Sønderjyske Fodbold vs FC Midtjylland preview

Denmark flag 2026/2027 Superliga, Denmark
Sydbank Park Sun, 26 Jul - 12:00 PM
Superliga
Sønderjyske FodboldSON
2 3
FC MidtjyllandFCM
Full Time Sun, 26 Jul 12:00 PM
Round 1 Regular Season
M. Jensen - 27'
M. Haidara - 45'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Sønderjyske Fodbold hosted FC Midtjylland in a fixture that finished 2-3 to the visitors. The first half concluded level at 2-2. FC Midtjylland recorded 58 percent possession against 42 percent for the hosts yet posted an xG total of 0.63 compared with 1.36 for Sønderjyske Fodbold. This produced an xG differential of 0.73. The away side claimed the win despite the lower expected goals figure and despite being assessed as the stronger team beforehand. No red cards were shown to either side. The result reflected a significant structural deviation from the underlying metrics.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Sønderjyske Fodbold 2-3 FC Midtjylland. FC Midtjylland showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with observed performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was not consistent with recorded xG values.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with expectations for the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: Home team generated 1.36 xG while away team recorded 0.63 xG.
  • Event impact: No major events altered the match flow beyond standard play.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so no distortion occurred from discipline.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Funder
S. Funder
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Yurdakul
D. Yurdakul
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Bøgebjerg
A. Bøgebjerg
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Iriskic
F. Iriskic
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Sønderjyske Fodbold Sønderjyske Fodbold
Sønderjyske Fodbold
VS
FC Midtjylland M. Tullberg
M. Tullberg
1.07
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.71
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nordsjælland Rank: 69 L
Viborg FF Rank: 66 W
AGF Rank: 75 L
Brøndby IF Rank: 68 W
FC Midtjylland Rank: 80 L
Brøndby IF Rank: 68 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brøndby IF Rank: 68 L
Nordsjælland Rank: 69 D
Viborg FF Rank: 66 D
AGF Rank: 75 D
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 63 W
AGF Rank: 75 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 3
3

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.26
79.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sønderjyske Fodbold
FC Midtjylland
Power Score
63.26
79.87
League Position
10
2
Global Rank
456
79

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sønderjyske Fodbold — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Midtjylland — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sønderjyske Fodbold FC Midtjylland

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sønderjyske Fodbold

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Midtjylland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sønderjyske Fodbold ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Midtjylland
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
45.95
24.74
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.74
45.95
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sønderjyske Fodbold +2.35 Efficiency Index
vs
FC Midtjylland -2.35 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sønderjyske Fodbold
FC Midtjylland
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sønderjyske Fodbold
vs
FC Midtjylland
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sønderjyske Fodbold FC Midtjylland
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
24%
19%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.33 vs -0.12
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sønderjyske Fodbold FC Midtjylland
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
19%
24%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.12 vs -0.33
Sønderjyske Fodbold
FC Midtjylland
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sønderjyske Fodbold
vs
FC Midtjylland
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sønderjyske Fodbold FC Midtjylland
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.37
FC Midtjylland 0.26
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sønderjyske Fodbold FC Midtjylland
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.06
FC Midtjylland 0.04
Sønderjyske Fodbold
FC Midtjylland
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SON had peak pressure around 87'.
  • FCM started the game with stronger pressure.
SON Pressure FCM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SON reached the top pressure at 87' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sønderjyske Fodbold SON Home
6 matches
FC Midtjylland FCM Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
1
Draws
1
3
Losses
2
Goals
12
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
12
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-27T00:02:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 26, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Superliga, Denmark · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Sydbank Park
Capacity
10000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Svend Funder
Deniz Yurdakul
Andreas Bøgebjerg
F. Iriskic

Statistics

Possession
SON
44%
FCM
56%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3
3 Big Chances Created 0
7 Shots 3
46 Dangerous attacks 47
42 Possession 58
5 Corners 4
10 Free kicks 14
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

87 Ball Safe 99
7 Goal Kicks 11
14 Goal Attempts 8
4 Substitutions 5
24 Throwins 21
2 Assists 3
2 Injuries 0
15 Dribble Attempts 22
5 Successful Dribbles 10
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45

Attacking

94 Attacks 125
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

70 Long Passes 69
322 Passes 455
214 Successful Passes 355
66 Successful Passes Percentage 78
13 Key Passes 10
27 Successful Long Passes 32
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

Defensive

2 Saves 1
18 Tackles 17
4 Interceptions 13
57 Duels Won 62

Build-up

23 Total Crosses 18
10 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Svend Funder

Starting XI ▼

16
Marcus Bundgaard
Marcus Bundgaard Goalkeeper
6.13
4
Daníel Leó Grétarsson
Daníel Leó Grétarsson Defender
6.78
5
M. Jensen
M. Jensen (C) Defender
8.17
12
M. Soulas
M. Soulas Defender
6.15
3
S. Wæver
S. Wæver Midfielder
6.56
28
A. Pedersen
A. Pedersen
Midfielder59'
6.37
7
S. Emini
S. Emini Midfielder
6.74
10
Mathias Olesen
Mathias Olesen Midfielder
6.5
11
A. Lyng
A. Lyng
Attacker59'
6.78
23
E. Duru
E. Duru Midfielder
5.91
8
M. Haidara
M. Haidara Attacker
7.66
9
M. Hoppe
M. Hoppe Attacker
6.18
32
D. Frimpong
D. Frimpong
Attacker51'
6.04
24
Olti Hyseni
Olti Hyseni Attacker
7.92
31
Ismaïl Seydi
Ismaïl Seydi
Attacker68'
6.69
Referee : Svend Funder

