Raków Częstochowa vs Wisła Płock preview

Poland flag 2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Raków Today - 12:45 PM
Ekstraklasa
Raków Częstochowa RAK
1 2
Wisła Płock WPL
Full Time Today 12:45 PM
Round 1 Regular Season
Patryk Makuch - 68' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Marcin Flis - 37'
Zan Rogelj - 49'

CONTEXT

Rakow Czestochowa hosted Wisla Plock in a match that concluded with a 1-2 final score. The home side held 57 percent possession compared to the visitors 43 percent. At halftime the score stood at 0-1 after Wisla Plock scored the opening goal. Rakow Czestochowa as the stronger team on paper failed to overturn the deficit despite their territorial advantage. No red cards were shown to either side during the contest. The outcome represented a significant deviation from pre-match expectations with Wisla Plock securing the win. The result highlighted differences in finishing efficiency between the two teams across both halves.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Raków Częstochowa 1-2 Wisła Płock. Wisła Płock showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with observed patterns throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was recorded so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved consistent with available market indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be formed due to absence of underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: The away side maintained their halftime lead to secure the victory.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion affected the match outcome.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
P. Malec
P. Malec
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Majewski
M. Majewski
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
?. Siercha
?. Siercha
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Kuropatwa
M. Kuropatwa
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Raków Częstochowa D. Kroczek
D. Kroczek
VS
Wisła Płock A. Majewski
A. Majewski
1.63
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arka Gdynia Rank: 57 W
Piast Gliwice Rank: 63 W
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 70 L
Korona Kielce Rank: 63 W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 60 W
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 63 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lech Poznań Rank: 74 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 70 L
Motor Lublin Rank: 62 L
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 65 L
Radomiak Radom Rank: 63 L
Nieciecza Rank: 55 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Raków Częstochowa
0%
Draw
0%
Away Wisła Płock
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.41
58.2
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Raków Częstochowa
Wisła Płock
Power Score
72.41
58.2
League Position
12
7
Global Rank
211
612

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Raków Częstochowa — Opponent-weighted form score
Wisła Płock — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Raków Częstochowa Wisła Płock

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Raków Częstochowa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Wisła Płock

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Raków Częstochowa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Wisła Płock
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Raków Częstochowa Wisła Płock
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Raków Częstochowa Wisła Płock
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Raków Częstochowa
Wisła Płock
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Raków Częstochowa
vs
Wisła Płock
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Raków Częstochowa Wisła Płock
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Raków Częstochowa 0.00
Wisła Płock 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Raków Częstochowa Wisła Płock
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Raków Częstochowa 0.00
Wisła Płock 0.00
Raków Częstochowa
Wisła Płock
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RAK had peak pressure around 100'.
  • WPL started the game with stronger pressure.
RAK Pressure WPL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RAK reached the top pressure at 100' (78.55).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Raków Częstochowa RAK Home
2 matches
Wisła Płock WPL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
2
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T12:30:20+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
W. Żołneczko
29 W. Żołneczko
F. Tudor
Croatia
7 (C) F. Tudor
B. Racovitan
France
25 B. Racovitan
E. Svarnas
Substitution
Greece
4 E. Svarnas
J. Silva Rocha
Brazil
20 J. Silva Rocha
O. Repka
Poland
6 O. Repka
V. Kochergin
Substitution
Ukraine
10 V. Kochergin
E. Ouma Otieno
Substitution
Kenya
26 E. Ouma Otieno
P. Makuch
Poland
9 P. Makuch
M. Mədətov
Substitution
Azerbaijan
11 M. Mədətov
T. Pieńko
Substitution
Poland
21 T. Pieńko
R. Leszczynski
Poland
12 R. Leszczynski
M. Haglind-Sangré
Sweden
4 M. Haglind-Sangré
M. Flis
Poland
3 M. Flis
A. Radwański
Substitution
Poland
17 A. Radwański
P. Kun
Poland
23 P. Kun
Ž. Rogelj
Slovenia
21 Ž. Rogelj
M. Kamiński
Poland
35 (C) M. Kamiński
O. Kobacki
Substitution
Poland
7 O. Kobacki
D. Pacheco Lobato
Spain
8 D. Pacheco Lobato
S. Hamulic
Substitution
Netherlands
10 S. Hamulic
J. Jiménez Rodríguez
Substitution
Spain
11 J. Jiménez Rodríguez

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 26, 2026, 12:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Raków
Capacity
11600
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Paweł Malec
Maciej Majewski
Łukasz Siercha
Maciej Kuropatwa

Statistics

Possession
RAK
57%
WPL
43%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 0
79 Dangerous attacks 46
57 Possession 43
7 Corners 2
15 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

45 Ball Safe 47
1 Penalties 0
2 Goal Kicks 10
8 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 4
20 Throwins 14
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Injuries 0
15 Dribble Attempts 11
7 Successful Dribbles 5
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45

Attacking

107 Attacks 78
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

26 Long Passes 40
438 Passes 345
372 Successful Passes 272
85 Successful Passes Percentage 79
11 Successful Long Passes 7
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 18

