Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Grimsta IP Today - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Brommapojkarna BP
1 – 1
Hammarby HAM
Full Time Today 12:00 PM
Round 14 Regular Season
Andreas Troelsen - 90'
Goal
|
Goal
Victor Lind - 79'

CONTEXT

Brommapojkarna hosted Hammarby in a match that concluded 1-1 after a goalless first half. The home side held 35 percent possession while the visitors controlled 65 percent. Brommapojkarna recorded an expected goals total of 0.35 against Hammarby's 2.67 creating a differential of minus 2.32. The stronger side Hammarby failed to convert their dominance into a victory. No red cards were shown to either team. The outcome proved inconsistent with the underlying expected goals metrics yet remained aligned with pre match indicators. Significant deviation was noted for Hammarby throughout the contest. The second half adjustments did not alter the final result from the halftime score of 0-0.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Hammarby recorded significant structural deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with team performances.
  • xG alignment: The 1-1 result did not align with the recorded xG values.
  • Market alignment: The draw outcome was aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Hammarby held clear xG expectations with 2.67 against 0.35.
  • Event impact: Match events produced a draw despite the xG differential.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent with zero cards issued.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Aganovic
A. Aganovic
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Hallin
M. Hallin
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Milovanovic
A. Milovanovic
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Ben Ahmed Nehdi
F. Ben Ahmed Nehdi
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Brommapojkarna U. Kristiansson
U. Kristiansson
VS
Hammarby H. Rydström
H. Rydström
1.23
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.86
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
IFK Göteborg Rank: 56 L
Sirius Rank: 67 L
GAIS Rank: 60 D
Degerfors Rank: 48 D
Djurgården Rank: 68 W
Kalmar Rank: 55 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Degerfors Rank: 48 W
Kalmar Rank: 52 W
Elfsborg Rank: 57 W
Häcken Rank: 63 L
AIK Rank: 62 L
GAIS Rank: 63 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brommapojkarna
0%
Draw
0%
Away Hammarby
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
52.75
70.41
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brommapojkarna
Hammarby
Power Score
52.75
70.41
League Position
12
2
Global Rank
781
253

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brommapojkarna — Opponent-weighted form score
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brommapojkarna Hammarby

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brommapojkarna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hammarby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brommapojkarna
vs
Hammarby
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brommapojkarna Hammarby
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
66%
13%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.23 vs -0.35
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brommapojkarna Hammarby
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
13%
66%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.35 vs -0.23
Brommapojkarna
Hammarby
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brommapojkarna
vs
Hammarby
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brommapojkarna Hammarby
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brommapojkarna 0.00
Hammarby 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brommapojkarna Hammarby
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brommapojkarna 0.00
Hammarby 0.00
Brommapojkarna
Hammarby
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAM had peak pressure around 73'.
  • HAM started the game with stronger pressure.
BP Pressure HAM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAM reached the top pressure at 73' (99.46).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brommapojkarna BP Home
4 matches
Hammarby HAM Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
0
Goals
5
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
5
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T12:00:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
K. Cavallius
1 K. Cavallius
R. Örqvist
Substitution
Sweden
11 R. Örqvist
J. Simpson
Sweden
23 J. Simpson
A. Troelsen
Denmark
3 A. Troelsen
O. Zandén
Sweden
6 O. Zandén
K. Barslund
Substitution
Denmark
27 K. Barslund
S. Strand
Sweden
16 (C) S. Strand
E. Hedström
Substitution
Sweden
18 E. Hedström
A. Wahlund
Substitution
Sweden
32 A. Wahlund
S. Oppong
33 S. Oppong
L. Björklund
Substitution
Sweden
30 L. Björklund
W. Hahn
Suriname
1 W. Hahn
W. Renecke
Substitution
South Africa
24 W. Renecke
F. Winther
Denmark
3 F. Winther
I. Breze Fofana
Guinea
6 I. Breze Fofana
E. Skoglund
Sweden
2 E. Skoglund
T. Tekie
Substitution
Sweden
5 (C) T. Tekie
M. Karlsson
Sweden
8 M. Karlsson
V. Lind
Denmark
9 V. Lind
F. Junior Adjei
Substitution
Ghana
28 F. Junior Adjei
M. Madjed
Substitution
Sweden
26 M. Madjed
P. Abraham
Substitution
Sweden
7 P. Abraham

