Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate preview

Argentina flag 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo Wed, 29 Jul - 10:15 PM
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Gimnasia La PlataGIM
1 0
River PlateRIV
Full Time Wed, 29 Jul 10:15 PM
Round 2 2nd Phase
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Gimnasia La Plata 1–0 River Plate. The result saw Gimnasia La Plata take the points. Gimnasia La Plata showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Gimnasia La Plata 1.9 – 0.4 River Plate. Possession was 26%–74%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 River Plate. Gimnasia La Plata showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Rey Hilfer
L. Rey Hilfer
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
S. Rainieri
S. Rainieri
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
P. Gualtieri
P. Gualtieri
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Iglesias
G. Iglesias
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Gimnasia La Plata A. Pereyra
A. Pereyra
VS
River Plate E. Coudet
E. Coudet
1.53
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.58
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Racing Club Rank: 69 L
River Plate Rank: 70 L
Vélez Sarsfield Rank: 67 W
Argentinos Juniors Rank: 71 W
Belgrano Rank: 69 W
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Rank: 56 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Barracas Central Rank: 59 L
Belgrano Rank: 69 L
Rosario Central Rank: 69 W
Gimnasia La Plata Rank: 65 W
San Lorenzo Rank: 64 D
Atlético Tucumán Rank: 61 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 3
3

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.67
69.62
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Gimnasia La Plata
River Plate
Power Score
64.67
69.62
League Position
12
13
Global Rank
416
274

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Gimnasia La Plata — Opponent-weighted form score
River Plate — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gimnasia La Plata River Plate

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Gimnasia La Plata

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

River Plate

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Gimnasia La Plata ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy River Plate
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
55.19
10.61
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
10.61
55.19
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Gimnasia La Plata +3.81 Efficiency Index
vs
River Plate -3.81 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Gimnasia La Plata
River Plate
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Gimnasia La Plata
vs
River Plate
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Gimnasia La Plata River Plate
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
57%
40%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-1.06 vs -0.16
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Gimnasia La Plata River Plate
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
40%
57%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.16 vs -1.06
Gimnasia La Plata
River Plate
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Gimnasia La Plata
vs
River Plate
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Gimnasia La Plata River Plate
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Gimnasia La Plata 0.48
River Plate 0.16
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Gimnasia La Plata River Plate
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Gimnasia La Plata 0.00
River Plate 0.04
Gimnasia La Plata
River Plate
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • GIM had peak pressure around 84'.
  • RIV started the game with stronger pressure.
GIM Pressure RIV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: GIM reached the top pressure at 84' (84.55).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gimnasia La Plata GIM Home
5 matches
River Plate RIV Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
2
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-30T00:03:16+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-5-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
S. Beltrán
Argentina
41 S. Beltrán
M. Acuña
Substitution
Argentina
21 M. Acuña
N. Otamendi
Argentina
30 (C) N. Otamendi
L. Martínez Quarta
Argentina
28 L. Martínez Quarta
G. Montiel
Argentina
29 G. Montiel
L.Silva
Substitution
Argentina
44 L.Silva
M. Arambarri Rosa
Substitution
Uruguay
8 M. Arambarri Rosa
T. Galván
Argentina
26 T. Galván
Á. Correa Martínez
Substitution
Argentina
10 Á. Correa Martínez
J. Freitas
Argentina
35 J. Freitas
L. Beltrán
Substitution
Argentina
18 L. Beltrán

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 29, 2026, 10:15 PM
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 2 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Capacity
24544
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Leandro Rey Hilfer
Sebastián Rainieri
Pablo Gualtieri
Gastón Iglesias

Statistics

Possession
GIM
33%
RIV
67%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
4 Big Chances Created 0
9 Shots 5
29 Dangerous attacks 47
26 Possession 74
3 Corners 8
11 Free kicks 11
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Goal Kicks 9
4 Substitutions 6
17 Throwins 23
1 Hit Woodwork 0
19 Dribble Attempts 23
9 Successful Dribbles 9
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 39

Attacking

73 Attacks 119
3 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

54 Long Passes 52
208 Passes 616
126 Successful Passes 540
61 Successful Passes Percentage 88
12 Key Passes 7
20 Successful Long Passes 26
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50

Defensive

3 Saves 1
23 Tackles 12
11 Interceptions 4
54 Duels Won 39

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 28
7 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
11 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Leandro Rey Hilfer

