Houston Dynamo vs Austin preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Shell Energy Stadium Today - 12:30 AM
Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo HOU
3 0
Austin ATX
Full Time Today 12:30 AM
Regular Season
Mateusz Bogusz - 12', 29'
Guilherme - 32'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

In a dominant display, Houston Dynamo secured a 3-0 victory over Austin. The match saw all three goals scored in the first half, establishing a 3-0 halftime score. Houston Dynamo, the stronger team, outperformed expectations despite having only 46 percent possession while Austin controlled 54 percent. The expected goals figures were 1.15 for the home side and 0.9 for the visitors, indicating a close contest in terms of chance creation. The outcome proved consistent with the xG values. No red cards affected the proceedings. A significant structural deviation was noted for Houston Dynamo, highlighting their efficiency in converting opportunities. The result aligned well with market indicators and xG projections. Efficiency shifts remained in line with the game's flow without major second half adjustments. The game demonstrated clear control by the winners in key moments leading to the final score of 3-0. The absence of any disciplinary issues allowed for a fluid match. This performance underscores Houston Dynamo's capability as the superior side on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Houston Dynamo exhibited a significant 100 percent deviation in performance.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with overall match dynamics.
  • xG alignment: The outcome was consistent with xG values of 1.15 to 0.9.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were met as the score reflected chance quality.
  • Event impact: Three first-half goals had decisive impact on the 3-0 score.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued resulting in no game distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
F. Dujic
F. Dujic
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
L. Brown
L. Brown
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
N. Balcer
N. Balcer
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Meyer
B. Meyer
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Houston Dynamo B. Olsen
B. Olsen
VS
Austin D. Arnaud
D. Arnaud
1.53
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.06
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
DC United Rank: 55 D
LA Galaxy Rank: 60 D
Vancouver Whitecaps Rank: 72 W
Real Salt Lake Rank: 64 L
Los Angeles FC Rank: 72 W
Colorado Rapids Rank: 62 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Seattle Sounders Rank: 69 W
St. Louis City Rank: 63 L
Sporting KC Rank: 52 L
San Diego Rank: 66 L
Minnesota United Rank: 64 D
St. Louis City Rank: 63 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Houston Dynamo
0%
Draw
0%
Away Austin
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.6
58.97
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Houston Dynamo
Austin
Power Score
62.6
58.97
League Position
7
14
Global Rank
462
578

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Houston Dynamo — Opponent-weighted form score
Austin — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Houston Dynamo Austin

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Houston Dynamo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Austin

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Houston Dynamo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Austin
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
7.33
1.23
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
1.23
7.33
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Houston Dynamo +0.41 Efficiency Index
vs
Austin -0.41 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Houston Dynamo
Austin
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Houston Dynamo
vs
Austin
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Houston Dynamo Austin
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
23%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs -0.21
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Houston Dynamo Austin
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
23%
0%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.21 vs +0.00
Houston Dynamo
Austin
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Houston Dynamo
vs
Austin
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Houston Dynamo Austin
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Houston Dynamo 1.00
Austin 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Houston Dynamo Austin
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Houston Dynamo 0.00
Austin 0.33
Houston Dynamo
Austin
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ATX had peak pressure around 29'.
  • ATX started the game with stronger pressure.
HOU Pressure ATX Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ATX reached the top pressure at 29' (77.59).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Houston Dynamo HOU Home
6 matches
Austin ATX Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
2
Goals
5
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
5
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T01:00:33+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
J. Bond
England
31 J. Bond
F. de Andrade Vieira
Brazil
36 F. de Andrade Vieira
L. Halter
Substitution
Brazil
5 L. Halter
A. Resch
Argentina
34 A. Resch
L. Ennali
Germany
11 L. Ennali
D. Samassekou
Substitution
Mali
18 D. Samassekou
M. Bogusz
Poland
19 M. Bogusz
A. Bouzat
Substitution
Argentina
30 A. Bouzat
H. Herrera López
Mexico
16 (C) H. Herrera López
G. Vieira dos Santos
Substitution
Brazil
20 G. Vieira dos Santos
E. Ponce Martínez
Substitution
Argentina
10 E. Ponce Martínez
B. Stuver
United States
1 B. Stuver
Guilherme Biro
Brazil
29 Guilherme Biro
O. Svatok
Substitution
Ukraine
5 O. Svatok
B. Hines-Ike
United States
4 B. Hines-Ike
J. Gallagher
Substitution
Republic of Ireland
17 J. Gallagher
I. Sánchez Farrés
Substitution
Spain
6 (C) I. Sánchez Farrés
O. Wolff
United States
33 O. Wolff
P. Płacheta
Substitution
Poland
77 P. Płacheta
M. Uzuni
Albania
10 M. Uzuni
B. Vázquez Toledo
United States
9 B. Vázquez Toledo
F. Torres Pérez
Substitution
Uruguay
11 F. Torres Pérez

