Aluminij vs Dinamo City preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Športni Park Aluminij Thu, 23 Jul - 6:00 PM
Europa Conference League
AluminijALU
1 – 1
Dinamo CityDIN
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 6:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Aluminij 1–1 Dinamo City. The match ended in a draw. Aluminij showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 45%–55%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Aluminij 1-1 Dinamo City. Aluminij showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
?. Kristjánsson
?. Kristjánsson
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
B. Sigurdarson
B. Sigurdarson
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Sigurdsson
G. Sigurdsson
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
?. Þórðarson
?. Þórðarson
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Aluminij J. Arsic
J. Arsic
VS
Dinamo City I. Daja
I. Daja
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Astana Rank: W
Astana Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Aluminij
5.36%
Draw
89.29%
Away Dinamo City
5.36%

Movement

Changes since opening
Aluminij
-1.55%
Draw
+3.69%
Dinamo City
-2.13%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
52.89
41.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Aluminij
Dinamo City
Power Score
52.89
41.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
756
1064

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Aluminij — Opponent-weighted form score
Dinamo City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Aluminij Dinamo City

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Aluminij

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dinamo City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Aluminij ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dinamo City
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.00
20.09
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.09
26.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Aluminij +0.56 Efficiency Index
vs
Dinamo City -0.56 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Aluminij
Dinamo City
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Aluminij ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dinamo City
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Aluminij Dinamo City
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Aluminij Dinamo City
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Aluminij
Dinamo City
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Aluminij
vs
Dinamo City
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Aluminij Dinamo City
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Aluminij 0.11
Dinamo City 0.22
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Aluminij Dinamo City
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Aluminij 0.02
Dinamo City 0.01
Aluminij
Dinamo City
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • DIN had peak pressure around 95'.
  • DIN started the game with stronger pressure.
ALU Pressure DIN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DIN reached the top pressure at 95' (37.96).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Športni Park Aluminij
Capacity
2600
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ívar Orri Kristjánsson
Birkir Sigurdarson
Gylfi Mar Sigurdsson
Þórður Þorsteinn Þórðarson

Statistics

Possession
ALU
51%
DIN
49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
7 Shots 7
74 Dangerous attacks 41
45 Possession 55
5 Corners 1
10 Free kicks 17
4 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

93 Ball Safe 123
7 Goal Attempts 8
3 Substitutions 1
33 Throwins 22
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

129 Attacks 127

Discipline

3 Offsides 4
12 Fouls 3

Lineup

Referee : Ívar Orri Kristjánsson

Starting XI ▼

31
Florijan Raduha
Florijan Raduha Goalkeeper
6.12
4
Rok Schaubach
Rok Schaubach Defender
6.25
5
Matija Boben
Matija Boben Defender
6.26
6
Dino Šimunić
Dino Šimunić Defender
6.25
80
Hanus Sørensen
Hanus Sørensen
Defender46'
6.49
32
Vito Tezak
Vito Tezak Defender
6.26
8
Eric Taylor
Eric Taylor Midfielder
6.37
9
Adriano Bloudek
Adriano Bloudek
Attacker71'
6.59
13
Matic Vrbanec
Matic Vrbanec Midfielder
6.57
14
Tomislav Jagic
Tomislav Jagic (C) Midfielder
6.37
40
Bede Osuji
Bede Osuji Midfielder
6.37
44
Petar Petrisko
Petar Petrisko
Midfielder61'
6.5
42
Vid Koderman
Vid Koderman Midfielder
6.33
45
Bamba Susso
Bamba Susso Attacker
6.46
Referee : Ívar Orri Kristjánsson

Starting XI ▼

77
Aldo Teqja
Aldo Teqja Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Ysni Ismaili
Ysni Ismaili Defender
6.26
13
Fabjan Perndreca
Fabjan Perndreca Defender
6.26
22
Bruno Dita
Bruno Dita (C) Defender
6.26
27
Naser Aliji
Naser Aliji Defender
6.26
8
Eridon Qardaku
Eridon Qardaku Midfielder
6.37
10
Lorenco Vila
Lorenco Vila Midfielder
6.37
21
Klevi Qefalija
Klevi Qefalija Midfielder
6.37
28
Isi Manellari
Isi Manellari Midfielder
6.37
88
Flamur Ruci
Flamur Ruci Midfielder
6.5
33
David Fadairo
David Fadairo
Midfielder81'
6.37
29
Hekuran Berisha
Hekuran Berisha Attacker
6.82

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Rok Schaubach
4th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Matic Vrbanec
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
84'
81'
Event
David Fadairo → Flamur Ruci
4th Substitution
Event
Adriano Bloudek → Eric Taylor
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Hanus Sørensen
3rd Yellowcard
63'
Event
Petar Petrisko → Bede Osuji
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Vid Koderman
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
52'
Event
Hanus Sørensen → Dino Šimunić
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Dino Šimunić
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
30'
15'
Event
Hekuran Berisha
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Matic Vrbanec scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Adriano Bloudek.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
71
Update Update
Adriano Bloudek comes on for Eric Taylor.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Vid Koderman.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Hanus Sörensen comes on for Dino Simunic.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Ivar Orri Kristjansson.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Aluminij 1-1 Dinamo City. Structural assessment: Aluminij exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.