Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev)) Thu, 23 Jul - 5:00 PM
Europa League
Dynamo KyivDYN
2 3
PAOKPKT
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 5:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Dynamo Kyiv hosted PAOK in the first leg of their two-legged tie. The match concluded with a 2-3 victory for the visitors. PAOK led 1-2 at halftime. Dynamo Kyiv held 58 percent possession compared to PAOK's 42 percent. No red cards were issued to either side. PAOK entered as the stronger team and secured the win. The outcome showed a significant deviation associated with PAOK. Efficiency metrics remained in line with the stronger side. Pre-match indicators did not align with the final result. Expected goals figures were unavailable. No second-half adjustments were recorded. The absence of dismissals prevented any card-related effects. This result sets the stage for the return leg.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Dynamo Kyiv 2-3 PAOK. PAOK showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable to assess alignment.
  • Market alignment: The final result was not aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals were not recorded during the match.
  • Event impact: No red cards occurred to influence match events.
  • Red card distortion: The lack of red cards created no distortion in the outcome.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Putros
S. Putros
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Yurdakul
D. Yurdakul
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Deronjic
E. Deronjic
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Uslu
A. Uslu
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Dynamo Kyiv I. Kostyuk
I. Kostyuk
VS
PAOK A. Lisci
A. Lisci
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Universitatea Cluj Rank: 72 D
Universitatea Cluj Rank: 72 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celta de Vigo Rank: 82 L
Celta de Vigo Rank: 82 L
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 83 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Dynamo Kyiv
35.96%
Draw
28.64%
Away PAOK
35.4%

Movement

Changes since opening
Dynamo Kyiv
+35.32%
Draw
+24.92%
PAOK
-60.24%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.22
79.88
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Dynamo Kyiv
PAOK
Power Score
68.22
79.88
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
297
77

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Dynamo Kyiv — Opponent-weighted form score
PAOK — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Dynamo Kyiv PAOK

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Dynamo Kyiv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

PAOK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Dynamo Kyiv ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy PAOK
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
21.98
39.29
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
39.29
21.98
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Dynamo Kyiv -0.90 Efficiency Index
vs
PAOK +0.90 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Dynamo Kyiv
PAOK
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Dynamo Kyiv ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy PAOK
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Dynamo Kyiv PAOK
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Dynamo Kyiv PAOK
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Dynamo Kyiv
PAOK
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Dynamo Kyiv
vs
PAOK
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Dynamo Kyiv PAOK
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Dynamo Kyiv 0.18
PAOK 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Dynamo Kyiv PAOK
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Dynamo Kyiv 0.06
PAOK 0.04
Dynamo Kyiv
PAOK
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • DYN had peak pressure around 83'.
  • PKT started the game with stronger pressure.
DYN Pressure PKT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DYN reached the top pressure at 83' (45.02).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev))
Capacity
16873
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sandi Putros
Deniz Yurdakul
Esad Deronjic
Aydin Uslu

Statistics

Possession
DYN
55%
PKT
45%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 3
5 Shots 7
55 Dangerous attacks 50
58 Possession 42
2 Corners 1
13 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
19 Throwins 25
1 Hit Woodwork 1
10 Dribble Attempts 9

Attacking

93 Attacks 77

Possession

37 Long Passes 25
520 Passes 380
87 Successful Passes Percentage 80
7 Key Passes 13

Defensive

4 Saves 3
9 Tackles 9
11 Interceptions 15

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 9

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Sandi Putros

Starting XI ▼

35
Ruslan Neshcheret
Ruslan Neshcheret Goalkeeper
6.65
32
Taras Mykhavko
Taras Mykhavko Defender
6.5
40
Kristian Bilovar
Kristian Bilovar Defender
6.47
44
Vladyslav Dubinchak
Vladyslav Dubinchak Defender
6.51
94
Tomasz Kędziora
Tomasz Kędziora Defender
6.4
6
Volodymyr Brazhko
Volodymyr Brazhko Midfielder
7.5
15
Valentyn Rubchynskyi
Valentyn Rubchynskyi
Midfielder86'
8
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok (C) Midfielder
6.4
21
Justin Lonwijk
Justin Lonwijk
Midfielder55'
7.38
9
Nazar Voloshyn
Nazar Voloshyn Midfielder
6.33
70
Bogdan Redushko
Bogdan Redushko
Midfielder55'
6.76
10
Mykola Shaparenko
Mykola Shaparenko Midfielder
6.57
29
Vitaliy Buyalskyi
Vitaliy Buyalskyi
Midfielder68'
7.11
11
Matviy Ponomarenko
Matviy Ponomarenko Attacker
6.07
39
Eduardo Guerrero
Eduardo Guerrero Attacker
6.64
7
Andriy Yarmolenko
Andriy Yarmolenko
Midfielder68'
6.68
Referee : Sandi Putros

