Houston Dynamo vs DC United preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Shell Energy Stadium Thu, 23 Jul - 12:30 AM
Major League Soccer
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 12:30 AM
Regular Season
|
Goal
Tai Baribo - 78'

CONTEXT

Houston Dynamo hosted DC United in a Major League Soccer encounter that finished 1-1. The home side opened the scoring before halftime to lead 1-0 at the interval. Houston controlled 64 percent possession and posted 1.2 expected goals against DC United's 0.57. Despite entering as the stronger team, Houston could not preserve the advantage after the break. DC United found an equalizer to secure the draw. The result reflected a significant deviation for the home side relative to pre-match positioning. No red cards occurred and both teams completed the contest at full strength. The match illustrated contrasts between possession dominance and final outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Houston Dynamo as the stronger team recorded a significant structural deviation in the 1-1 draw.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations across both sides.
  • xG alignment: The 1-1 draw outcome was not consistent with the xG values of 1.2 and 0.57.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with pre-match projections for the contest.
  • xG expectations: Houston Dynamo underperformed their 1.2 xG while DC United exceeded 0.57 xG.
  • Event impact: The 1-0 halftime lead for Houston did not prevent the eventual draw.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were shown and match dynamics experienced no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Rivas
V. Rivas
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Greeson
J. Greeson
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Pilgrim
B. Pilgrim
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Albuquerque
R. Albuquerque
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Houston Dynamo B. Olsen
B. Olsen
VS
DC United R. Weiler
R. Weiler
1.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.2
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
LA Galaxy Rank: 61 D
Vancouver Whitecaps Rank: 72 W
Real Salt Lake Rank: 64 L
Los Angeles FC Rank: 72 W
Colorado Rapids Rank: 62 W
Austin Rank: 59 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
CF Montréal Rank: 57 D
St. Louis City Rank: 63 D
Chicago Fire Rank: 66 L
Nashville SC Rank: 72 D
New York City Rank: 66 W
Orlando City Rank: 63 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.49
55.27
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Houston Dynamo
DC United
Power Score
62.49
55.27
League Position
7
9
Global Rank
462
684

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Houston Dynamo Opponent-weighted form score
DC United Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Houston Dynamo DC United

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Houston Dynamo

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

DC United

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Houston Dynamo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy DC United
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.42
25.69
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.69
37.42
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Houston Dynamo +0.81 Efficiency Index
vs
DC United -0.81 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Houston Dynamo
DC United
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Houston Dynamo
vs
DC United
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Houston Dynamo DC United
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
31%
60%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.37 vs -0.34
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Houston Dynamo DC United
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
60%
31%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.34 vs -0.37
Houston Dynamo
DC United
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Houston Dynamo
vs
DC United
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Houston Dynamo DC United
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Houston Dynamo DC United
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Houston Dynamo
DC United
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HOU had peak pressure around 96'.
  • HOU started the game with stronger pressure.
HOU Pressure DCU Pressure
Pressure Index: HOU reached the top pressure at 96' (89.82).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Houston Dynamo HOU Home
1 matches
DC United DCU Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
4
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-24T00:00:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-4-2

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Shell Energy Stadium
Capacity
22039
Attendance
17137
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Víctor Rivas
Jeffrey Greeson
Ben Pilgrim
Rodrigo Albuquerque

Statistics

Possession
HOU
61%
DCU
39%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
8 Shots 3
79 Dangerous attacks 45
64 Possession 36
3 Corners 3
15 Free kicks 8
2 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

71 Ball Safe 74
5 Goal Kicks 10
13 Goal Attempts 4
6 Substitutions 5
13 Throwins 11
16 Successful Headers 7
0 Assists 1
1 Injuries 1
17 Dribble Attempts 5
7 Successful Dribbles 2
41 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40

Attacking

112 Attacks 73
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

22 Long Passes 33
539 Passes 306
487 Successful Passes 258
90 Successful Passes Percentage 84
16 Key Passes 6
11 Successful Long Passes 12
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36

Defensive

0 Saves 4
5 Tackles 11
6 Interceptions 9
42 Duels Won 27

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 14
10 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Víctor Rivas

Starting XI

31
Jonathan Bond
Jonathan Bond Goalkeeper
6.35
5
Lucas Halter
Lucas Halter Defender
6.94
28
Erik Sviatchenko
Erik Sviatchenko
Defender61'
6.43
11
Lawrence Ennali
Lawrence Ennali Defender
6.42
21
Franco Negri
Franco Negri
Defender77'
6.49
34
Agustin Resch
Agustin Resch Defender
7.06
36
Felipe Andrade
Felipe Andrade Defender
6.88
14
Duane Holmes
Duane Holmes
Midfielder88'
6.65
6
Artur
Artur (C) Midfielder
7.24
8
Jack McGlynn
Jack McGlynn Midfielder
8.15
16
Héctor Herrera
Héctor Herrera Midfielder
7.36
18
Diadié Samassékou
Diadié Samassékou
Midfielder78'
6.45
19
Mateusz Bogusz
Mateusz Bogusz Midfielder
6.9
9
Ondrej Lingr
Ondrej Lingr
Midfielder88'
6.83
20
Guilherme
Guilherme Midfielder
7.11
23
Duncan McGuire
Duncan McGuire Attacker
6.76
10
Ezequiel Ponce
Ezequiel Ponce
Attacker59'
6.66
Referee : Víctor Rivas

