AGF vs Brøndby IF preview

Denmark flag 2026/2027 Superliga, Denmark
Vejlby Stadion Sat, 25 Jul - 4:00 PM
Superliga
AGFAGF
1 – 1
Brøndby IFBIF
Full Time Sat, 25 Jul 4:00 PM
Round 1 Regular Season
Kristian Arnstad - 84' (P)
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

AGF hosted Brøndby IF in a fixture that ended in a 1-1 draw. The first half passed without goals, leaving the score at 0-0 when the teams returned for the second period. AGF controlled more of the ball with 54 percent possession compared to 46 percent for Brøndby IF. In terms of expected goals, AGF registered 1.93 while Brøndby IF managed 1.08, indicating a clear advantage in chance creation for the home side. However, the actual result did not align with these xG values as both teams found the net once. No red cards occurred during the match, allowing both teams to maintain their starting lineups. The stronger team according to pre-match assessment was AGF, yet they could not secure the victory. This game featured a significant deviation level for AGF in structural terms.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: AGF 1-1 Brøndby IF. AGF showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expected patterns for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was not consistent with the expected goals differential.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations despite the xG figures.
  • xG expectations: AGF generated 1.93 xG compared to Brøndby IF's 1.08 xG.
  • Event impact: The match saw no major events altering the flow beyond the goals scored.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued, resulting in no distortion to the game dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Krogh
M. Krogh
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Rasmussen
D. Rasmussen
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Petersen
A. Petersen
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Jens Grabski Maae
Jens Grabski Maae
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
AGF J. Poulsen
J. Poulsen
VS
Brøndby IF T. Nørgaard
T. Nørgaard
1.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.93
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viborg FF Rank: 66 W
Brøndby IF Rank: 68 W
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 64 W
FC Midtjylland Rank: 80 D
Nordsjælland Rank: 70 D
FC Midtjylland Rank: 80 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC København Rank: 73 L
FC Midtjylland Rank: 80 W
AGF Rank: 75 L
Nordsjælland Rank: 70 D
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 64 L
Viborg FF Rank: 66 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 2 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.77
68.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
AGF
Brøndby IF
Power Score
74.77
68.39
League Position
2
3
Global Rank
155
314

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
AGF — Opponent-weighted form score
Brøndby IF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) AGF Brøndby IF

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

AGF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brøndby IF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

AGF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brøndby IF
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.72
33.15
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.15
29.72
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
AGF -0.38 Efficiency Index
vs
Brøndby IF +0.38 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
AGF
Brøndby IF
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

AGF
vs
Brøndby IF
Created Set-piece attacking threat
AGF Brøndby IF
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
89%
51%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.72 vs -0.55
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
AGF Brøndby IF
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
51%
89%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.55 vs -0.72
AGF
Brøndby IF
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
AGF
vs
Brøndby IF
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
AGF Brøndby IF
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
AGF 0.21
Brøndby IF 0.29
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
AGF Brøndby IF
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
AGF 0.02
Brøndby IF 0.02
AGF
Brøndby IF
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BIF had peak pressure around 55'.
  • AGF started the game with stronger pressure.
AGF Pressure BIF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BIF reached the top pressure at 55' (98.58).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

AGF AGF Home
8 matches
Brøndby IF BIF Away
Match Record
4
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
4
Goals
11
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
11
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0.79
xG
0.76
0.76
xGA
0.79

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T00:02:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 25, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Superliga, Denmark · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Vejlby Stadion
Capacity
11500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Morten Krogh
Dennis Wollenberg Rasmussen
Alex Petersen
Jens Grabski Maae

Statistics

Possession
AGF
55%
BIF
45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 7
61 Dangerous attacks 45
54 Possession 46
10 Corners 6
22 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

61 Ball Safe 64
1 Penalties 0
10 Goal Kicks 12
8 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5
24 Throwins 34
0 Assists 1
16 Dribble Attempts 12
8 Successful Dribbles 3
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 25

Attacking

93 Attacks 63
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

46 Long Passes 38
389 Passes 335
313 Successful Passes 269
80 Successful Passes Percentage 80
7 Key Passes 11
25 Successful Long Passes 13
54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 34

Defensive

1 Saves 2
26 Tackles 13
9 Interceptions 10
67 Duels Won 39

Build-up

28 Total Crosses 21
3 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 23

Lineup

Referee : Morten Krogh

Starting XI ▼

1
Jesper Hansen
Jesper Hansen Goalkeeper
6.64
5
Frederik Tingager
Frederik Tingager Defender
7.21
19
Eric Kahl
Eric Kahl Defender
7.01
26
Jacob Andersen
Jacob Andersen Defender
6.6
40
Jonas Jensen-Abbew
Jonas Jensen-Abbew
Defender76'
6.71
4
Magnus Knudsen
Magnus Knudsen Midfielder
7.08
10
Kristian Arnstad
Kristian Arnstad (C) Midfielder
7.55
11
Gift Links
Gift Links Midfielder
7.69
20
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
Attacker88'
39
Frederik Emmery
Frederik Emmery Midfielder
6.86
29
Rasmus Carstensen
Rasmus Carstensen
Defender76'
6.78
8
Sebastian Jørgensen
Sebastian Jørgensen Attacker
6.86
28
James Bogere
James Bogere
Attacker61'
6.34
23
Mikael Anderson
Mikael Anderson Attacker
6.66
16
Jens Jönsson
Jens Jönsson
Midfielder61'
6.95
31
Tobias Bech
Tobias Bech Attacker
6.84
Referee : Morten Krogh