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 26, 2026, 12:30 AM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Shell Energy Stadium
Capacity
22039
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Filip Dujic
Logan Brown
Nick Balcer
Benjamin Meyer

Statistics

Possession
HOU
45%
ATX
55%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 5
17 Dangerous attacks 67
46 Possession 54
1 Corners 6
10 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

40 Ball Safe 39
12 Goal Kicks 9
10 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 5
13 Throwins 21
6 Successful Headers 8
3 Assists 0
14 Dribble Attempts 15
8 Successful Dribbles 8
57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53

Attacking

50 Attacks 110
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

38 Long Passes 50
424 Passes 486
382 Successful Passes 438
90 Successful Passes Percentage 90
9 Key Passes 11
17 Successful Long Passes 31
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 62

Defensive

5 Saves 1
12 Tackles 16
11 Interceptions 2
36 Duels Won 44

Build-up

8 Total Crosses 26
3 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

3 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Filip Dujic

Starting XI ▼

31
Jonathan Bond
Jonathan Bond Goalkeeper
6.66
5
Lucas Halter
Lucas Halter Defender
6.45
28
Erik Sviatchenko
Erik Sviatchenko
Defender85'
11
Lawrence Ennali
Lawrence Ennali Defender
6.47
34
Agustin Resch
Agustin Resch Defender
6.58
36
Felipe Andrade
Felipe Andrade Defender
6.59
16
Héctor Herrera
Héctor Herrera (C) Midfielder
6.66
18
Diadié Samassékou
Diadié Samassékou Midfielder
6.37
6
Artur
Artur
Midfielder63'
19
Mateusz Bogusz
Mateusz Bogusz Midfielder
2
7.37
20
Guilherme
Guilherme Midfielder
6.69
9
Ondrej Lingr
Ondrej Lingr
Midfielder84'
30
Agustín Bouzat
Agustín Bouzat Midfielder
6.58
8
Jack McGlynn
Jack McGlynn
Midfielder70'
10
Ezequiel Ponce
Ezequiel Ponce Attacker
6.76
23
Duncan McGuire
Duncan McGuire
Attacker70'
Referee : Filip Dujic