Starting XI ▼

1
Elías Ólafsson
Elías Ólafsson Goalkeeper
6.47
5
Rasmus Nissen Kristensen
Rasmus Nissen Kristensen (C) Defender
7.24
6
Martin Erlić
Martin Erlić Defender
6.82
13
Adam Gabriel
Adam Gabriel
Defender80'
6.52
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
Mads Bech Sørensen Defender
7.66
8
Philip Billing
Philip Billing Midfielder
7.9
11
Darío Osorio
Darío Osorio Midfielder
7.4
19
Pedro Bravo
Pedro Bravo Midfielder
6.34
21
Denil Castillo
Denil Castillo
Midfielder72'
6.44
20
Valdemar Byskov
Valdemar Byskov Midfielder
7.61
38
Julius Emefile
Julius Emefile
Midfielder46'
7.28
55
Victor Bak
Victor Bak Midfielder
6.51
15
Béni Junior
Béni Junior
Defender46'
7.03
7
Franculino
Franculino Attacker
5.95
90
Friday Etim
Friday Etim
Attacker59'
6.45
10
Gue-sung Cho
Gue-sung Cho Attacker
6.85

Events

2ND-HALF
90+8'
Event
Mike Tullberg
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
Event
M. Jensen
Penalty disallowed
90+2'
80'
Event
Adam Gabriel → Martin Erlić
9th Substitution
72'
Event
Denil Castillo → Pedro Bravo
8th Substitution
69'
Event
Friday Etim
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Ismaïl Seydi → Olti Hyseni
7th Substitution
68'
66'
Event
Julius Emefile
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
Event
A. Pedersen → S. Wæver
4th Substitution
59'
Event
A. Lyng → Mathias Olesen
6th Substitution
59'
59'
Event
Friday Etim → Franculino
5th Substitution
Event
D. Frimpong → M. Hoppe
3rd Substitution
51'
46'
Event
Julius Emefile → Valdemar Byskov
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Béni Junior → Victor Bak
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
M. Haidara
Header / 4th Goal
45'
35'
Event
Valdemar Byskov
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
M. Hoppe
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
31'
Event
M. Jensen
Header / 2nd Goal
27'
26'
Event
Mads Bech Sørensen
Header / 1st Goal
14'
Event
Rasmus Nissen Kristensen 
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Cho Gue-Sung Right Footed Shot Saved
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Cho Gue-Sung Right Footed Shot Saved
90
Update Update
Offside
90
Update Update
VAR Decision - Pending VAR - penalty
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Daniel Leo Gretarsson Left Footed Shot Blocked
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alexander Lyng Right Footed Shot Blocked
89
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Magnus Jensen Head Shot Missed
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Magnus Jensen Left Footed Shot Saved
85
Attempt Attempt
Shot - David Boison Left Footed Shot Missed
85
Corner Corner
Corner
83
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ebube Gideon Duru Right Footed Shot Missed
82
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ismail Seydi Head Shot Missed
81
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ismail Seydi Head Shot Missed
81
Corner Corner
Corner
80
Update Update
On Adam Gabriel，Off Martin Erlic
79
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Denil Castillo Left Footed Shot Missed
77
Corner Corner
Corner
76
Corner Corner
Corner
76
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Alexander Lyng Right Footed Shot Blocked
72
Update Update
Offside
72
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Haidara Mohamed Cherif Left Footed Shot Missed
72
Update Update
On Denil Castillo，Off Pedro Bravo
71
Corner Corner
Corner
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Friday Ubi Etim
68
Update Update
On Ismail Seydi，Off Olti Hyseni
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Julius Emefile Right Footed Shot Goal
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Julius Emefile 2-3
64
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Pedro Bravo Right Footed Shot Saved
60
Corner Corner
Corner
59
Update Update
On Friday Ubi Etim，Off Franculino Gluda Dju
59
Update Update
On Alexander Lyng，Off Mathias Olesen
59
Update Update
On Anders Pedersen，Off Simon Waever
53
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mathias Olesen Right Footed Shot Blocked
52
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Dario Esteban Osorio Left Footed Shot Missed
51
Update Update
On David Boison，Off Matthew Hoppe
51
Corner Corner
Corner
46
Update Update
On Dje Beni，Off Victor Bak Jensen
46
Update Update
On Julius Emefile，Off Valdemar Andreasen
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Haidara Mohamed Cherif Head Shot Goal
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Haidara Mohamed Cherif 2-2，Assist：Olti Hyseni
44
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Haidara Mohamed Cherif 2-2，Assist：Olti Hyseni
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Sefer Emini Right Footed Shot Missed
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Valdemar Andreasen Left Footed Shot Goal
35
Corner Corner
Corner
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Valdemar Andreasen 1-2
33
Corner Corner
Corner
31
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Matthew Hoppe
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Magnus Jensen Head Shot Goal
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Magnus Jensen 1-1
27
Corner Corner
Corner
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Mads Bech Sorensen Head Shot Goal
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Mads Bech Sorensen 0-1，Assist：Valdemar Andreasen
26
Corner Corner
Corner
25
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Cho Gue-Sung Left Footed Shot Blocked
25
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Dario Esteban Osorio Left Footed Shot Blocked
22
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Dario Esteban Osorio Left Footed Shot Missed
22
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Dario Esteban Osorio Left Footed Shot Blocked
15
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Haidara Mohamed Cherif Right Footed Shot Missed
14
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Rasmus Nissen Kristensen
9
Update Update
Offside
4
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Phillip Billing Left Footed Shot Blocked
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Svend Funder

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sønderjyske Fodbold 2-3 FC Midtjylland. Structural assessment: FC Midtjylland exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.