Starting XI ▼

23
Nelson Insfrán
Nelson Insfrán Goalkeeper
6.83
4
Renzo Giampaoli
Renzo Giampaoli Defender
7.12
35
Juan Cortazzo
Juan Cortazzo
Defender75'
6.37
21
Enzo Martínez
Enzo Martínez Defender
7
24
Pedro Silva Torrejón
Pedro Silva Torrejón Defender
7.19
31
Bautista Barros Schelotto
Bautista Barros Schelotto Defender
7.04
5
Ignacio Miramón
Ignacio Miramón Midfielder
7.22
8
Nacho Fernández
Nacho Fernández (C) Midfielder
7.1
10
Nicolás Barros Schelotto
Nicolás Barros Schelotto
Midfielder83'
11
Jeremías Merlo
Jeremías Merlo Midfielder
6.81
9
Maximiliano Zalazar
Maximiliano Zalazar
Attacker65'
7.04
18
Mateo Seoane
Mateo Seoane Midfielder
6.43
16
Augusto Max
Augusto Max
Midfielder65'
6.6
25
Alexis Steimbach
Alexis Steimbach Midfielder
7.5
29
Agustín Auzmendi
Agustín Auzmendi Attacker
6.73
Referee : Leandro Rey Hilfer

Starting XI ▼

41
Santiago Beltrán
Santiago Beltrán Goalkeeper
6.31
21
Marcos Acuña
Marcos Acuña Defender
6.67
31
Facundo González
Facundo González
Defender61'
6.15
28
Lucas Martínez Quarta
Lucas Martínez Quarta Defender
6.85
29
Gonzalo Montiel
Gonzalo Montiel Defender
6.68
30
Nicolás Otamendi
Nicolás Otamendi (C) Defender
6.62
8
Mauro Arambarri
Mauro Arambarri Midfielder
6.77
15
Fausto Vera
Fausto Vera
Midfielder46'
6.51
10
Ángel Correa
Ángel Correa Midfielder
7.08
11
Facundo Colidio
Facundo Colidio
Attacker71'
6.25
26
Tomás Galván
Tomás Galván Midfielder
6.55
35
Joaquín Freitas
Joaquín Freitas Midfielder
7.43
44
Lucas Silva
Lucas Silva Midfielder
6.64
25
Lautaro Pereyra
Lautaro Pereyra
Midfielder81'
18
Lucas Beltrán
Lucas Beltrán Attacker
6.4
19
Rafael Borré
Rafael Borré
Attacker61'
6.33

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Maximiliano Zalazar
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
86'
Event
Nicolás Barros Schelotto → Nacho Fernández
9th Substitution
83'
81'
Event
Lautaro Pereyra → Lucas Silva
8th Substitution
Event
Alexis Steimbach
Header / 1st Goal
80'
79'
Event
Nicolás Otamendi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Juan Cortazzo → Renzo Giampaoli
7th Substitution
75'
71'
Event
Facundo Colidio → Ángel Correa
6th Substitution
Event
Augusto Max → Mateo Seoane
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Maximiliano Zalazar → Jeremías Merlo
5th Substitution
65'
61'
Event
Rafael Borré → Lucas Beltrán
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Facundo González → Marcos Acuña
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Lucas Silva
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
46'
Event
Fausto Vera → Mauro Arambarri
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Galvan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Gonzalo Montiel takes a shot with his head but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Galvan takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Maximiliano Zalazar receives a yellow card.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Maximiliano Zalazar receives a yellow card.
83
Substitution Substitution
Nicolas Schelotto is substituted for Ignacio Martin Fernandez.
83
Attempt Attempt
Alexis Steimbach takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
81
Substitution Substitution
Nicolas Schelotto is substituted off for Ignacio Martin Fernandez.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Alexis Steimbach heads the ball into the net.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Alexis Steimbach scores with a header.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alexis Steimbach scores to make it 1-0.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Nicolas Hernan Gonzalo Otamendi.
75
Update Update
Juan Cruz Cortazzo replaces Renzo Giampaoli.
73
Attempt Attempt
Enzo Martinez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Attempt Attempt
Maximiliano Zalazar takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Attempt Attempt
Maximiliano Zalazar takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
66
Attempt Attempt
Maximiliano Zalazar takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
65
Update Update
Maximiliano Zalazar is on, and Jeremias Merlo is off.
65
Update Update
Augusto Max comes on for Mateo Seoane.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Attempt Attempt
Xabier Auzmendi Arruabarrena takes a left-footed shot but misses.
61
Update Update
Rafael Santos Borre is on, and Lucas Beltran is off.
61
Update Update
Facundo Gonzalez replaces Marcos Acuna.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Beltran's header is saved.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Lucas Silva.
46
Update Update
Fausto Vera comes on for Mauro Wilney Arambarri Rosa.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ignacio Miramon takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Update Update
Offside.
31
Attempt Attempt
Angel Correa takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Attempt Attempt
Renzo Giampaoli takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
Update Update
Offside.
11
Attempt Attempt
Mauro Wilney Arambarri Rosa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
10
Attempt Attempt
Alexis Steimbach takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
9
Attempt Attempt
Ignacio Martin Fernandez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
8
Attempt Attempt
Angel Correa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Galvan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Martinez Quarta takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Leandro Rey Hilfer.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 River Plate. Structural assessment: Gimnasia La Plata exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.