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 26, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 14 · Regular Season
Stadium
Grimsta IP
Capacity
7343
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Adi Aganovic
Mikael Hallin
Alexander Milovanovic
Farouk Ben Ahmed Nehdi

Statistics

Possession
BP
36%
HAM
64%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Shots 10
24 Dangerous attacks 107
35 Possession 65
2 Corners 11
13 Free kicks 9
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

67 Ball Safe 43
12 Goal Kicks 4
2 Goal Attempts 13
5 Substitutions 6
12 Throwins 17
1 Assists 0
10 Dribble Attempts 10
4 Successful Dribbles 4
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40

Attacking

43 Attacks 153

Possession

37 Long Passes 32
376 Passes 703
318 Successful Passes 651
85 Successful Passes Percentage 93
6 Key Passes 18
16 Successful Long Passes 19
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 59

Defensive

4 Saves 0
16 Tackles 12
7 Interceptions 11
39 Duels Won 28

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 19
5 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

9 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Adi Aganovic

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Cavallius
Leo Cavallius Goalkeeper
6.91
3
Andreas Troelsen
Andreas Troelsen Defender
6.81
6
Oliver Zandén
Oliver Zandén Defender
6.95
11
Rasmus Örqvist
Rasmus Örqvist Defender
6.8
7
Obilor Denzel Okeke
Obilor Denzel Okeke
Midfielder84'
6.51
23
Jordan Simpson
Jordan Simpson Defender
6.58
16
Simon Strand
Simon Strand (C) Midfielder
6.86
18
Elton Hedström
Elton Hedström Midfielder
6.7
34
David Isso
David Isso
Attacker68'
6.48
27
Kaare Barslund
Kaare Barslund Midfielder
7
5
Serge-Junior Ngouali
Serge-Junior Ngouali
Midfielder84'
6.6
32
Atle Wahlund
Atle Wahlund Midfielder
6.36
24
Mohamed Wael Derbali
Mohamed Wael Derbali
Midfielder60'
6.58
33
Sion Oppong
Sion Oppong Midfielder
6.74
30
Lukas Björklund
Lukas Björklund Attacker
6.73
17
Anton Kurochkin
Anton Kurochkin
Midfielder68'
6.07
Referee : Adi Aganovic

Starting XI ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
6.81
2
Hampus Skoglund
Hampus Skoglund Defender
7.05
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
7.23
6
Ibrahima Fofana
Ibrahima Fofana Defender
6.88
24
Waylon Renecke
Waylon Renecke Defender
6.47
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson
Defender62'
6.85
5
Tesfaldet Tekie
Tesfaldet Tekie (C) Midfielder
6.9
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara
Midfielder62'
7.68
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
7.05
9
Victor Lind
Victor Lind Midfielder
7.5
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Midfielder
7.24
15
Oliver Jordan Hagen
Oliver Jordan Hagen
Attacker84'
6.64
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei Midfielder
7.04
11
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Midfielder84'
6.83
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Attacker
7.24
17
Amin Boudri
Amin Boudri
Midfielder73'
7.03

