Brann vs Vålerenga preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Brann Stadion Today - 12:30 PM
Eliteserien
Brann SKB
2 3
Vålerenga VIF
Full Time Today 12:30 PM
Round 15 Regular Season
Niklas Castro - 65' (P)
Felix Horn Myhre - 77'
Goal
|
Goal
Henrik Bjørdal - 24'
Carl Lange - 41'
Lucas Haren - 45+4'
|
Red Card Ivan Näsberg 57'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Brann 2–3 Vålerenga. The result saw Vålerenga take the points. Vålerenga showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Brann 2.5 – 1.7 Vålerenga. Possession was 71%–29%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Brann 2-3 Vålerenga. Vålerenga showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Kringstad
S. Kringstad
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Rossland
A. Rossland
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Lundberg
M. Lundberg
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Brudvik
S. Brudvik
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Brann E. Horneland
E. Horneland
VS
Vålerenga J. Moesgaard
J. Moesgaard
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.31
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Molde Rank: 67 W
Start Rank: 52 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 64 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 85 L
Aalesund Rank: 48 L
KFUM Rank: 59 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aalesund Rank: 48 W
Tromsø Rank: 69 L
Kristiansund Rank: 56 W
Start Rank: 53 L
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 64 W
HamKam Rank: 62 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brann
0%
Draw
0%
Away Vålerenga
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.59
61.49
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brann
Vålerenga
Power Score
70.59
61.49
League Position
6
9
Global Rank
250
520

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brann — Opponent-weighted form score
Vålerenga — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brann Vålerenga

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brann

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Vålerenga

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brann
vs
Vålerenga
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brann Vålerenga
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
40%
30%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.01 vs -0.51
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brann Vålerenga
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
30%
40%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.51 vs +0.01
Brann
Vålerenga
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brann
vs
Vålerenga
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brann Vålerenga
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brann 0.00
Vålerenga 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brann Vålerenga
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brann 0.00
Vålerenga 0.00
Brann
Vålerenga
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SKB had peak pressure around 82'.
  • VIF started the game with stronger pressure.
SKB Pressure VIF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: SKB reached the top pressure at 82' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brann SKB Home
2 matches
Vålerenga VIF Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
7
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T12:30:22+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
M. Dyngeland
Norway
1 M. Dyngeland
D. De Roeve
Belgium
21 D. De Roeve
F. Pallesen Knudsen
Norway
3 (C) F. Pallesen Knudsen
T. Pedersen
Substitution
Norway
23 T. Pedersen
J. Soltvedt
Norway
17 J. Soltvedt
K. Eriksen
Substitution
Norway
16 K. Eriksen
N. Jensen Wassberg
Substitution
Norway
25 N. Jensen Wassberg
F. Horn Myhre
Norway
8 F. Horn Myhre
U. Mathisen
Substitution
Norway
14 U. Mathisen
N. Castro
Chile
9 N. Castro
N. Holm
Norway
29 N. Holm
O. Hedvall
Denmark
1 O. Hedvall
K. Finnsson
Iceland
2 K. Finnsson
I. Näsberg
Norway
37 I. Näsberg
A. Olsen
Norway
4 A. Olsen
S. Jarl
Norway
55 S. Jarl
L. Janus Ravn-Haren
Substitution
Denmark
77 L. Janus Ravn-Haren
C. Lange
Substitution
Denmark
10 C. Lange
F. Ambina
Cameroon
29 F. Ambina
H. Bjørdal
Substitution
Norway
8 (C) H. Bjørdal
M. Grundetjern
Substitution
Norway
17 M. Grundetjern
F. Thorvaldsen
Substitution
Norway
26 F. Thorvaldsen

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 26, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 15 · Regular Season
Stadium
Brann Stadion
Capacity
17686
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad
Alf Olav Rossland
Magnus Lundberg
Sondre Brudvik

Statistics

Possession
SKB
64%
VIF
36%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3
4 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 3
88 Dangerous attacks 35
71 Possession 29
10 Corners 6
23 Free kicks 10
0 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

80 Ball Safe 67
1 Penalties 0
8 Goal Kicks 11
10 Goal Attempts 16
4 Substitutions 5
34 Throwins 12
17 Dribble Attempts 14
8 Successful Dribbles 6
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43