Starting XI

1
Sean Johnson
Sean Johnson Goalkeeper
6.95
3
Lucas Bartlett
7.35
5
Silvan Hefti
Silvan Hefti Defender
6.57
6
Keisuke Kurokawa
Keisuke Kurokawa Defender
6.15
13
Sean Nealis
Sean Nealis Defender
6.77
7
Peglow
Peglow Midfielder
6.42
77
Hosei Kijima
Hosei Kijima
Midfielder67'
6.44
21
Andre Dozzell
Andre Dozzell Midfielder
6.85
27
Nikola Marković
Nikola Marković
Defender88'
23
Brandon Servania
Brandon Servania Midfielder
6.6
8
Jared Stroud
Jared Stroud
Midfielder67'
6.29
25
Jackson Hopkins
Jackson Hopkins Midfielder
6.92
4
Matti Peltola
Matti Peltola
Defender53'
6.83
9
Tai Baribo
Tai Baribo Attacker
7.05
11
Louis Munteanu
Louis Munteanu Attacker
6.56
22
Nathan Ordaz
Nathan Ordaz
Attacker67'
7.18

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Handball / 6th Yellowcard
90+7'
90+5'
Event
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Duane Holmes Felipe Andrade
9th Substitution
88'
Event
Ondrej Lingr Mateusz Bogusz
10th Substitution
88'
88'
Event
Nikola Marković Andre Dozzell
11th Substitution
Event
Diadié Samassékou Héctor Herrera
8th Substitution
78'
78'
Event
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Franco Negri Lawrence Ennali
7th Substitution
77'
72'
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
71'
Event
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
70'
67'
Event
Hosei Kijima Peglow
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Nathan Ordaz Louis Munteanu
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Jared Stroud Brandon Servania
6th Substitution
67'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Erik Sviatchenko Lucas Halter
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Ezequiel Ponce Duncan McGuire
2nd Substitution
59'
53'
Event
Matti Peltola Jackson Hopkins
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
40'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Attempt Attempt
Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Attempt Attempt
Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Ondrej Lingr takes a right-footed shot but misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
Ezequiel Ponce takes a left-footed shot but misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
Ondrej Lingr attempts a header but misses the shot.
88
Update Update
Nikola Markovic comes on for Andre Dozzell.
88
Update Update
Duane Holmes comes on for Felipe de Andrade Vieira.
88
Update Update
Ondrej Lingr comes on for Mateusz Bogusz.
87
Attempt Attempt
Franco Negri attempted a header but missed the shot.
80
Attempt Attempt
Franco Negri takes a left-footed shot but misses.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Thai Baribo scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Nathan Ordaz.
78
Update Update
Diadie Samassekou comes on for Hector Miguel Herrera Lopez.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Thai Baribo scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Nathan Ordaz.
77
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
73
Update Update
Offside.
72
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
71
Attempt Attempt
Jared Stroud takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Thai Baribo.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Artur.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Update Update
Hosei Kijima comes on for Joao Peglow.
68
Update Update
Nathan Ordaz is on, and Louis Munteanu is off.
68
Update Update
Jared Stroud is on, and Brandon Servania is off.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Silvan Hefti receives a yellow card.
63
Update Update
Offside.
63
Attempt Attempt
Mateusz Bogusz takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
62
Attempt Attempt
Matti Peltola takes a right-footed shot but misses.
61
Attempt Attempt
Erik Sviatchenko takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
61
Update Update
Erik Sviatchenko comes on for Lucas Halter.
59
Update Update
Ezequiel Ponce comes on for Duncan McGuire.
57
Attempt Attempt
Keisuke Kurokawa takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Attempt Attempt
Louis Munteanu's right-footed shot is blocked.
56
Attempt Attempt
Jack McGlynn takes a left-footed shot but misses.
53
Update Update
Matti Peltola comes on for Jackson Hopkins.
48
Attempt Attempt
Hector Miguel Herrera Lopez attempts a header but misses the shot.
47
Attempt Attempt
Mateusz Bogusz takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
46
Update Update
Offside.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Jackson Hopkins attempted a header but missed the shot.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Hector Miguel Herrera Lopez scores with a right-footed shot.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
38
Attempt Attempt
Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos takes a shot with his head, but it's blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Louis Munteanu takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Halter attempts a header but misses the shot.
26
Attempt Attempt
Mateusz Bogusz takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Attempt Attempt
Mateusz Bogusz takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Víctor Rivas.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw between Houston Dynamo and DC United underscored how possession and expected goal advantages do not always determine the result. Houston maintained territorial control yet allowed an equalizer that leveled the points. The halftime score of 1-0 proved temporary as second-half adjustments shifted momentum. Absence of dismissals preserved full-team structures for both sides throughout. This outcome demonstrates the limits of pre-match team strength assessments when efficiency metrics align closely. Observers noted that the stronger side's inability to close out the game produced a balanced final standing. Future fixtures may reveal whether these patterns persist across varying opponent profiles.