Horsens vs Nordsjælland preview
2026/2027 Superliga, Denmark
Hybel Arena Horsens
Sun, 26 Jul - 4:00 PM
Round 1 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 19
CONTEXT
Horsens and Nordsjælland played to a 1-1 draw with the score level at halftime. Nordsjælland held 70 percent possession while Horsens managed 30 percent. Nordsjælland recorded 3.48 expected goals against Horsens 1.52 expected goals for a differential of minus 1.96. The stronger side Nordsjælland failed to convert its dominance into a victory. The final result stood at 1-1 with no red cards issued to either side. Structural elements showed significant deviation centered on Nordsjælland. The match concluded without further goals after the opening period.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Significant deviation occurred for Nordsjælland at 100 percent level.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expected patterns for both teams.
-
xG alignment: Final outcome proved inconsistent with the xG distribution.
-
Market alignment: Result aligned with pre-match market expectations.
-
xG expectations: Nordsjælland posted 3.48 xG versus Horsens 1.52 xG.
-
Event impact: No second half adjustments altered the 1-1 scoreline.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards were recorded so no distortion applied.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Kristoffersen
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
E. Deronjic
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
J. Mastrup
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
F. Svendsen
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
0
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.86
0 i
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sønderjyske Fodbold
Rank: 63
W
FC Midtjylland
Rank: 80
D
Brøndby IF
Rank: 68
D
Viborg FF
Rank: 66
L
AGF
Rank: 75
D
Viborg FF
Rank: 66
W
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
39.22
69.3
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Horsens
Nordsjælland
Power Score
39.22
69.3
League Position
5
7
Global Rank
846
282
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Horsens
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Nordsjælland
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Horsens Nordsjælland
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Horsens
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Nordsjælland
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Horsens
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Nordsjælland
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.67
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.57
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Horsens
-1.10
Efficiency Index
vs
Nordsjælland
+1.10
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Horsens
Nordsjælland
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Horsens
vs
Nordsjælland
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Horsens
Nordsjælland
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
67%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.02
vs
-1.25
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Horsens
Nordsjælland
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
36%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
1.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-1.25
vs
-0.02
Horsens
Nordsjælland
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Horsens
vs
Nordsjælland
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Horsens
Nordsjælland
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Horsens
0.67
Nordsjælland
0.29
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Horsens
Nordsjælland
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Horsens
0.01
Nordsjælland
0.08
Horsens
Nordsjælland
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- ACH had peak pressure around 86'.
- FCN started the game with stronger pressure.
ACH Pressure
FCN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
ACH reached the top pressure at 86' (80.43).
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
Match Formation
3-4-1-2
General Information
Date & Time
Jul 26, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Superliga, Denmark · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Hybel Arena Horsens
Capacity
10495
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen
Esad Deronjic
Jakob Mastrup
Frederik Svendsen
Next Match
Horsens
vs
FC Midtjylland
League: Superliga
Kickoff: Sun, 2 Aug - 12:00 PM
Venue: MCH Arena
Nordsjælland
vs
GAIS
League: Europa Conference League
Kickoff: Thu, 30 Jul - 5:00 PM
Venue: Right to Dream Park
Statistics
Possession
ACH
33%
FCN
67%
Top Statistics
1
Goals
1
2
Big Chances Created
7
3
Shots
8
12
Dangerous attacks
80
30
Possession
70
4
Corners
13
7
Free kicks
7
1
Yellow Cards
1
Match Overview
68
Ball Safe
70
1
Penalties
0
12
Goal Kicks
5
8
Goal Attempts
16
5
Substitutions
4
9
Throwins
19
7
Dribble Attempts
24
2
Successful Dribbles
8
29
Successful Dribbles Percentage
33
Attacking
58
Attacks
151
1
Big Chances Missed
6
Possession
49
Long Passes
70
308
Passes
714
239
Successful Passes
631
78
Successful Passes Percentage
88
7
Key Passes
15
17
Successful Long Passes
42
35
Successful Long Passes Percentage
60
Defensive
5
Saves
3
21
Tackles
12
16
Interceptions
5
38
Duels Won
44
Build-up
7
Total Crosses
21
3
Accurate Crosses
5
Discipline
3
Offsides
1
7
Fouls
8
Lineup
Referee :
Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen
Manager ▼
N. Dige Zimling
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
31
Anders Hoff
Goalkeeper
4
Sebastian Hausner
Defender
30
Seniko Doua
Defender
9
Muhamet Hyseni
Attacker
Referee :
Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen
Manager ▼
J. Olsen
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
31
Andreas Søndenbroe
Goalkeeper
28
Markus Walker
Defender
6
Mark Brink
Midfielder
9
Ola Solbakken
Attacker
17
Levy Nene
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
9th Substitution
90+1'
85'
7th Substitution
85'
8th Substitution
5th Substitution
79'
6th Substitution
79'
66'
3rd Substitution
66'
4th Substitution
1st Substitution
62'
2nd Substitution
62'
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
57'
56'
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
43'
Penalty awarded
40'
33'
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
CONCLUSION
The 1-1 draw left Nordsjælland with an unfulfilled advantage despite clear superiority in possession and expected goals. Horsens defended effectively to maintain parity after the early equaliser. Both teams showed limited second half changes that preserved the stalemate. The absence of red cards kept the contest balanced throughout. Nordsjælland created more opportunities yet could not find a winner. Horsens secured a point through disciplined organisation. The result reflected a hard fought encounter between the sides.
Match Commentary