form profiles point toward a competitive yet tilted encounter.