Colorado Rapids vs San Diego preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Dick's Sporting Goods Park Thu, 23 Jul - 1:30 AM
Major League Soccer
Full Time Thu, 23 Jul 1:30 AM
Regular Season
Loïc Williams - 90+5'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Colorado Rapids hosted San Diego in a match that saw the home side emerge victorious despite facing a stronger opponent on paper. The first half ended level at zero goals apiece, with both teams struggling to create clear opportunities. Possession stats showed Colorado Rapids with a slight edge at 52 percent to 48 percent. Expected goals indicated San Diego should have been ahead based on their 1.04 xG compared to the home team's 0.64. However, a second-half strike proved enough for the 1-0 final score. The significant deviation from expected performance came from Colorado Rapids who outperformed their metrics substantially. No red cards were issued, keeping the game at full strength for both sides.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Colorado Rapids 1-0 San Diego. Colorado Rapids showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the observed performance metrics for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The xG alignment showed inconsistency as the outcome did not match the expected goals distribution.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true based on the pre-match indicators for the result.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations favored San Diego at 1.04 against Colorado Rapids at 0.64.
  • Event impact: Event impact stayed minimal with no major incidents altering the game's flow.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent due to no dismissals occurring during the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
C. Penso
C. Penso
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
J. Hanson
J. Hanson
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Trotter
M. Trotter
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Fierro
R. Fierro
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Colorado Rapids M. Wells
M. Wells
VS
San Diego M. Varas
M. Varas
1.07
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dallas Rank: 67 L
Real Salt Lake Rank: 64 L
Minnesota United Rank: 64 W
St. Louis City Rank: 63 L
Houston Dynamo Rank: 62 L
Vancouver Whitecaps Rank: 72 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vancouver Whitecaps Rank: 72 L
Cincinnati Rank: 67 D
Austin Rank: 59 W
Seattle Sounders Rank: 68 D
Los Angeles FC Rank: 72 D
Portland Timbers Rank: 61 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.69
65.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Colorado Rapids
San Diego
Power Score
61.69
65.48
League Position
11
13
Global Rank
495
372

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Colorado Rapids Opponent-weighted form score
San Diego Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Colorado Rapids San Diego

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Colorado Rapids

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

San Diego

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Colorado Rapids ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy San Diego
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.46
16.46
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.46
23.46
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Colorado Rapids +0.49 Efficiency Index
vs
San Diego -0.49 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Colorado Rapids
San Diego
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Colorado Rapids
vs
San Diego
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Colorado Rapids San Diego
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
19%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.12 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Colorado Rapids San Diego
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
19%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs -0.12
Colorado Rapids
San Diego
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Colorado Rapids
vs
San Diego
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Colorado Rapids San Diego
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Colorado Rapids San Diego
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Colorado Rapids
San Diego
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • SDL had peak pressure around 90'.
  • CLR started the game with stronger pressure.
CLR Pressure SDL Pressure
Pressure Index: SDL reached the top pressure at 90' (96.74).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Colorado Rapids CLR Home
2 matches
San Diego SDL Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
3
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-24T00:01:26+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-2-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 23, 2026, 01:30 AM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Capacity
19680
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Chris Penso
Jeremy Hanson
Matt Trotter
Ricardo Fierro

Statistics

Possession
CLR
52%
SDL
48%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
0 Big Chances Created 2
4 Shots 1
64 Dangerous attacks 38
52 Possession 48
5 Corners 3
7 Free kicks 17
4 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

63 Ball Safe 57
8 Goal Kicks 5
5 Goal Attempts 2
4 Substitutions 4
22 Throwins 10
2 Successful Headers 8
1 Assists 0
12 Dribble Attempts 6
7 Successful Dribbles 5
58 Successful Dribbles Percentage 83

Attacking

54 Attacks 27
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

31 Long Passes 46
461 Passes 430
410 Successful Passes 370
89 Successful Passes Percentage 86
8 Key Passes 4
22 Successful Long Passes 20
71 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

2 Saves 1
6 Tackles 17
5 Interceptions 12
22 Duels Won 46

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 9
3 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