Defensive

1 Saves 4
9 Tackles 15
9 Interceptions 8
45 Duels Won 36

Build-up

33 Total Crosses 9
6 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : Paweł Malec

Starting XI ▼

29
Wiktor Zolneczko
Wiktor Zolneczko Goalkeeper
4
Stratos Svarnas
Stratos Svarnas Defender
7.04
2
Jerzy Napieraj
Jerzy Napieraj
Defender24'
6.36
7
Fran Tudor
Fran Tudor (C) Defender
7.03
25
Bogdan Racovițan
Bogdan Racovițan Defender
6.81
6
Oskar Repka
Oskar Repka Midfielder
6.87
10
Vladyslav Kochergin
Vladyslav Kochergin Midfielder
6.7
5
Marko Bulat
Marko Bulat
Midfielder56'
7.06
20
Jean Carlos Silva
Jean Carlos Silva Midfielder
7.06
26
Erick Otieno
Erick Otieno Midfielder
6.58
19
Michael Ameyaw
Michael Ameyaw
Midfielder56'
7.03
9
Patryk Makuch
Patryk Makuch Attacker
6.93
11
Mahir Emreli
Mahir Emreli Attacker
6.73
88
Ádin Molnár
Ádin Molnár
Midfielder56'
6.93
21
Tomasz Pienko
Tomasz Pienko Attacker
6.73
99
Adam Basse
Adam Basse
Attacker82'
6.34
Referee : Paweł Malec

Starting XI ▼

12
Rafał Leszczyński
Rafał Leszczyński Goalkeeper
7.04
3
Marcin Flis
Marcin Flis Defender
4
Marcus Haglind-Sangré
Marcus Haglind-Sangré Defender
6.7
17
Adam Radwański
Adam Radwański Defender
6.76
16
Fabian Hiszpański
Fabian Hiszpański
Midfielder87'
6.57
7
Olaf Kobacki
Olaf Kobacki Midfielder
6.71
18
Jurica Prsir
Jurica Prsir
Midfielder46'
7.2
8
Dani Pacheco
Dani Pacheco Midfielder
7.18
21
Zan Rogelj
Zan Rogelj Midfielder
6.77
23
Patryk Kun
Patryk Kun Midfielder
6.72
35
Marcin Kamiński
Marcin Kamiński (C) Midfielder
6.81
10
Said Hamulic
Said Hamulic Attacker
6.77
20
Łukasz Sekulski
Łukasz Sekulski
Attacker63'
6.98
11
Jorge Jiménez
Jorge Jiménez Attacker
7.02
6
Krystian Pomorski
Krystian Pomorski
Midfielder70'
6.52

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Fabian Hiszpański → Adam Radwański
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Dani Pacheco
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Adam Basse → Tomasz Pienko
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Fran Tudor
Red card cancelled
81'
74'
Event
Jurica Prsir
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
70'
Event
Krystian Pomorski → Jorge Jiménez
7th Substitution
Event
Patryk Makuch
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
68'
Event
Jean Carlos Silva
Penalty awarded
65'
63'
Event
Łukasz Sekulski  → Said Hamulic
6th Substitution
Event
Fran Tudor
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
62'
Event
Michael Ameyaw → Erick Otieno
3rd Substitution
56'
Event
Marko Bulat → Vladyslav Kochergin
4th Substitution
56'
Event
Ádin Molnár → Mahir Emreli
5th Substitution
56'
49'
Event
Zan Rogelj
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
46'
Event
Jurica Prsir → Olaf Kobacki
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
37'
Event
Marcin Flis
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Jerzy Napieraj → Stratos Svarnas
1st Substitution
24'
14'
Event
Olaf Kobacki
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Patryk Makuch Right Footed Shot Blocked
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Patryk Makuch Head Shot Post
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Michael Ameyaw Head Shot Missed
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Adam Basse Head Shot Missed
90
Corner Corner
Corner
89
Corner Corner
Corner
87
Update Update
On Fabian Hiszpanski，Off Adam Radwanski
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Dani Pacheco
82
Update Update
On Adam Basse，Off Tomasz Pienko
81
Red Card Red Card Important
VAR Decision - Red card cancelled - Fran Tudor
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second Yellow Card - Fran Tudor
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Jurica Prsir
73
Corner Corner
Corner
72
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tomasz Pienko Left Footed Shot Saved
70
Update Update
On Krystian Pomorski，Off Jime
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Patryk Makuch Right Footed Shot Goal
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Penalty - Patryk Makuch 1-2
65
Update Update
VAR Decision - Penalty awarded - Jean Carlos Silva Rocha
63
Update Update
On Lukasz Sekulski，Off Said Hamulic
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Fran Tudor
62
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Patryk Makuch Head Shot Missed
59
Corner Corner
Corner
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marcus Haglind-Sangre Right Footed Shot Saved
56
Update Update
On Michael Ameyaw，Off Erick Ouma Otieno
56
Update Update
On Marko Bulat，Off Vladyslav Kochergin
56
Update Update
On Marko Bulat，Off Vladyslav Kochergin
54
Corner Corner
Corner
53
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mahir Madatov Left Footed Shot Blocked
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Zan Rogelj Left Footed Shot Goal
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Zan Rogelj 0-2
46
Update Update
On Jurica Prsir，Off Olaf Kobacki
46
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mahir Madatov Left Footed Shot Missed
45
Corner Corner
Corner
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Fran Tudor Right Footed Shot Blocked
45
Corner Corner
Corner
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Marcin Flis Right Footed Shot Goal
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Marcin Flis 0-1
30
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Erick Ouma Otieno Right Footed Shot Saved
27
Corner Corner
Corner
27
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mahir Madatov Head Shot Missed
26
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Oskar Repka Right Footed Shot Blocked
24
Update Update
On Jerzy Napieraj，Off Stratos Svarnas
21
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jean Carlos Silva Rocha Head Shot Saved
17
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Vladyslav Kochergin Right Footed Shot Missed
14
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Olaf Kobacki
11
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Patryk Makuch Head Shot Saved
9
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Oskar Repka Left Footed Shot Missed
8
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Olaf Kobacki Right Footed Shot Blocked
2
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Pawel Malec

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Raków Częstochowa 1-2 Wisła Płock. Structural assessment: Wisła Płock exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.