Santos vs Chapecoense preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Urbano Caldeira Today - 9:30 PM
Serie A
Santos STS
Chapecoense Chapecoense
KICKOFF : Today - 9:30 PM
Round 20 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Santos host Chapecoense in Serie A (Regular Season) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira. Domestically, Santos sit 15th in the table while Chapecoense are 20th. Power ranking favours Santos by 15.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Santos hold a +15.1 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Santos sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Santos show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Santos have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Santos carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Santos hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Projection split: Santos 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Chapecoense 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Santos A. Stival
A. Stival
VS
Chapecoense R. dos Santos Lacerda
R. dos Santos Lacerda
1.11
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.47
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Botafogo Rank: 67 L
Vitória Rank: 62 W
Grêmio Rank: 63 L
Coritiba Rank: 59 L
Bragantino Rank: 64 W
Palmeiras Rank: 76 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Flamengo Rank: 75 L
Bahia Rank: 61 L
Palmeiras Rank: 76 L
Cruzeiro Rank: 68 L
Remo Rank: 58 L
Mirassol Rank: 65 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Santos
0%
Draw
0%
Away Chapecoense
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.07
48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Santos
Chapecoense
Power Score
63.07
48
League Position
15
20
Global Rank
441
777

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Santos — Opponent-weighted form score
Chapecoense — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Santos Chapecoense

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Santos STS Home
1 matches
Chapecoense Chapecoense Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
2
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-24T00:13:57+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
G. Nascimento Resende Brazão
77 G. Nascimento Resende Brazão
I. de Souza
18 I. de Souza
L. Verissimo da Silva
4 L. Verissimo da Silva
L. Peres Petroni
14 L. Peres Petroni
G. Escobar
31 G. Escobar
W. Souza Arão da Silva
15 W. Souza Arão da Silva
C. Oliva Giménez
28 C. Oliva Giménez
B. Rollheiser
32 B. Rollheiser
M. Terceros
30 M. Terceros
Á. Barreal
22 Á. Barreal
G. Barbosa Almeida
9 G. Barbosa Almeida
M. Aurelio Palhares Guimaraes
30 M. Aurelio Palhares Guimaraes
B. de Jesus Pacheco
91 B. de Jesus Pacheco
E. Domachowski
3 E. Domachowski
R. de Albuquerque Marques
15 R. de Albuquerque Marques
E. Souza da Cruz
26 E. Souza da Cruz
D. Antunes da Silva
19 D. Antunes da Silva
C. Reijers de Olivera
27 C. Reijers de Olivera
M. de Sousa Júnior
7 M. de Sousa Júnior
G. Oliveira Cardoso
10 G. Oliveira Cardoso
Ênio
97 Ênio
Y. Bolasie Yala
11 Y. Bolasie Yala

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 25, 2026, 09:30 PM
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 20 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Capacity
16798
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho
Rodrigo Figueiredo Henrique Correa
Acacio Menezes Leao
Michelangelo Martins de Almeida Junior

Expected Lineup

Referee : Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho

Starting XI ▼

77
Gabriel Brazão
Gabriel Brazão Goalkeeper
6.72
9
Gabriel Barbosa
Gabriel Barbosa Centre Forward
7.11
14
Luan Peres
Luan Peres Left Back
6.59
15
Willian Arão
Willian Arão Defensive Midfield
6.74
18
Igor Vinícius
Igor Vinícius Right Back
6.72
28
Christian Oliva
Christian Oliva Defensive Midfield
6.75
30
Miguelito
Miguelito Attacking Midfield
6.87
31
Gonzalo Escobar
Gonzalo Escobar Left Back
6.82
32
Benjamín Rollheiser
Benjamín Rollheiser Right Wing
6.86
4
Lucas Veríssimo
Lucas Veríssimo Right Back
6.66
22
Álvaro Barreal
Álvaro Barreal Left Wing
6.8
Referee : Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho

Starting XI ▼

30
Matheus Aurélio
Matheus Aurélio Goalkeeper
6.53
11
Yannick Bolasie
Yannick Bolasie Centre Forward
6.61
3
Doma
Doma Left Back
6.72
7
Marcinho
Marcinho Left Wing
6.65
10
Giovanni Augusto
Giovanni Augusto Attacking Midfield
6.77
15
Rafael Thyere
Rafael Thyere Right Back
6.52
91
Bruno Pacheco
Bruno Pacheco Left Back
6.69
97
Ênio
Ênio Right Wing
7.09
26
Everton
Everton Right Back
6.49
19
David Antunes
David Antunes Defensive Midfield
6.29
27
Camilo
Camilo Defensive Midfield
6.9

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Santos holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Santos a 15.1-point edge. Projection probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.