4 Offsides 0
17 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Chris Penso

Starting XI

41
Nicolas Hansen
Nicolas Hansen Goalkeeper
7.22
4
Reggie Cannon
Reggie Cannon Defender
6.94
22
Lucas Herrington
Lucas Herrington
Defender90'
5
Loïc Williams
Loïc Williams Defender
7.53
6
Rob Holding
Rob Holding Defender
7.19
24
Noah Cobb
Noah Cobb
Defender90'
8
Hamzat Ojediran
Hamzat Ojediran Midfielder
6.7
10
Paxten Aaronson
Paxten Aaronson Midfielder
6.91
12
Josh Atencio
Josh Atencio Midfielder
6.78
32
Donavan Phillip
Donavan Phillip
Attacker90+3'
33
Kosi Thompson
Kosi Thompson Midfielder
6.42
7
Dante Sealy
Dante Sealy Attacker
7
9
Rafael Navarro
6.88
93
Georgi Minoungou
Georgi Minoungou Attacker
6.95
77
Darren Yapi
Darren Yapi
Attacker72'
6.54
Referee : Chris Penso

Starting XI

1
CJ dos Santos
CJ dos Santos Goalkeeper
6.78
5
Kieran Sargeant
Kieran Sargeant Defender
7.12
32
Ian Murphy
Ian Murphy
Defender70'
6.24
26
Manu Duah
Manu Duah Defender
7.19
33
Oscar Verhoeven
Oscar Verhoeven Defender
6.74
97
Christopher McVey
6.68
6
Jeppe Tverskov
Jeppe Tverskov (C) Midfielder
6.66
8
Onni Valakari
Onni Valakari Midfielder
6.77
10
Anders Dreyer
Anders Dreyer Midfielder
6.72
20
Aníbal Godoy
Aníbal Godoy Midfielder
6.98
70
Alejandro Alvarado
6.7
77
Alex Mighten
Alex Mighten Midfielder
6.74
14
Bryan Zamblé
Bryan Zamblé
Attacker90+2'
7
Marcus Ingvartsen
7.09
9
Lewis Morgan
Lewis Morgan
Attacker83'
6.57

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
90+5'
90+5'
Event
7th Yellowcard
Event
Donavan Phillip Josh Atencio
8th Substitution
90+3'
90+2'
Event
Bryan Zamblé Alex Mighten
7th Substitution
Event
Noah Cobb Rob Holding
5th Substitution
90'
Event
Lucas Herrington Reggie Cannon
6th Substitution
90'
88'
Event
Penalty cancelled
Event
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
84'
83'
Event
Lewis Morgan  Marcus Ingvartsen
4th Substitution
Event
Persistent fouling / 5th Yellowcard
82'
Event
Darren Yapi Georgi Minoungou
3rd Substitution
72'
71'
Event
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
70'
Event
Alejandro Alvarado  Aníbal Godoy
1st Substitution
70'
Event
Ian Murphy Kieran Sargeant
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
28'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
22'
19'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Darren Yapi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Loic Williams takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Loic Williams scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Paxten Aaronson.
90
Update Update
On Donavan Phillip, off Joshua Atencio.
90
Update Update
On Bryan Zamblé, off Alex Mighten.
90
Update Update
Noah Cobb comes on for Robert Holding.
90
Update Update
Lucas Herrington replaces Reginald Jacob Cannon.
88
Update Update
VAR decision confirms that no penalty is awarded for Jeppe Tverskov.
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Alejandro Alvarado Jr. with a header, but it misses the target.
87
Attempt Attempt
Anders Dreyer takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Darren Yapi receives a yellow card.
83
Update Update
On Lewis Morgan, off Marcus Ingvartsen.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Rafael Navarro Leal receives a yellow card.
80
Attempt Attempt
Kosi Thompson takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Update Update
Darren Yapi comes on for Georgi Minoungou.
71
Attempt Attempt
Alex Mighten takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
70
Update Update
Alejandro Alvarado Jr. comes on for Anibal Godoy.
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
69
Attempt Attempt
Onni Valakari takes a left-footed shot but misses.
69
Attempt Attempt
Marcus Ingvartsen takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
67
Update Update
Offside.
64
Attempt Attempt
Onni Valakari takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Attempt Attempt
Hamzat Ojediran takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
58
Attempt Attempt
Georgi Minoungou takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Navarro Leal takes a right-footed shot but misses.
41
Update Update
Offside.
31
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Navarro Leal takes a right-footed shot but misses.
27
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Loic Williams receives a yellow card.
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Christopher McVey.
18
Attempt Attempt
Dante Sealy attempts a header but misses the shot.
11
Update Update
Offside.
9
Attempt Attempt
Dante Sealy takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
9
Update Update
Offside.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Chris Penso.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Colorado Rapids 1-0 San Diego. Structural assessment: Colorado Rapids exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.