Attacking

135 Attacks 77
2 Big Chances Missed 1
4 Counter Attacks 3

Possession

42 Long Passes 65
639 Passes 259
533 Successful Passes 171
83 Successful Passes Percentage 66
11 Key Passes 15
15 Successful Long Passes 21
36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32

Defensive

9 Saves 5
15 Tackles 20
9 Interceptions 14
61 Duels Won 53

Build-up

31 Total Crosses 13
5 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

3 Offsides 4
10 Fouls 24

Lineup

Referee : Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Starting XI ▼

1
Mathias Dyngeland
Mathias Dyngeland Goalkeeper
6.54
3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen (C) Defender
6.84
17
Joachim Soltvedt
Joachim Soltvedt Defender
7.03
21
Denzel De Roeve
Denzel De Roeve Defender
7.05
23
Thore Pedersen
Thore Pedersen Defender
6.75
20
Vetle Dragsnes
Vetle Dragsnes
Defender46'
6.72
8
Felix Horn Myhre
Felix Horn Myhre Midfielder
6.9
16
Kristian Eriksen
Kristian Eriksen Midfielder
6.66
18
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Midfielder46'
7.07
25
Niklas Jensen Wassberg
Niklas Jensen Wassberg Midfielder
6.55
19
Eggert Aron Gudmundsson
Eggert Aron Gudmundsson
Midfielder71'
7.01
9
Niklas Castro
Niklas Castro Attacker
7.37
14
Ulrik Mathisen
Ulrik Mathisen Attacker
6.83
22
Sævar Atli Magnússon
Sævar Atli Magnússon
Attacker76'
6.73
29
Noah Holm
Noah Holm Attacker
7.19
Referee : Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Starting XI ▼

1
Oscar Hedvall
Oscar Hedvall Goalkeeper
6.87
2
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Kolbeinn Finnsson Defender
7.06
4
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Aaron Kiil Olsen Defender
6.78
37
Ivan Näsberg
Ivan Näsberg Defender
6.82
55
Sebastian Jarl
Sebastian Jarl Defender
6.79
8
Henrik Bjørdal
Henrik Bjørdal (C) Midfielder
7.2
5
Kevin Tshiembe
Kevin Tshiembe
Defender78'
6.6
10
Carl Lange
Carl Lange Midfielder
7.01
3
Hakon Sjatil
Hakon Sjatil
Defender61'
6.62
29
Fidel Brice Ambina
Fidel Brice Ambina Midfielder
6.89
77
Lucas Haren
Lucas Haren Midfielder
6.98
24
Petter Strand
Petter Strand
Midfielder67'
6.65
17
M. Grundetjern
M. Grundetjern Attacker
6.97
7
Mohamed Ofkir
Mohamed Ofkir
Midfielder78'
7.36
26
Filip Thorvaldsen
Filip Thorvaldsen Attacker
7.09
28
Magnus Westergaard
Magnus Westergaard
Midfielder62'
6.8

Events

2ND-HALF
79'
Event
Fidel Brice Ambina
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
78'
Event
Mohamed Ofkir → M. Grundetjern
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Kevin Tshiembe → Henrik Bjørdal
9th Substitution
Event
Felix Horn Myhre
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
77'
Event
Sævar Atli Magnússon  → Ulrik Mathisen
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Eggert Aron Gudmundsson  → Niklas Jensen Wassberg
6th Substitution
71'
67'
Event
Petter Strand → Lucas Haren
5th Substitution
Event
Niklas Castro
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
65'
62'
Event
Magnus Westergaard → Filip Thorvaldsen
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Hakon Sjatil → Carl Lange
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Ivan Näsberg
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
54'
Event
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
49'
Event
M. Grundetjern
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Vetle Dragsnes → Thore Pedersen
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Jacob Lungi Sørensen → Kristian Eriksen
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45+4'
Event
Lucas Haren
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
41'
Event
Carl Lange
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
24'
Event
Henrik Bjørdal
Header / 1st Goal
19'
Event
Carl Lange
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Brann 2-3 Vålerenga. Structural assessment: Vålerenga exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.