Starting XI ▼

1
Jiri Pavlenka
Jiri Pavlenka Goalkeeper
6.54
3
Jonjoe Kenny
Jonjoe Kenny Defender
6.55
4
Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Pantelis Hatzidiakos Defender
6.29
6
Aritz Elustondo
Aritz Elustondo
Defender83'
6.45
5
Giannis Michailidis
Giannis Michailidis Defender
6.58
18
Jonathan Gómez
Jonathan Gómez Defender
6.56
7
Baptiste Santamaria
Baptiste Santamaria Midfielder
7.34
14
Andrija Zivkovic
Andrija Zivkovic (C) Midfielder
7.17
52
Dimitrios Chatsidis
Dimitrios Chatsidis
Midfielder83'
6.49
20
Christos Zafeiris
Christos Zafeiris Midfielder
7.3
2
Mady Camara
Mady Camara
Midfielder78'
6.76
22
Taha Ali
Taha Ali Midfielder
6.36
11
Taison
Taison
Midfielder14'
7.49
65
Giannis Konstantelias
Giannis Konstantelias Midfielder
8.26
56
Anestis Mythou
Anestis Mythou Attacker
6.59
19
Alexander Jeremejeff
Alexander Jeremejeff
Attacker78'
6.71

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Alexander Jeremejeff
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Valentyn Rubchynskyi → Volodymyr Brazhko
10th Substitution
86'
83'
Event
Dimitrios Chatsidis → Andrija Zivkovic
8th Substitution
83'
Event
Aritz Elustondo → Pantelis Hatzidiakos
9th Substitution
78'
Event
Mady Camara → Christos Zafeiris
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Alexander Jeremejeff → Anestis Mythou
7th Substitution
Event
Justin Lonwijk
Field Goal / 5th Goal
77'
Event
Vitaliy Buyalskyi  → Mykola Shaparenko
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Andriy Yarmolenko → Eduardo Guerrero
5th Substitution
68'
63'
Event
Giannis Konstantelias
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
57'
Event
Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Justin Lonwijk → Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
2nd Substitution
55'
Event
Bogdan Redushko → Nazar Voloshyn
3rd Substitution
55'
51'
Event
Baptiste Santamaria
Field Goal / 4th Goal
Event
Matviy Ponomarenko
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
46'
1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Christos Zafeiris
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
14'
Event
Taison → Taha Ali
1st Substitution
13'
Event
Giannis Konstantelias
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
Event
Volodymyr Brazhko
Field Goal / 1st Goal
3'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Alexander Jeremejeff.
86
Update Update
Offside.
85
Update Update
Valentyn Rubchynskyi comes on for Volodymyr Brazhko.
84
Update Update
Aritz Elustondo comes on for Pantelis Hatzidiakos.
84
Update Update
Chatsidis is on, and Andrija Zivkovic is off.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alexander Jeremejeff comes off, and Anestis Mythou comes on.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Mohamed Mady Camara comes on for Christos Zafeiris.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-3.
68
Update Update
Andriy Yarmolenko comes on for Eduardo Guerrero.
68
Update Update
Vitaliy Buyalskyi comes on for Mykola Shaparenko.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Giannis Konstantelias.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Pantelis Hatzidiakos.
55
Update Update
Bohdan Redushko is on, and Nazar Voloshyn is off.
55
Update Update
Justin Lonwijk is on, and Oleksandr Pikhalyonok is off.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Santamaria Baptiste scores, making it 1-3 with an assist from Giannis Konstantelias.
47
Update Update
Offside.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Matvii Ponomarenko.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Substitution Substitution
On Barcellos, Freda Taison is substituted for Taha Abdi Ali.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Giannis Konstantelias scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Christos Zafeiris.
3
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Volodymyr Brazhko scores to make it 1-0.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Sandi Putros.

CONCLUSION

PAOK claimed a 2-3 away win in the opening leg against Dynamo Kyiv. The visitors overturned an early deficit to lead at the interval. Possession favored the home side yet failed to translate into overall control. PAOK demonstrated efficiency that matched their status as the stronger side. The significant deviation from pre-match indicators highlighted the visitors' impact. Without expected goals data the performance picture remains incomplete. No dismissals occurred to alter the flow or create numerical imbalances. The result leaves PAOK with a narrow advantage heading into the second leg. Dynamo Kyiv will need adjustments to overcome the deficit on the road.