Starting XI ▼

50
William Sonne-Schmidt
William Sonne-Schmidt Goalkeeper
6.57
2
Oliver Villadsen
Oliver Villadsen Defender
6.99
4
Luis Binks
Luis Binks (C) Defender
6.67
27
Mats Köhlert
Mats Köhlert Defender
6.15
24
Marko Divkovic
Marko Divkovic
Defender46'
6.54
30
Jordi Vanlerberghe
Jordi Vanlerberghe Defender
7.06
11
Filip Bundgaard
Filip Bundgaard Midfielder
6.56
38
Jacob Ambæk
Jacob Ambæk
Attacker73'
6.49
18
Max Ejdum
Max Ejdum Midfielder
6.55
42
Mathias Jensen
Mathias Jensen
Midfielder65'
6.29
21
Marcus Younis
Marcus Younis Midfielder
6.75
29
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen Midfielder
6.16
10
Daniel Wass
Daniel Wass
Midfielder81'
6.54
99
Bartosz Slisz
Bartosz Slisz Midfielder
7.09
9
Patrick Mortensen
Patrick Mortensen Attacker
6.78
51
Oskar Fenger
Oskar Fenger
Attacker65'
6.63

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson → Gift Links
10th Substitution
88'
Event
Eric Kahl
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Kristian Arnstad
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
84'
83'
Event
Luis Binks
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Tobias Bech
Penalty awarded
82'
81'
Event
Daniel Wass → Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen
9th Substitution
Event
Jonas Jensen-Abbew → Jacob Andersen
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Rasmus Carstensen → Frederik Emmery
8th Substitution
76'
73'
Event
Jacob Ambæk → Filip Bundgaard
6th Substitution
67'
Event
Marko Divkovic
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
65'
Event
Oskar Fenger → Patrick Mortensen
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Mathias Jensen → Max Ejdum
5th Substitution
Event
James Bogere → Sebastian Jørgensen
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Jens Jönsson → Mikael Anderson
3rd Substitution
61'
56'
Event
Filip Bundgaard
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
53'
Event
Bartosz Slisz
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
46'
Event
Marko Divkovic → Mats Köhlert
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
26'
Event
Bartosz Slisz
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
19'
Event
Mats Köhlert
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Oliver Rose-Villadsen Right Footed Shot Missed
90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Oskar Fenger Head Shot Missed
88
Update Update
On Tomas Kristjansson，Off Gift Links
87
Corner Corner
Corner
86
Corner Corner
Corner
86
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jordi Vanlerberghe Right Footed Shot Blocked
85
Corner Corner
Corner
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Eric Kahl
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-1
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Kristian Malt Arnstad Right Footed Shot Goal
83
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-1
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Luis Binks
82
Update Update
VAR Decision - Pending VAR - penalty
81
Update Update
On Daniel Wass，Off Mads Frokjaer
79
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Rasmus Carstensen Left Footed Shot Missed
76
Update Update
On Jonas Jensen-Abbew，Off 雅科布.Mikael Neville Anderson
76
Update Update
On Rasmus Carstensen，Off Frederik Emmery
76
Corner Corner
Corner
75
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Frederik Emmery Left Footed Shot Saved
73
Update Update
On Jacob Ambaek，Off Filip Bundgaard Kristensen
73
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Frederik Tingager Head Shot Missed
73
Corner Corner
Corner
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Marko Divkovic
65
Update Update
On Mathias Jensen，Off Max Ejdum
65
Update Update
On Oskar Fenger，Off Patrick Mortensen
63
Corner Corner
Corner
62
Update Update
On Jens Jonsson，Off Mikael Neville Anderson
61
Update Update
On James Bogere，Off Sebastian Jorgensen
59
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Patrick Mortensen Head Shot Missed
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Filip Bundgaard Kristensen
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Bartosz Slisz Right Footed Shot Goal
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Bartosz Slisz 0-1，Assist：Luis Binks
52
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Bartosz Slisz 0-1
52
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Oliver Rose-Villadsen Right Footed Shot Blocked
52
Corner Corner
Corner
51
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marcus Younis Right Footed Shot Saved
49
Corner Corner
Corner
47
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mads Frokjaer Right Footed Shot Missed
46
Update Update
On Marko Divkovic，Off Mats Kohlert
45
Update Update
Offside
42
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Sebastian Jorgensen Left Footed Shot Missed
41
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gift Links Left Footed Shot Missed
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Patrick Mortensen Right Footed Shot Missed
36
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tobias Bech Left Footed Shot Missed
34
Corner Corner
Corner
33
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marcus Younis Right Footed Shot Missed
32
Update Update
Offside
32
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tobias Bech Left Footed Shot Blocked
29
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Gift Links Right Footed Shot Saved
29
Corner Corner
Corner
29
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Frederik Tingager Head Shot Missed
29
Corner Corner
Corner
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Bartosz Slisz
22
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mikael Neville Anderson Left Footed Shot Missed
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Mats Kohlert
17
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marcus Younis Left Footed Shot Missed
17
Corner Corner
Corner
15
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mikael Neville Anderson Head Shot Missed
15
Corner Corner
Corner
14
Corner Corner
Corner
14
Corner Corner
Corner
4
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Frederik Emmery Left Footed Shot Saved
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Morten Krogh

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: AGF 1-1 Brøndby IF. Structural assessment: AGF exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.