Starting XI ▼

1
Brad Stuver
Brad Stuver Goalkeeper
6.08
4
Brendan Hines-Ike
Brendan Hines-Ike Defender
6.32
5
Oleksandr Svatok
Oleksandr Svatok Defender
6.33
35
Mateja Djordjevic
Mateja Djordjevic
Defender70'
29
Guilherme Biro
Guilherme Biro Defender
6.1
6
Ilie Sánchez
Ilie Sánchez (C) Midfielder
6.55
14
Besard Sabovic
Besard Sabovic
Midfielder60'
17
Jon Gallagher
Jon Gallagher Midfielder
6.31
23
Žan Kolmanič
Žan Kolmanič
Defender82'
33
Owen Wolff
Owen Wolff Midfielder
6.45
77
Przemyslaw Placheta
Przemyslaw Placheta Midfielder
6.58
30
J. Rosales
J. Rosales
Midfielder60'
9
Brandon Vazquez
Brandon Vazquez Attacker
6.55
10
Myrto Uzuni
Myrto Uzuni Attacker
6.34
11
Facundo Torres
Facundo Torres Attacker
6.45
38
Ervin Torres
Ervin Torres
Midfielder71'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Erik Sviatchenko → Lucas Halter
10th Substitution
85'
Event
Ondrej Lingr → Guilherme
9th Substitution
84'
82'
Event
Žan Kolmanič → Jon Gallagher
8th Substitution
71'
Event
Ervin Torres → Facundo Torres
7th Substitution
Event
Jack McGlynn → Agustín Bouzat
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Duncan McGuire → Ezequiel Ponce
6th Substitution
70'
70'
Event
Mateja Djordjevic → Oleksandr Svatok
4th Substitution
Event
Artur  → Diadié Samassékou
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Lucas Halter
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
62'
62'
Event
Besard Sabovic
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
60'
Event
J. Rosales → Przemyslaw Placheta
1st Substitution
60'
Event
Besard Sabovic → Ilie Sánchez
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Felipe Andrade
Persistent fouling / 2nd Yellowcard
42'
Event
Guilherme
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
32'
Event
Mateusz Bogusz
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
29'
18'
Event
Ilie Sánchez
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Mateusz Bogusz
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
12'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Brandon Vazquez Right Footed Shot Saved
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Guilherme Biro Trindade Dubas Head Shot Missed
90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Corner Corner
Corner
86
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mateja Djordjevic Head Shot Blocked
85
Update Update
On Erik Sviatchenko，Off Lucas Halter
84
Update Update
On Ondrej Lingr，Off Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos
83
Update Update
Offside
82
Update Update
Offside
82
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joseph Yeramid Rosales Erazo Left Footed Shot Missed
79
Corner Corner
Corner
75
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Brandon Vazquez Head Shot Missed
74
Update Update
Offside
71
Update Update
On Mateja Djordjevic，Off Oleksandr Svatok
71
Update Update
On Facundo Torres，Off Facundo Torres
70
Update Update
On Duncan McGuire，Off Ezequiel Ponce
70
Update Update
On Jack McGlynn，Off Agustin Bouzat
69
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Facundo Torres Head Shot Missed
63
Update Update
On Artur，Off Diadie Samassekou
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
61
Corner Corner
Corner
60
Update Update
On Joseph Yeramid Rosales Erazo，Off Przemyslaw Placheta
60
Update Update
On Joseph Yeramid Rosales Erazo，Off Przemyslaw Placheta
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mateusz Bogusz Right Footed Shot Missed
58
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos Right Footed Shot Missed
56
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jon Gallagher Right Footed Shot Missed
55
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos Head Shot Missed
51
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mateusz Bogusz Right Footed Shot Missed
50
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Brandon Vazquez Right Footed Shot Blocked
48
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Brandon Vazquez Head Shot Missed
45
Update Update
Offside
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Brandon Vazquez Right Footed Shot Saved
43
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Brandon Vazquez Head Shot Saved
42
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ezequiel Ponce Right Footed Shot Saved
36
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Przemyslaw Placheta Left Footed Shot Saved
36
Corner Corner
Corner
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos Right Footed Shot Goal
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 3-0
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Mateusz Bogusz Right Footed Shot Goal
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 2-0
28
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Przemyslaw Placheta Left Footed Shot Blocked
25
Corner Corner
Corner
24
Corner Corner
Corner
23
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Przemyslaw Placheta Left Footed Shot Saved
18
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Brendan Hines-Ike Head Shot Missed
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
18
Corner Corner
Corner
15
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ezequiel Ponce Head Shot Missed
15
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Agustin Bouzat Left Footed Shot Blocked
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Mateusz Bogusz Right Footed Shot Goal
12
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-0
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Filip Dujic

CONCLUSION

The 3-0 result in favor of Houston Dynamo against Austin highlighted an efficient performance from the home team. Despite the possession disadvantage, their clinical finishing in the opening period set the tone for the entire match. With xG values closely mirroring the scoreline, the victory appears well-deserved and aligned with statistical expectations. The lack of red cards ensured both teams could play their natural game without interruptions. Overall, this outcome reinforces Houston Dynamo's position as the stronger side in this encounter. The significant deviation observed points to a standout effort that exceeded typical projections. Fans can take confidence from this display as it shows potential for future successes in similar fixtures. This solid win boosts team morale effectively. It sets a positive precedent moving forward.