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Andreas Troelsen
Header / 2nd Goal
90'
87'
Event
Noah Persson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
87'
Event
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Serge-Junior Ngouali → Kaare Barslund
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Obilor Denzel Okeke → Rasmus Örqvist
9th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Oliver Jordan Hagen → Montader Madjed
7th Substitution
84'
Event
Oscar Johansson Schellhas → Frank Junior Adjei
10th Substitution
79'
Event
Victor Lind
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Oliver Zandén
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
73'
73'
Event
Amin Boudri → Paulos Abraham
6th Substitution
Event
David Isso → Elton Hedström
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Anton Kurochkin → Lukas Björklund
5th Substitution
68'
62'
Event
Nahir Besara  → Tesfaldet Tekie
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Noah Persson → Waylon Renecke
3rd Substitution
Event
Mohamed Wael Derbali → Atle Wahlund
1st Substitution
60'

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Andreas Troelsen Head Shot Goal
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Andreas Troelsen 1-1
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Andreas Troelsen 1-1
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Noah Persson
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
85
Update Update
On Oliver Hagen，Off Montader Madjed
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
84
Update Update
On Oscar Johansson，Off Frank Junior Adjei
84
Update Update
On Serge Junior Ngouali，Off Kaare Barslund
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
79
Update Update
On Oscar Johansson，Off Frank Junior Adjei
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
On Oscar Johansson，Off Frank Junior Adjei
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Victor Lind Left Footed Shot Goal
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 0-1
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Oliver Zanden
68
Update Update
On Amin Boudri，Off Paulos Abraham
66
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Montader Madjed Right Footed Shot Blocked
66
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Montader Madjed Right Footed Shot Blocked
66
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Montader Madjed Right Footed Shot Blocked
62
Update Update
On Anton Kurochkin，Off Lukas Bjorklund
62
Update Update
On David Isso，Off Jens Daniel Elton Hedstrom
61
Update Update
On Nahir Besara，Off Tesfaldet Tekie
61
Update Update
On Noah Persson，Off Waylon Renecke
60
Update Update
On Nahir Besara，Off Tesfaldet Tekie
59
Update Update
On Noah Persson，Off Waylon Renecke
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Frank Junior Adjei Right Footed Shot Missed
58
Update Update
On Mohamed Wael Derbali，Off Atle Wahlund
58
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Victor Lind Right Footed Shot Saved
57
Corner Corner
Corner
53
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Victor Lind Right Footed Shot Missed
51
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Waylon Renecke Left Footed Shot Blocked
51
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Victor Lind Right Footed Shot Blocked
50
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Victor Lind Right Footed Shot Blocked
50
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Paulos Abraham Left Footed Shot Saved
50
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Markus Karlsson Left Footed Shot Blocked
42
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Atle Wahlund Right Footed Shot Missed
42
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Atle Wahlund Right Footed Shot Missed
41
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lukas Bjorklund Right Footed Shot Blocked
41
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Simon Strand Right Footed Shot Missed
41
Corner Corner
Corner
35
Corner Corner
Corner
35
Corner Corner
Corner
35
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Waylon Renecke Head Shot Missed
34
Corner Corner
Corner
34
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Waylon Renecke Head Shot Missed
33
Corner Corner
Corner
33
Corner Corner
Corner
31
Corner Corner
Corner
28
Corner Corner
Corner
25
Corner Corner
Corner
24
Corner Corner
Corner
24
Corner Corner
Corner
23
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Montader Madjed Left Footed Shot Saved
18
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Paulos Abraham Right Footed Shot Missed
17
Corner Corner
Corner
12
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Victor Lind Right Footed Shot Missed
6
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Paulos Abraham Head Shot Missed
4
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Adi Aganovic

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw between Brommapojkarna and Hammarby highlighted a mismatch between expected metrics and the actual result. Hammarby dominated possession and created the majority of scoring opportunities yet could not secure the win. Brommapojkarna defended effectively after the even halftime score of 0-0. The absence of red cards ensured the contest remained balanced in terms of personnel. Significant deviation by the stronger side prevented a more decisive outcome. Efficiency levels stayed consistent with overall patterns observed during the game. This result underscores how underlying data does not always translate directly into points earned on the pitch.