Stjarnan vs Ilves preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Samsung völlurinn Today - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Stjarnan STJ
Ilves ILV
KICKOFF : Today - 7:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2

CONTEXT

Stjarnan welcomes Ilves to Samsung völlurinn for the opening leg of their Europa Conference League second qualifying round encounter. Both sides enter with identical power scores of 36.67, indicating a closely matched contest on paper. The home side holds a slight designation as the stronger team despite the zero point advantage in power metrics. Form scores are also level at 33.33 for each, suggesting similar recent performances. With no domestic league positions available and the match taking place in an international cup setting, focus shifts to tactical preparations. The venue provides a familiar environment for Stjarnan, potentially offering a marginal edge in comfort. This first leg sets the stage for what promises to be a competitive tie between two evenly balanced opponents.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Both teams have equal power scores of 36.67.
  • Form: Form scores stand at 33.33 for both Stjarnan and Ilves.
  • Squad: Limited squad information is available for analysis.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in the current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data is unavailable due to missing xG information.
  • xVariable: Power advantage is zero points between the sides.
  • Market: Stjarnan 33.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.3% (Δ+0%) | Ilves 42.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Stjarnan J. Hauksson
J. Hauksson
VS
Ilves Camilo Speranza Borde
Camilo Speranza Borde
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Víkingur Rank: D
Víkingur Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Differdange 03 Rank: W
Differdange 03 Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Stjarnan
33.62%
Draw
24.3%
Away Ilves
42.08%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
36.67
36.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Stjarnan
Ilves
Power Score
36.67
36.67
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Stjarnan — Opponent-weighted form score
Ilves — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Stjarnan Ilves

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Stjarnan STJ Home
0 matches
Ilves ILV Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-22T00:12:01+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Samsung völlurinn
Capacity
1440
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Oscar Johnson
Robin Wilde
Sebastian Robertsson
Joakim Östling

Squad

Referee : Oscar Johnson

Squad ▼

12
Árni Snær Ólafsson
Árni Snær Ólafsson Goalkeeper
1
Darri Bergmann Gylfason
Darri Bergmann Gylfason Goalkeeper
31
Damil Dankerlui
Damil Dankerlui Defender
5
Guðmundur Kristjánsson
Guðmundur Kristjánsson Defender
2
Heiðar Ægisson
Heiðar Ægisson Defender
6
Sindri Thor Ingimarsson
Sindri Thor Ingimarsson Defender
3
Gustav Kjeldsen
Gustav Kjeldsen Defender
4
Thorri Mar Thórisson
Thorri Mar Thórisson Defender
32
Örvar Logi Örvarsson
Örvar Logi Örvarsson Defender
78
Bjarki Hauksson
Bjarki Hauksson Defender
29
Alex Þór Hauksson
Alex Þór Hauksson Midfielder
19
Daníel Finns Matthíasson
Daníel Finns Matthíasson Midfielder
8
Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson
Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson Midfielder
23
Benedikt Waren
Benedikt Waren Midfielder
18
Guðmundur Baldvin Nökkvason
Guðmundur Baldvin Nökkvason Midfielder
22
Emil Atlason
Emil Atlason Attacker
14
Birnir Snær Ingason
Birnir Snær Ingason Attacker
99
Andri Rúnar Bjarnason
Andri Rúnar Bjarnason Attacker
7
Örvar Eggertsson
Örvar Eggertsson Attacker
37
Haukur Brink
Haukur Brink Attacker
Referee : Oscar Johnson

Squad ▼

1
Otso Virtanen
Otso Virtanen Goalkeeper
31
Rasmus Leislahti
Rasmus Leislahti Goalkeeper
12
Faris Krkalic
Faris Krkalic Goalkeeper
5
Sauli Väisänen
Sauli Väisänen Defender
16
Tatu Miettunen
Tatu Miettunen Defender
3
Matias Rale
Matias Rale Defender
13
Kalle Wallius
Kalle Wallius Defender
4
Oliver Pettersson
Oliver Pettersson Defender
25
Sebastian Suvanne
Sebastian Suvanne Defender
24
Ville Kumpu
Ville Kumpu Defender
19
Bamba Abdoul Goudouss
Bamba Abdoul Goudouss Defender
7
Joona Veteli
Joona Veteli Midfielder
15
Lauri Ala-Myllymäki
Lauri Ala-Myllymäki Midfielder
14
Anton Popovits
Anton Popovits Midfielder
8
Maksim Stjopin
Maksim Stjopin Midfielder
28
Jesse Kilo
Jesse Kilo Midfielder
30
Jardell Kanga
Jardell Kanga Midfielder
6
Yiandro Raap
Yiandro Raap Midfielder
22
Oskari Multala
Oskari Multala Midfielder
20
Otto Tiitinen
Otto Tiitinen Midfielder
10
Roope Riski
Roope Riski Attacker
9
Teemu Hytönen
Teemu Hytönen Attacker
33
Oskari Tapio Paavola
Oskari Tapio Paavola Attacker
17
Stanislav Baranov
Stanislav Baranov Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Stjarnan holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Stjarnan a 0-point edge. External projection is Stjarnan 36.5%, draw 24.7%, and Ilves 38.8%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.